Business Monitor International


United States Telecommunications Report

Published 15 April 2014

  • 102 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
United States Telecommunications Report

BMI View :   The net neutrality debate is playing out in the US market with Comcast and Netflix reaching the first agreement regarding content traffic on a broadband operator's network. We believe there are still plenty of potential changes left to be tried by operators and the increasing number of over-the-top content providers in the market. Thi s trend is informing the growing number of mergers and acquisitions taking place, as smaller players are swallowed up by the country's largest operators. T he high costs of maintaining a network have directed operators towards M&A and we see little chance of small companies surviving in the lo ng term.

Key Data

There were 338.879mn mobile subscriptions in the US in 2013, with the final quarter of the year showing the slowest rate of growth in the year. Operators will concentrate on building up revenues rather than subscriber bases.

Fixed-line connections continue to fall as more households switch to mobile options for their voice needs. We forecast market decline to less than 25% penetration by 2018.

Key Trends & Developments

  • Verizon Communications' legal case against the FCC's 2010 Open Internet rules was upheld by a US court in January 2014. The development was widely seen as a major blow for net neutrality in the US. The court's decision did acknowledge the FCC's right to request disclosure from operators over managing traffic on their networks and the court did not declare net neutrality an unlawful concept. It also did not prevent the FCC from regulating broadband providers under the appropriate regulations.  BMI believes the debate on net neutrality will continue and major developments will start to take shape in 2014.

  • Related to the net neutrality debate, online content streaming service Netflix and cable operator Comcast agreed a deal in late February 2014 to ensure faster and more reliable internet access for Netflix subscribers on Comcast's network. The deal will ensure a smooth streaming...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
SWOT
10
Political
12
Economic
13
Business Environment
14
Industry Forecast
15
Mobile
15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts (United States 2011-2018)
15
Fixed-Line
18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts (United States 2011-2018)
18
Broadband
18
Broadband
20
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
23
Table: Developed Markets Risk/Rewards Ratings, Q214
26
Market Overview
27
Mobile
27
Regional Perspective
27
Table: US Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2012
27
Key Developments
27
Market Growth
28
Table: US Mobile Market, Q413
30
Table: US Mobile Market Net Additions, Q312-Q413
32
Table: US Mobile Network Operator Subscriber Mix, Q413
34
MVNOs
35
ARPU
36
Networks
37
Mobile Content
40
Mobile Operator Data
45
Table: Wireless Market Overview
45
Table: Verizon Wireless
46
Table: AT&T
47
Table: Sprint Corporation
48
Table: T-Mobile USA
49
Table: Leap Wireless
51
Table: Cincinnati Bell Wireless
52
Table: Ntelos
53
Broadband
54
Fixed-Line
54
Table: Operator Fixed-Line Subscriptions
55
Broadband
56
Table: Broadband Statistics 2012-13
61
Pay-TV
61
Table: US Pay-TV Subscriptions
64
Connection Types
64
Table: Connections Over 200kbps In At Least One Direction, By Technology
65
Industry Trends And Developments
66
Table: Selected Developments
69
Regulatory Development
71
Table: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
71
Competitive Landscape
75
Table: US Telecoms Sector Key Players
75
Company Profile
76
AT&T
76
Verizon
81
Sprint Corporation
86
T-Mobile USA
90
Demographic Forecast
94
Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
95
Table: The United States' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
96
Table: The United States' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
97
Table: The United States' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
97
Glossary
98
Table: Glossary Of Terms
98
Methodology
100
Industry Forecast Methodology
100
Sources
101
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
102
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
103
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
104

The United States Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of United States's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's United States Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in United States.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for United States to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the American telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in United States's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in United States.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Rankings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc