Business Monitor International


United Arab Emirates Freight Transport Report

Published 13 February 2014

  • 113 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
United Arab Emirates Freight Transport Report

The UAE is expected to continue to see strong growth in 2014, across all of its freight modes. The country is rapidly developing one of the world's top logistics markets through investments in ports, airports, rail and free trade zones. These are utilised by the country's air freight and logistics companies, which are becoming a familiar presence throughout the world, serving the globe from their UAE hubs.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2014 air freight tonnes through Dubai International Airport forecast to grow by 9.8% and to average 7.1% to 2018.

  • The Khalifa Port is forecast to enjoy growth of 14.0% in 2014, following an estimated expansion of 21.8% in 2013. Growth over the medium term will average 9.9%.

  • The UAE's total trade real growth in 2013 forecast to be 6.9% and to average 5.3% over the medium term to 2017.

Key Industry Trends

Etihad Cargo's Record November Signals Expansion Strategy Success: Etihad Cargo's record cargo handling figure reported in November 2013 highlights the strong growth that the cargo carrier is experiencing. Etihad's growth is due to its rapidly expanding route network, with the firm focusing heavily on emerging markets in Asia, as well as the high-growth air freight sector of the Middle East.

DB Schenker Middle East Expansion Ramps Up: German freight and logistics company DB Schenker's new logistics facility at Dubai World Central (DWC)'s Logistics District is part of a wider trend of growing investment into the Middle East's freight transport sector. The BMI Logistics Index offers insight into the impetus behind DB Schenker's rapid expansion in the Middle East. The Middle East and North Africa ranks second in the index's Market Size & Connectivity rating, behind only Western Europe and North America. We expect the continued expansion of the Middle East freight transport sector to lure more global logistics players into this rapidly developing market.

New GCC Logistics Firm To Address Region's Freight Weakness: The planned Gulf...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Freight Transport
9
Political
10
Economic
11
Business Environment
12
Industry Forecast
13
Air Freight Taking Off
15
Table: Air Freight, 2011-2018
18
Ports World Leaders
18
Table: Maritime Freight, 2011-2018
20
Trade
20
Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018
20
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018
22
Table: The UAE's Main Import Partners
23
Table: The UAE's Main Export Partners
23
Market Overview
25
Industry Trends And Developments
30
Air Freight
30
Logistics And Road Haulage
33
Maritime Freight
35
Company Profile
39
Aramex
39
Etihad Crystal Cargo
45
Emirates SkyCargo
52
United Arab Shipping Company (UASC)
55
Gulftainer
58
Abu Dhabi National Tanker Company
62
Gulf Energy Maritime
64
Gulf Navigation Holding
66
Political Outlook
69
Political Risk Analysis
69
Some Risks Remain
71
Table: UAE - Political Overview
72
Long-Term Political Outlook
72
Oil Price Outlook
78
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
78
Table: 2013 Oil Product Price Forecast Record
78
Methodology
80
Crude Price Forecasts
81
Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts, Average Price (US$/bbl)
81
Oil Product Price Forecasts
81
Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecast, US$/bbl
82
Narrower US Market Crude-Product Spreads
83
Weak Demand Persists
84
Supply: Global Capacity Supports Demand
85
Quarterly Prices
89
Table: BMI Refined Oil Products Quarterly Forecast, US$/bbl
89
Naphtha: Long-Term Growth Faces Headwinds From Gas
90
Gasoline And Gasoil/Diesel: Gasoline Weakness To Continue
92
Jet Fuel: Downward Movement Capped By Recovery
98
Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volumes
100
Bunker Fuels: Sulphur Control To Hit Rotterdam Hardest
100
Risks To Outlook
102
Macroeconomic Forecasts
103
Fiscal Position Remains Solid
105
Demographic Forecast
107
Table: United Arab Emirates' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
108
Table: United Arab Emirates' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
109
Table: United Arab Emirates' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
110
Table: United Arab Emirates' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
110
Methodology
111
Industry Forecast Methodology
111
Sector-Specific Methodology
112
Sources
113

The United Arab Emirates Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s United Arab Emirates Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Emirati freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on United Arab Emirates to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Emirati freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in United Arab Emirates.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).

Coverage

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the freight sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Industry Trends And Developments

Analysis of latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2017 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Transport Sector: Sector Value (US$bn); sector real growth (%); employment (`000); total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes)

Trade: Exports and imports (US$mn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top-5 import and export trade partners (US$mn); imports/exports to each global region (US$mn)

Port Data: Throughput (`000 tonnes) and container throughput (TEU) for all major ports in the state

Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (US$/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs

Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (US$bn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (US$); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)

Market Overview

Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.

Political Outlook

The freight reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.

Company Profiles

Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc