Business Monitor International


Uganda Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report

Published 28 May 2014

  • 61 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Uganda Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report

BMI View:   The US government has placed further - mostly financial - sanctions on Uganda in response to the anti-homosexuality bill. This, and the lack of universal healthcare coverage which results in most Ugandans being unable to afford medicines, is placing a high level of strain on the country's ability to provide adequate healthcare. Uganda also faces the threat of an Ebola outbreak spreading from neighbouring countries which are in the grip of an epidemic.

Headline Expenditure Projections

  • Pharmaceuticals: UGX824.35bn (USD320mn) in 2013 to UGX933.57 (USD357mn) in 2014; +13.2% growth in local currency terms and +11.6% in US dollar terms.

  • Healthcare: UGX4,388.70bn (USD1.70bn) in 2013 to UGX4,836.55 (USD1.85bn) in 2014; 10.2% growth in local currency terms and 8.6% in US dollar terms.

Risk/Reward Ratings

In BMI's Q14 Risk/Reward Ratings (RRRs), Uganda is ranked 25th in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region. While factors such as population growth and increasing healthcare needs will create a growing demand for pharmaceuticals, we note that a sizeable counterfeiting industry, poor healthcare funding, corruption, regulatory environment deficiencies and a number of other issues will combine to keep Uganda in a similarly low position in the MEA matrix over the coming months.

Key Trends And Developments

  • The US has taken further sanctions against Uganda following the enactment of its anti-homosexuality bill. These sanctions prohibit Ugandans involved in serious human rights abuses from entering the US; re-direct funds from Uganda's Ministry of Health to other NGOs; relocate a planned public health institute from Uganda and terminate a USD2.4mn initiative in support of Uganda's community policing program. This has negatively impacted Uganda's ability to meet healthcare needs of homosexuals and some are choosing not to seek medical care out of fear their sexual orientation will be reported to authorities. Nevertheless, there are signs the World Bank might...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Political
11
Economic
13
Business Environment
15
Industry Forecast
16
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast
16
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2010-2018)
17
Healthcare Market Forecast
18
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2010-2018)
22
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2010-2018)
23
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Uganda 2010-2018)
23
Macroeconomic Forecasts
24
Table: Uganda - Economic Activity
29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
30
Middle East & Africa
30
Uganda Risk/Reward Ratings
38
Rewards
38
Risks
38
Market Overview
40
Industry Trends And Developments
43
Epidemiology
43
Regulatory Development
46
Intellectual Property Issues
46
Supply Chain
47
Healthcare Provision
48
Demographic Forecast
50
Table: Uganda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
51
Table: Uganda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
52
Table: Uganda's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
53
Table: Uganda's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
53
Glossary
54
Methodology
56
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model
56
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model
56
Notes On Methodology
57
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
58
Ratings Overview
59
Table: Pharmaceutical Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
59
Indicator Weightings
60

The Uganda Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s forecasts for drugs and healthcare expenditure and imports and exports, focusing on the growth outlook for the prescription, OTC, patented drugs and generics market segments.

BMI's Uganda Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report provides industry professionals, strategists, company executives, investors, analysts and sales/marketing heads with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Ugandan pharmaceutical and healthcare industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent pharmaceutical and healthcare industry forecasts for Uganda to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Ugandan pharmaceutical and healthcare market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Ugandan pharmaceutical and healthcare sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Uganda.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View & Industry SWOT

An at-a-glance perspective on latest regulatory developments, key forecast indicators and major corporate developments, covering the prescription, OTC and generics markets. The SWOT outlines strategic factors which affect BMI's forecast analysis, and taken together with BMI's political, economic and business environment SWOTS, it gives a complete overview of market climate.

Market Summary

Snapshot of key market characteristics, including total size of pharmaceuticals and healthcare segments, growth drivers, leading therapeutic areas and the competitive landscape.

Regulatory Regime

Details of the industry regulatory framework and key legislation covering the licensing of new products/services, pricing and reimbursements, intellectual property, taxation and advertising, as well as an analysis of the overall regulatory burden.

Industry Developments

Focus on government healthcare reforms, epidemiological trends, company M&As, product launches, market entries, FDI activity, R&D, biotechnology, clinical trials and supply chain issues.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Healthcare: Total healthcare expenditure (US$bn), healthcare expenditure (% of GDP), healthcare expenditure per capita (US$), hospital beds (per `000 population), doctors (per `000 population), birth and mortality rate (per `000 population)

Pharmaceutical market: Drug expenditure (US$bn), drug expenditure (% of GDP), drug expenditure per capita (US$)

Patented drug market: Prescription drug sales (US$bn), prescription sales (% of total sales), sales broken down by 14 therapeutic areas (cardiovascular, anti-infectives etc.)

Generic drug market: Generic product sales (US$bn), generic sales (% of total sales)

OTC drug market: OTC sales (US$bn), OTC sales (% of total sales), sales broken down by product types (analgesics, skin treatments, vitamins and minerals etc.)

Medical Devices: Medical device sales (US$bn), medical device sales (% of total healthcare market)

Macroeconomic Forecasts: Nominal and real GDP, % real GDP growth, % private consumption growth, % industrial output growth, % consumer price index, % GDP price deflator, exports, imports, trade balance, current account balance, foreign direct investment, exchange rate against US$, government expenditure, external debt.

Competitive Landscape

The competitive landscape section provides comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales and % share of total sales - for the total pharmaceutical sector, as well as the OTC, generics, and distribution sub-sectors.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc