Business Monitor International


Uganda Autos Reports

Published 18 February 2014

  • 57 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Uganda Autos Reports

The vehicle landscape in Uganda is dominated by used vehicles, imported primarily from Japan, as new vehicles remain unaffordable for most Ugandans. The most recent data released by the Ugandan Motor Industry Association show that newly registered vehicles are up 30.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first 11 months of 2013. In light of this, an improving inflation and private consumption outlook, government commitment to developing 'productive infrastructure' and the development of Uganda's substantial oil reserves we have upgraded our forecasts over the 2014-2018 period.

Commercial vehicles, in particular pickups and station wagons, are dominating the small new vehicle market, accounting for 1,029 and 545 vehicles respectively in 11M13. Chinese commercial vehicle (CV) manufacturer Foton has recently announced plans to build a plant in Uganda. Currently the firm is awaiting approval from the Ugandan government to commence building the plant which would produce 100 vehicles a day. The plant will produce trucks and mini buses in response to the country's growing demand for CVs. This trend is similar to that seen in other markets of the East African Community, where investment in vehicle production has been directed towards the CV segment as industries such as oil and gas develop.

Motorcycles, a cheap alternative to passenger vehicles, remain the vehicles of choice, with new and used motorcycle sales expected to grow from 112,027 in 2014 to 165,227 in 2018, according to the Ugandan Motor Industry Association. Toyota Uganda dominates the new motorcycle market, accounting for 817 out of 890 sales over the 11 months to November 2013. The motorcycle production sector is also likely to expand as Kampala, an Indian two and three-wheeler manufacturer, looks to start an assembly line which may drive prices even lower in the future.

BMI believes it is unlikely there will be any major changes to the automobile landscape as the regulatory environment continues to act as a...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Political
9
Economic
11
Business Environment
13
Industry Forecast
14
Table: Newly Registered Vehicles Units, 2011-2018
14
Macroeconomic Forecasts
20
Economic Analysis
20
Table: Uganda - Economic Activity
25
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
26
Africa - Risk Reward/Ratings
26
Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings - Sub-Saharan Africa
29
Competitive Landscape
30
Company Profile
36
Company Monitor
36
Table: Top 20 SSA Consumer Markets, 2013
37
Regional Overview
38
Autos - Africa: Fruits of Investment A Key Theme For 2014
38
Competition Heats Up In Kenya
38
Hubs Developing-
40
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Investment Projects
40
Divergent Fortunes Of Nigeria And South Africa
42
Global Industry Overview
43
Table: Passenger Car Sales November 2013 (CBUs)
43
Europe On Road To Recovery
43
Tax Hike Skews Japan's Outlook; US Hits Sweet 16
45
China Is BRIC Bright Spot
47
Demographic Forecast
50
Table: Uganda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
51
Table: Uganda's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
52
Table: Uganda's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
53
Table: Uganda's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
53
Methodology
54
Industry Forecasts
54
Sector-Specific Methodology
55
Sources
55
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
56
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
57

The Uganda Autos Reports features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Uganda Autos Reports provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Uganda.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Uganda to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Ugandan automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Ugandan automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Uganda.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's proprietary Autos Business Environment Ratings are a unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index that separately analyses the risks and rewards of operating in each market. It is aimed at investors (including manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) who seek to either identify and compare market opportunities, or evaluate country-specific operational challenges.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industries, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2017 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Total production value (US$bn); total production of units; production by vehicle-type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total sales value (US$bn); sales by vehicle-type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles (vans and microbuses, pickups, trucks and buses, 4 wheel drive); total exports by value (US$bn) and by units; total imports by value (US$bn) and by units; contribution to GDP; employment in industry.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2017 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc