Business Monitor International


Turkey Shipping Report

Published 07 October 2014

  • 107 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Turkey Shipping Report

Late last year we outlined nine key themes for Emerging Europe in 2014, two thirds of which have already played out (or are currently playing out). Of the remaining views, we believe one - Turkey's growth slowdown - is still likely to occur by year-end, while the other two - populism in EU elections and modest attempts at liberalisation of the Russian economy - appear wrong.

The Turkish economy has proved more resilient than we initially anticipated, with real GDP growth coming in at 4.3% y-o-y in Q114. However, the trends we expected are playing out, and with substantial headwinds still facing the Turkish economy we still expect a more pronounced slowdown in the coming quarters. Domestic demand growth was very weak in Q114, with net exports and a substantial contribution from government expenditure propping up the headline figure. Private consumption growth fell to its lowest level since 2012, and we see further downside as consumer credit growth continues to rapidly decelerate.

Meanwhile, anti-government protests have remained a regular fixture of Turkey's social and political landscape so far this year, with the Soma coal mine disaster on May 13 just one example of a recent catalyst for renewed bouts of nationwide unrest. However, increasingly heavy-handed dispersion tactics, and the AKP's continued political dominance, appear to have reduced the turnout and frequency of such events.

We are anticipating strong growth at most of Turkey's largest ports this year with the port of Ambarli set to see year-on-year (y-o-y) gains of 9.70% in tonnage throughput, while box throughput will come in at a slightly lower 8.56%. Meanwhile, the port of Haydarpasa is pencilled in to see double-digit y-o-y tonnage throughput growth. The port of Izmir, however, is set for more modest growth (2.00% y-o-y tonnage throughput).

Headline Industry Data

• 2014 port of Ambarli tonnage throughput is forecast to grow 9.70%; over the medium term to 2018 we project average annual growth of...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Shipping
9
Political
11
Economic
13
Business Environment
14
Industry Forecast
15
Port Of Ambarli Throughput
15
Table: Major Ports Data (Turkey 2011-2018)
20
Table: Trade Overview (Turkey 2011-2018)
21
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Turkey 2011-2018)
21
Table: Top Import Destinations, 2004-2012
23
Table: Top Export Destinations, 2004-2012
23
Market Overview
25
Turkey Container Shipping Market Overview
25
Industry Trends And Developments
31
Turkey Company Profile
33
Turkon Line
33
Shipping - Global Industry View
35
Container Demand:
35
Container Supply:
42
Container Rates:
48
Global Company Strategy
52
Maersk Line
52
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
65
CMA CGM
70
Evergreen Line
80
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
87
Macroeconomic Forecasts
94
Table: Turkey - GDP By Expenditure
101
Demographic Forecast
102
Demographic Outlook
102
Table: Turkey's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
103
Table: Turkey's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of population)
104
Table: Turkey's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
105
Table: Turkey's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
105

The Turkey Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Turkey.

BMI's Turkey Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Turkey.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Turkey to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Turkish shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Turkey through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

secure
Benefit from discounts when you add multiple products to your basket
2 Products SAVE 10%
3 Products SAVE 15%
4 Products SAVE 20%
5 Products SAVE 25%
6 Products SAVE 30%
7 - 20 Products SAVE 35%
21 Products or more SAVE 40%

Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc