Business Monitor International


South Africa Shipping Report

Published 01 April 2014

  • 113 pages
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$1,295.00
South Africa Shipping Report

Growth at South African ports is threatened by the global headwinds that are posing challenges for the country as a whole, namely the China slowdown and the drying up of foreign inflows due to the raised possibility that the extraordinarily loose monetary policy that has been the norm in the US is tapered off. However, with continued investment in facilities, growth in private final consumption, and ever-expanding coal exports, we forecast growth in both total tonnage and container volumes at South African ports in 2014.

Headline Industry Data

  • Richards Bay Port tonnage throughput in 2014 is forecast to increase by 4.2%. Over the medium term to 2018 we project a 4.8% average annual increase.

  • Port of Durban container throughput is forecast to grow by 2.0% in 2014. Growth will average 2.8% per annum in the medium-term forecast period to 2018.

  • 2014 total trade growth is forecast at 5.3%, and to average 5.3% per annum to 2018.

Key Industry Trends

TNPA Reaffirms Durban Harbour Development Plans Despite Criticism: South Africa-based Transnet National Ports Authority (TNPA) has reaffirmed its plan to lengthen and deepen Durban harbour. The confirmation follows media reports stating that the project is facing criticism from several environmental groups. The Department of Environmental Affairs (DEA) has not discarded the Environmental Investigation Agency (EIA)'s approval for the deepening, lengthening and widening of berths 203 to 205, according to a TNPA spokesperson.

Power Failure Hampers Exports: Following a poor month in January, in which there was a sizeable drop in throughput as compared to January 2013, Richards Bay Coal Terminal suffered a power cut on January 31 which parylised the terminal for a week. This halt in exports from the terminal will have cost South Africa around ZAR200mn in exports a day. The power cut will not only affect the one week.

RBCT Plans To Expand Coal Capacity To 110mn Tons: Richards Bay Coal Terminal is planning to go for an...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Shipping
9
Political
10
Economic
11
Business Environment
12
Industry Forecast
13
Port Of Durban Throughput
13
Port Of Richards Bay Throughput
17
Table: South Africa's Major Port Data, 2011-2018
20
Table: South Africa's Trade Overview, 2011-2018
22
Table: South Africa's Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018
22
Table: South Africa's Main Import Partners, 2004-2012
23
Table: South Africa's Main Export Partners, 2004-2012
24
Market Overview
25
South Africa Container Shipping Market Overview
25
Industry Trends And Developments
33
South Africa Company Profile
35
Safmarine
35
Deutsche Afrika-Linien (DAL)
39
Shipping - Global Industry View
41
Container Demand: Growth Outlook To Bolster 2014 Box Volumes
41
Container Supply: Overcapacity To Remain An Issue In 2014
51
Container Rates: Volatile As Demand Ticks Up, But Oversupply Remains
60
Table: Shipping Lines' Agents Offices Raided In Russia
66
Global Company Strategy
68
Maersk Line
68
Mediterranean Shipping Company
78
CMA CGM
84
Evergreen Line
93
COSCO Container Lines Company
101
Macroeconomic Forecasts
107
Economic Analysis
107
Table: Real GDP Growth, % chg q-o-q, SAAR
107
Table: South Africa - Economic Activity
112
Demographic Forecast
113
Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
114
Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
115
Table: South Africa's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
116
Table: South Africa's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
116

The South Africa Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in South Africa.

BMI's South Africa Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in South Africa.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for South Africa to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the South African shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in South Africa through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc