Business Monitor International


Slovakia Power Report

Published 15 July 2014

  • 57 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Slovakia Power Report

BMI View: The energy sector will expand steadily in the short and longer term. An expansion of Slovakia ' s nuclear capacity will drive generation, while a steady expansion of its manufacturing sector will drive consumption. By mid-decade, Slovakia should become a net exporter of energy. However, risks remain, such as interference in pricing by the government and the rising costs of the project to build two new reactors at the Mochovce nuclear power plant. Several major investments planned for the years ahead may experience delays or fail to materiali s e altogether.

Key Trends And Developments

  • Overall power generation is forecast to rise by 6.2% in 2016 to 24.28 TWh, and by 19.1% over the next few years to 2023, on the back of strong growth in the generation of nuclear energy and rapid growth in non-hydro renewables.

  • In March, the government raised objections to the European Commission's proposed cut of 40% in carbon emissions reductions by 2030 and increased use of renewable power.

  • In March, a gas interconnector was opened to Hungary, ensuring the Slovakia will continue to receive gas supplies with which to generate power, despite the prospect of a suspension from its pipeline to Ukraine.

  • In March, negotiations with the Russian company Rosatom over the expansion of a new reactor block at the Bohunice nuclear power station collapsed following a disagreement over pricing.

  • In March, Rosatom announced that it would transport nuclear fuel to Slovakia by air, following a ban on the shipment of nuclear fuel cycle products by rail across Ukraine.

  • In April, the Slovak company Transpetrol issued a EUR9.5mn contract notice for the purchase and supply of electricity for a two-year period.

  • In April, Geotherm Košice (a subsidiary of Slovenský plynárenský priemysel) announced that it had completed all the necessary engineering preparations for developing a 23,000 MWh geothermal station in Svinica-?urkov in eastern Slovakia.

  • In April 2014, shareholders...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Slovakia Snapshot
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Slovakia 2013-2018)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Slovakia 2018-2023)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
10
Slovakia Power Forecast Scenario
11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2017)
11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2018-2023)
12
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2017)
13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2018-2023)
14
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
15
Electricity Consumption
19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2017)
19
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2018-2023)
19
Transmission & Distribution, Imports And Exports
21
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2017)
21
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2018-2023)
21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2017)
21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Slovakia 2018-2023)
21
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
23
CEE Power Risk/Reward Ratings
23
Table: Regional Overview
28
Slovakia Power Risk/Reward Ratings
29
Slovakia Risk/Reward Ratings
29
Rewards
29
Risks
29
Market Overview
30
Key Policies And Market Structure
30
Regulation And Competition
30
Table: Electricity Prices In the EU Member States, As Of May 2012
31
Slovakia Power Projects Database
33
Table: Slovakia - Power Projects
33
Competitive Landscape
34
SE
35
SPP
35
ZSE
35
SSE
36
VSE
36
CEZ
36
Company Profile
37
Slovak Electric
37
Regional Overview
39
CEE Power Regional Overview
39
Glossary
46
Table: Glossary Of Terms
46
Methodology
47
Methodology And Sources
47
Industry Forecast Methodology
47
Sources
50
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
50
Table: Power Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
53

The Slovakia Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Slovakia Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Slovakia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks Slovakia's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Slovakia
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Regional Overview

The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country, incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations, as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.

BMI Industry Forecasts

The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal, Coal, Gas, Oil, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section, we provide information on electricity generation (TWh), % growth year-on-year, KWh per capita, and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal, gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.

Electricity Generating Capacity offers forecasts for the potential net capacity and net capacity growth % change year-on-year for the whole power industry. It also includes individual forecasts for capacity (MW), capacity growth % change year-on-year, and % of total capacity for Thermal, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables.

The section also includes historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for:

Electricity Consumption, encompassing information on net consumption (TWh), net consumption growth % change year-on-year, and net consumption per capita (KWh).

Transmission And Distribution Losses, comprising predictions on Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, (TWh), and Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, % of Output.

Electricity Trade, offering historical figures for imports and exports and forecasts for net imports (TWh).

Market Overview

This section provides an overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

Risk/Reward Rankings

BMI's Power Risk/reward Rankings provide fully comparable rankings aimed at investors (power companies, services companies and equity investors) in the regional power market. The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc