Business Monitor International


Slovakia Power Report

Published 10 March 2014

  • 57 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Slovakia Power Report

BMI View: The energy sector will expand steadily in the short - and longer term. An expansion of Slovakia ' s nuclear capacity will drive generation, while a steady expansion of its manufacturing sector will drive consumption. By mid-decade, Slovakia should become a net exporter of energy. However, risks remain, such as interference in pricing by the government and the rising costs of the project to build two new reactors at the Mochovce nuclear power plant. Several major investments planned for the years ahead may experience delays or fail to materiali s e altogether.

Key T rends A nd D evelopment s

  • Overall power generation is forecast to rise by 6.2% in 2016 to 24.28 TWh, and by 19.1% over the next few years to 2023, on the back of strong growth in the generation of nuclear energy and rapid growth in non-hydro renewables.

  • BMI forecasts only a minimal rise in the consumption of electricity in 2014 and 2015, but growth will quicken thereafter, averaging of 5.1% between 2014 and 2023.

  • In January 2014, the German company E.ON sold a 40.45% stake in the gas storage and oil drilling company Nafta to the Czech-owned Energeticky a prumyslovy holding (EPH).

  • In January 2014, Slovakia and Ukraine signed an agreement on the export natural gas by reversing the flow of the pipeline connecting Slovakia with Ukraine. The gas originates in Russia but will be imported from the EU before being exported on to Ukraine.

  • In January 2014, Slovenske Elektrarne (SE) activated the Dobsina III hydropower plant, which is expected to generate 1,485MWh a year.

  • In December 2013, discussions with the Russian company Rosatom about investment in the proposed expansion of the Bohunice nuclear power plant collapsed after the government refused to guarantee future purchasing prices of electricity.

  • In December 2013, Slovakia took delivery of ten 'green machines' which generate fuel-free, emission-free power from low temperature waste heat and which will be deployed at...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Slovakia Snapshot
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
10
Slovakia Power Forecast Scenario
11
Table: Slovakia Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017
11
Table: Slovakia Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
12
Table: Slovakia Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017
14
Table: Slovakia Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
15
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
16
Electricity Consumption
20
Table: Slovakia Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017
20
Table: Slovakia Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
21
Transmission & Distribution, Imports And Exports
23
Table: Slovakia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017
23
Table: Slovakia Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
23
Table: Slovakia Trade, Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
23
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
24
CEE Power Risk/Reward Ratings
24
Table: CEE Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
30
Slovakia Power Risk/Reward Ratings
31
Slovakia Risk/Reward Ratings
31
Rewards
31
Risks
31
Market Overview
32
Key Policies And Market Structure
32
Regulation And Competition
32
Table: Electricity Prices In the EU Member States, As Of May 2012
32
Slovakia Power Projects Database
34
Table: Slovakia - Power Projects
34
Competitive Landscape
35
SE
35
SPP
36
ZSE
36
SSE
36
VSE
37
CEZ
37
Company Profile
38
Slovak Electric
38
Regional Overview
40
Industry Trend Analysis
40
Glossary
47
Table: Glossary Of Terms
47
Methodology
48
Methodology and Sources
48
Industry Forecast Methodology
48
Sources
51
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
51
Table: Power Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
52
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
54

The Slovakia Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Slovakia Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Slovakia to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks Slovakia's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Slovakia
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Regional Overview

The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country, incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations, as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.

BMI Industry Forecasts

The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal, Coal, Gas, Oil, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section, we provide information on electricity generation (TWh), % growth year-on-year, KWh per capita, and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal, gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.

Electricity Generating Capacity offers forecasts for the potential net capacity and net capacity growth % change year-on-year for the whole power industry. It also includes individual forecasts for capacity (MW), capacity growth % change year-on-year, and % of total capacity for Thermal, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables.

The section also includes historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for:

Electricity Consumption, encompassing information on net consumption (TWh), net consumption growth % change year-on-year, and net consumption per capita (KWh).

Transmission And Distribution Losses, comprising predictions on Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, (TWh), and Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, % of Output.

Electricity Trade, offering historical figures for imports and exports and forecasts for net imports (TWh).

Market Overview

This section provides an overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

Risk/Reward Ratings

BMI's Power Risk/reward Ratings provide fully comparable ratings aimed at investors (power companies, services companies and equity investors) in the regional power market. The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Ratings products.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc