Business Monitor International


Russia Infrastructure Report

Published 28 January 2014

  • 109 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Russia Infrastructure Report

BMI View: We have considerably revised down our construction industry forecast for Russia in 2014 in light of recently published lacklustre official data. With a contraction of 1.25% in the first nine months of 2013, we now forecast only moderate growth in the industry of 1.5% for 2014. Although we had anticipated significant growth in the industry as a result of the large investments made for the Winter Olympic Games, this seems to have failed to materialise. In addition, private investment has continued to weaken as a result of endemic corruption, inefficient bureaucracy and lack of investor guarantees. This poor business environment is exacerbated by stubbornly high inflati on and slow economic growth.

Key developments in the sector:

  • Our Country Risk team forecasts a slowdown in the Russian GDP, which should arrive at 2.0% in 2013, down from 3.4% in 2012, with a slight acceleration to 2.5% expected in 2014.

  • Infrastructure associated with the export of commodities (pipelines, ports and transport infrastructure - to support oil and gas output east and west of the Urals) has a high growth potential - as development is predicated on growth in the natural resources sector. These projects have been prioritised by the government.

  • In November 2013, Avtodor shortlisted four teams to bid for the M-11 highway. The four teams are Corsan-Corviam Construccion and consortia Stolichniy Tract OJSC, Roads Construction Corporation and Two Capitals Highway. The concession agreement involves financing, constructing and operating the 543km-684km section of the toll road.

  • In January 2014 Lithuania-based company Avia Solutions Group and Russia's state-owned company Rostec signed a cooperation agreement to develop and management a new Moscow airport with a capacity of 12mn passengers per year. The new Russian airport, dubbed Ramenskoye International Airport, is designed to cater for low-cost airlines - a niche industry that has experienced slow growth in Russia as a...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Infrastructure SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
10
Table: Russia - Construction Forecast
10
Table: Russia - Construction Forecast
12
Industry Forecast Scenario
13
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
19
Table: Russia - Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2011-2016f
19
Table: Russia - Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2017-2022f
21
Transport Infrastructure Outlook And Overview
23
Harsh Climate
26
Major Projects Table - Transport
29
Table: Key Projects Database - Transport
29
Energy & Utilities - Outlook And Overview
39
Table: Russia - Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data
39
Table: Russia - Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data
40
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
41
Major Projects Table - Energy & Utilities
46
Table: Major Projects Table - Energy & Utilities
46
Residential/Non-Residential Construction - Outlook and Overview
53
Table: Russia - Residential / Non-Residential Industry Data
53
Table: Russia - Residential / Non-Residential Industry Data
53
Residential/Non-Residential Construction Outlook and Overview
53
New Policies
56
Debt-Backed Consumer Story
58
Go East
59
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Key Projects
60
Table: Residential / Non-Residential Key Projects
60
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
63
Russia - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
63
Russia Risk/Reward Ratings
63
Rewards
63
Risks
63
CEE - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
64
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Risk Reward Ratings
70
Market Overview
71
Competitive Landscape
71
Table: Competitive Landscape
71
Company Profile
73
Mostootryad No
73
Global Infrastructure Overview
75
Africa In 2014: PPPs Cement Global Appeal
75
Asia-Pacific In 2014: Shaping Up To Be A Benign Year
80
Latin America In 2014: A Prosperous Year For Infrastructure Development
87
MENA In 2014: Reaping Rewards Despite Risks
90
North America And Europe In 2014: Turning A Corner
95
Methodology
102
Industry Forecast Methodology
102
Sector-Specific Methodology
103
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
107
Sector-Specific Methodology
108
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
108
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
109

The Russia Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Russia Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Russian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Russia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Russian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Russian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Russia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc