Business Monitor International


Romania Shipping Report

Published 13 March 2014

  • 104 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Romania Shipping Report

The port of Constantza is set to post a year-on-year increases in terms of total tonnage and container throughput in 2014 in line with the country's continued economic recovery and eurozone's improving macroeconomic outlook.

Robust exports and a recovery in private consumption will support freight volumes at the country's ports.

Over the medium term, we project further growth at the port of Constantza and the recovery of its pre-downturn total throughput volumes, while container throughput, is projected to remain below 2007-2008 level.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2014 - port of Constantza tonnage throughput forecast to grow 8%, over the medium term we project a 30% increase.

  • 2014 - port of Constantza container throughput forecast to grow 3%, over the medium term we project a 23% increase.

  • 2014 - total trade growth forecast at 4.9%.

Key Industry Trends

Minister Optimistic about Infrastructure Upgrades: Romania's ports are one of the two sectors to be developed in partnership with China, according to Romania's Transport Minister Ramona Manescu, with railways being the other one. The minister, who was appointed in August 2013, also said the rehabilitation of the country's ports along the Danube should be completed during her term.

Risks to Outlook

The potential for growth at the country's ports stems from BMI's positive outlook on the Romanian economy. Container throughput will be driven by the country's consumers, with consumer demand in Romania forecast to strengthen. The country's real GDP is estimated to increase by 2.8% in 2014.

Upside risks to our short- and medium-term forecasts stem from expansion projects; potential foreign investment and interest; and improving domestic demand in the euro area, in particular in Germany, which will prove supportive of sustained export growth over the coming quarters.

On the other hand a downside risk to our forecasts comes in the form of Romania's heavy exposure to the eurozone and the region's possible...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
Romania - Q2 2014
5
SWOT
7
Romania Shipping SWOT
7
Political
8
Economic
9
Business Environment
10
Industry Forecast
11
Port Of Constantza Throughput Outlook Q2 2014
11
Table: Major Port Data
15
Table: Trade Overview
15
Table: Key Trade Indicators
16
Table: Top Import Destinations
17
Table: Top Export Destinations
18
Market Overview
20
Romania Container Shipping Market Overview
20
Industry Trends And Developments
25
Romania - Q2 2014
25
Shipping - Global Industry View
27
Container Demand: Growth Outlook To Bolster 2014 Box Volumes
27
Container Supply: Overcapacity To Remain An Issue In 2014
37
Container Rates: Volatile As Demand Ticks Up, But Oversupply Remains
46
Table: Shipping Lines' Agents Offices Raided In Russia
52
Global Company Strategy
54
Maersk Line
54
Mediterranean Shipping Company
64
CMA CGM
70
Evergreen Line
79
COSCO Container Lines Company
87
Macroeconomic Forecasts
93
Table: Romania - Economic Activity
97
Demographic Forecast
98
Table: Romania's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
99
Table: Romania's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
100
Table: Romania's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
101
Table: Romania's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
101

The Romania Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Romania.

BMI's Romania Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Romania.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Romania to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Romanian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Romania through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc