Europe: Country Risk: Business Forecasts Reports

Business Forecast Reports

- $765 Read More Albania Business Forecast Report 54 pages Pub date: February 4 2010 Quarterly Avoiding Recession, But Caution Still Warranted With limited trade and capital market integration with Western Europe, Albania has managed to weather the global recession relatively well, and is estimated to have been one of only a handful of states in emerging Europe to avoid a recession in 2009. That said, with a host of le...
- $765 Read More Austria Business Forecast Report 39 pages ISSN: ISSN�� 2040-6371 Pub date: March 10 2010 Quarterly The Austria Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Austria.
- $765 Read More Belarus Business Forecast Report 47 pages ISSN: ISSN 1759-8257 Pub date: January 12 2010 Quarterly Impact Of The Breakdown With Russia While we have revised up our forecast for Belarusian growth in 2009 following better than expected H1 real GDP data, we caution that the post Soviet economy is expected to remain in the doldrums through the medium term. Indeed, the Q409 Belarus Business Forecast...
- $765 Read More Belgium Business Forecast Report 39 pages ISSN: ISSN 1745-0721 Pub date: February 11 2010 Quarterly The Belgium Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Belgium.
- $765 Read More Bosnia-Herzegovina Business Forecast Report 64 pages ISSN: 1748-2380 Pub date: February 26 2010 Quarterly Political Tensions To Remain Elevated Bosnia looks set to post weak 1.5% real GDP growth in 2010, as the sluggish recovery in the western Balkans and the eurozone gradually kicks in, prompting a slight return of foreign investment and a pick-up in demand for Bosnia�s exports. That said, w...
- $765 Read More Bulgaria Business Forecast Report 74 pages ISSN: 1479-6023 Pub date: February 4 2010 Quarterly Internal Devaluation Exacerbating Recession Bulgaria�s economic downturn accelerated during the third quarter of 2009, with the government�s internal devaluation strategy exacerbating the deepening recession. Though certainly not as severe as some of the more precarious economies in emerging Europe, Bulgaria�s downturn will l...
- $765 Read More Caucasus Business Forecast Report 78 pages ISSN: 1750-2144 Pub date: February 4 2010 Quarterly Growth Across The Region In 2010 We continue to expect sharp differentiations in economic growth between the three Caucasus economies over the medium term. We now see the Azerbaijani economy growing 11.0% in 2010, up from an estimated 9.0% in 2009, given an expected uptick in oil production and higher oil prices. At the ot...
- $765 Read More Croatia Business Forecast Report 68 pages ISSN: 1743-8411 Pub date: February 4 2010 Quarterly Slow Recovery Ahead The Croatian economy contracted by 5.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) during Q309. This represents a slight improvement from the 6.3% y-o-y and 6.7% declines posted in Q2 and Q1, respectively. While the main driver of the improved headline figure came from consumer spending, which accounts for more than 50% of GDP,...
- $765 Read More Cyprus Business Forecast Report 58 pages ISSN: 1746-5761 Pub date: February 4 2010 Quarterly Make Or Break Time For Reunification Talks The window of opportunity to reach a settlement on reunification will soon close, as elections in the Turkish Cypriot North are likely to bring hardliner Dervis Eroglu, whose Party of National Unity favours partition, to the negotiating table. Incumbent leaders Dimitris Christofias (...
- $765 Read More Czech Republic Business Forecast Report 59 pages ISSN: 1479-6104 Pub date: January 12 2010 Quarterly Worst Has Passed But Recovery Will Be Weak The Czech Republic looks set to post weak growth in 2010 (we forecast real GDP to expand by 1.8%), buoyed only by a slight pick-up in private consumption and continued government spending. Gross fixed capital formation looks set to return to po...
- $765 Read More Denmark Business Forecast Report 28 pages ISSN: ISSN�� 2040-6452 Pub date: January 11 2010 Quarterly The Denmark Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Denmark.
- $765 Read More Estonia Business Forecast Report 66 pages ISSN: 1750-211X Pub date: February 4 2010 Quarterly Early Euro Adoption On Track Despite the regional financial market rally since early 2009 and tentative signals of a global macroeconomic recovery, we hold to our broadly negative long-term outlook for the Estonian economy. Estonia is facing a structural economic contraction as it unwinds an asset and credit bubble built t...
- $765 Read More Finland Business Forecast Report 33 pages ISSN: ISSN�� 2040-6304 Pub date: February 11 2010 Quarterly The Finland Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Finland.
- $765 Read More France Business Forecast Report 37 pages ISSN: 1479-618X Pub date: February 11 2010 Quarterly The France Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in France.
- $765 Read More Germany Business Forecast Report 58 pages ISSN: 1479-6198 Pub date: February 4 2010 Quarterly German Economy Finds Its Feet Germany�s economy is set to bounce back from the 5.0% contraction in real GDP witnessed in 2009 to see growth of 1.7% in 2010 according to BMI�s latest forecasts. We expect to see a more balanced growth profile over the forecast period, with a stronger consumer and a weaker export sector. Support...
- $765 Read More Greece Business Forecast Report 53 pages ISSN: 1479-6163 Pub date: January 12 2010 Quarterly Economic Crisis To Direct New Government�s Policy The new PASO K government issued a shock revision to fiscal data, arguing that its predecessor had been manipulating the figures to hide the extent of Greece�s fiscal problems. The 2009 budget shortfall is now estimated to be 12.7% of GDP...
- $765 Read More Hungary Business Forecast Report 70 pages ISSN: 1474-1431 Pub date: February 4 2010 Quarterly Recovery Stuck In Second Gear Hungary�s medium-term outlook remains weak, and we hold to our forecast for real GDP to expand by only 0.1% in 2010 accordingly. Indeed, the Q210 Hungary Business Forecast Report paints a relatively bleak picture on the health of the Hungarian economy going forward, which we expect to underperfor...
- $765 Read More Iceland Business Forecast Report 22 pages ISSN: ISSN��2040-6282 Pub date: September 25 2009 Quarterly The Iceland Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Iceland.
- $765 Read More Ireland Business Forecast Report 31 pages ISSN: ISSN�� 2040-6290 Pub date: February 11 2010 Quarterly The Ireland Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Ireland.
- $765 Read More Italy Business Forecast Report 32 pages ISSN: 1479-6139 Pub date: January 11 2010 Quarterly The Italy Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Italy.
- $765 Read More Kazakhstan & Central Asia Business Forecast Report 59 pages ISSN: 1746-5743 Pub date: January 12 2010 Quarterly IMF Support Still On The Cards While the economic downturn across Central Asia continues to play out (for the most part), we have revised up our 2009 growth forecasts for Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan to reflect the less severe deterioration through the first half of the year. We still believe that th...
- $765 Read More Latvia Business Forecast Report 60 pages ISSN: 1750-2136 Pub date: February 26 2010 Quarterly Depression Takes Hold While the worst of Latvia�s recession is now likely to have passed, we nonetheless stress that the economy is still set to contract in 2010, underscoring our full-year -2.3% forecast for that year. Moreover, beyond then, we expect economic growth to remain...
- $765 Read More Lithuania Business Forecast Report 57 pages ISSN: 1750-2136 Pub date: January 12 2010 Quarterly Recession To Last Through 2010 Lithuania remains in the midst of a severe macroeconomic and financial crisis. Following the release of Q2 GDP data, which showed the economy contracting by a staggering 20.2% yearon- year (y-o-y), we have revised down our forecast for Lithuanian growth in 2009, and no...
- $765 Read More Macedonia Business Forecast Report 51 pages ISSN: 1746-577X Pub date: January 12 2010 Quarterly Longer-Term Growth Prospects Remain Healthy Although the 2009 recession throughout CEE will set the stage for a prolonged period of modest or even stagnant growth in many of the region�s precarious economies, we believe that Macedonia�s growth outlook remains fairly upbeat. For one, the banking se...
- $765 Read More Netherlands Business Forecast Report 35 pages ISSN: ISSN�� 2040-6347 Pub date: March 10 2010 Quarterly Domestic Politics Employment/Consumer Confidence Dichotomy Dutch consumer confidence is improving: although consumers are still predominantly pessimistic about the economic situation, they are becoming more hopeful about the economy�s prospects for the coming year. While this is the natural reaction to an ...
- $765 Read More Norway Business Forecast Report 22 pages ISSN: ISSN�� 2040-6401 Pub date: September 25 2009 Quarterly The Norway Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Norway.
- $765 Read More Poland Business Forecast Report 74 pages ISSN: 1470-7454 Pub date: February 26 2010 Quarterly On Track To Avoid Recession This Year On the back of H109 GDP data, Poland looks to be one of the few economies in emerging Europe to avoid recession this year. Indeed, the robust banking sector and internal demand driven economic model have limited the feed through from the internation...
- $765 Read More Portugal Business Forecast Report 32 pages ISSN: ISSN�� 2040-6312 Pub date: December 15 2009 Quarterly The Portugal Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Portugal.
- $765 Read More Romania Business Forecast Report 59 pages ISSN: 1479-6120 Pub date: January 12 2010 Quarterly Political Headwinds Could Threaten Economic Recovery Supporting our view that Romania�s economic downturn has likely found a bottom, a flash estimate released by the National Institute of Statistics shows the economy contracting at a rate of 7.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) during Q309, followi...
- $765 Read More Russia Business Forecast Report 76 pages ISSN: 1470-7446 Pub date: February 26 2010 Quarterly Improved Macroeconomic Outlook Russian financial market conditions have improved significantly through Q209-Q309 and we expect this to feed through to a marked economic recovery in 2010. Crisis risks have fallen substantially, and the stabilisation of the banking sector through H110 wil...
- $765 Read More Serbia, Montenegro & Kosovo Business Forecast Report 90 pages ISSN: 1746-5796 Pub date: February 26 2010 Quarterly Risks Shift To The Upside While our core view that trend growth through 2014 will remain well below pre-financial crisis levels, we highlight an increasingly optimistic outlook for 2010 in the Q110 Serbia, Montenegro and Kosovo Business Forecast Report. Indeed, in line with g...
- $765 Read More Slovakia Business Forecast Report 68 pages ISSN: 1479-6236 Pub date: February 26 2010 Quarterly Fiscal Crisis Looming Ahead Of Election? The Q110 Slovakia Business Forecast report portrays an increasingly optimistic outlook on the health of the Slovak economy in 2010. Indeed, while 2009�s recession will certainly be deep, we nevertheless believe that a stable banking sector, broad ...
- $765 Read More Slovenia Business Forecast Report 66 pages ISSN: 1479-6074 Pub date: February 26 2010 Quarterly Recovery Outlook: Slow But Steady We hold to our core scenario for Slovenia, with a tentative macroeconomic recovery expected to begin gaining pace this year. We stress, though, that the improvement in fundamental demand conditions will remain weak through the medium term, limiting pote...
- $765 Read More Spain Business Forecast Report 36 pages ISSN: 1479-6244 Pub date: December 14 2009 Quarterly The Spain Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Spain.
- $765 Read More Sweden Business Forecast Report 30 pages ISSN: ISSN�� 2040-6428 Pub date: January 11 2010 Quarterly The Sweden Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Sweden.
- $765 Read More Switzerland Business Forecast Report 33 pages ISSN: ISSN�� 2040-6339 Pub date: March 10 2010 Quarterly The Switzerland Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Switzerland.
- $765 Read More Turkey Business Forecast Report 57 pages ISSN: 1470-7357 Pub date: January 12 2010 Quarterly A Regional Outperformer In 2010 We hold to our view that Turkey will be a major outperformer in the emerging Europe region in 2010. The country is well positioned to take advantage of a stabilisation in global credit markets and this has already been reflected in a sharp recovery in hea...
- $765 Read More Ukraine Business Forecast Report 63 pages ISSN: 1479-6090 Pub date: January 12 2010 Quarterly Second Wave Crisis Risks Emerging While underlying risks to political and economic stability in Ukraine have been significantly mitigated concomitantly with the broader resurgence in investor risk appetite that has emerged since Q209, our outlook for 2010 remains relatively bleak. Indee...
- $765 Read More United Kingdom Business Forecast Report 33 pages ISSN: 1479-6260 Pub date: February 11 2010 Quarterly The United Kingdom Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in the United Kingdom.

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