Business Monitor International


Poland Shipping Report

Published 19 February 2014

  • 106 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Poland Shipping Report

Strengthening Recovery On The Cards In 2014

BMI is slightly more optimistic about the Polish economy, relative to our last quarterly shipping report. We now estimate 2013 GDP growth at 1.4% (marginally up from 1.3%) and forecast 2014 growth to gather pace to 2.6% (up from 2.3%). As far as the dynamics are concerned, we believe the recession of the first half of 2013 has now bottomed out and growth is being driven by a recovery in eurozone export demand, coupled with stronger consumer demand in the domestic market.

Domestically, low inflation, solid wage growth and an improving labour market are all helping strengthen household purchasing power. Politically, the Civic Platform administration of Prime Minister Donald Tusk has been doing poorly in the opinion polls and relies on a dangerously slim parliamentary majority. The opposition Law and Justice party has benefited from popular dissatisfaction with corruption and currently has an opinion poll lead of almost 10 percentage points. That said, we believe the balance of probabilities is that the Civic Platform will serve out its term to October 2015, and do better as the economy gradually improves.

We expect the country's major maritime ports will see positive growth in 2014, in most cases at rates significantly above GDP expansion. This is especially so in the case of Gdansk, which will continue to see double-digit percentage growth reflecting its capacity expansion and gateway role. The largest global container line, Maersk Line, is its customer, and the shipping company now offers the facility as a port of call on some of its direct Asia-Europe services, offering Poland's importers and exporters cheaper and quicker transport links to ports in China. While at a lower single-digit percentage rate, Gdynia is also expected to grow, having enhanced its container role following its addition as a port of call on Hapag-Lloyd's service and further improvements of its intermodal links.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2014...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
8
Shipping
8
Political
9
Economic
10
Business Environment
11
Industry Forecast
12
Port Of Gdansk Throughput
12
Port Of Gdynia Throughput
18
Table: Major Port Data
21
Table: Trade Overview
22
Table: Key Trade Indicators
23
Table: Top Import Partners, 2004-2012, US$mn
24
Table: Top Export Destinations 2004-2012, US$mn
24
Market Overview
26
Poland Container Shipping Market Overview
26
Industry Trends And Developments
31
Shipping - Global Industry View
34
Container Demand: Growth Outlook To Bolster 2014 Box Volumes
34
Container Supply: Overcapacity To Remain An Issue In 2014
44
Container Rates: Volatile As Demand Ticks Up, But Oversupply Remains
53
Table: Shipping Lines' Agents Offices Raided In Russia
58
Global Company Strategy
61
Maersk Line
61
Mediterranean Shipping Company
71
CMA CGM
77
Evergreen Line
85
COSCO Container Lines Company
92
Macroeconomic Forecasts
99
Table: Poland - Economic Activity
102
Demographic Forecast
103
Table: Poland's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
104
Table: Poland's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
105
Table: Poland's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
106
Table: Poland's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
106

The Poland Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Poland.

BMI's Poland Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Poland.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Poland to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Polish shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Poland through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2017 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc