Business Monitor International


Poland Renewables Report

Published 28 October 2014

  • 39 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Poland Renewables Report

BMI View:   Poland's reluctance to adopt stringent EU emissions targets for 2030 sends warning signals to potential investors in the country's renewables industry. Poland's wavering support for renewable energy and - by extension - the uncertain regulatory environment has long been a key concern, undermining the long-term growth prospects of the sector, despite the recent approval of the RES law.

Poland aims to derive 15% of its energy production from renewable sources by 2020, and we expect the wind and biomass segments to drive growth in the renewables industry. However, Poland remains at odds with the European Commission (EC) amidst concerns that implementing green energy policies will spike domestic electricity prices, destroy Poland's coal mining industry and harm the economy. We do not expect the approach to EU energy policy to change under new Prime Minister Ewa Kopacz, who has adopted a similar tone to her predecessor Donald Tusk (now President of the European Council).

Key Trends And Developments

  • After years of uncertainty and alterations to the draft renewable energy sources (RES) law, the latest version (which was published in November 2013 by Poland's Ministry of Economy), was approved by the Polish government in April 2014. It proposes an alteration to the country's previous support scheme, which utilised Green Certificates, and a switch to a competitive bidding system. The law is scheduled to become effective from January 1 2015.

  • It was announced in September 2014 that the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development is considering investing up to EUR600mn annually in Poland, primarily for renewable energy projects.

  • It was announced in July 2014 that Alstom secured a contract to supply turbines for the 90MW Lotnisko wind power project in Kopaniewo. This project is Alstom's first in Poland and is due online by end-2015 and it entered into the construction phase in September 2014.

  • Swedish renewable energy company OX2 acquired...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
6
Industry Forecast
8
Poland Renewables Forecast Scenario
8
Table: Poland Total Electricity Generation Data & Forecasts, 2012-2017
8
Table: Poland Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
9
Table: Poland Electricity Generating Capacity Data & Forecasts, 2012-2017
11
Table: Poland Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
13
Poland Renewables Projects Database
20
Table: Poland Key Projects - Renewables
20
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
22
Poland Renewables Risk/Reward Ratings
22
Rewards
22
Risks
22
Market Overview
24
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure
24
Targets (Renewables And Emissions)
24
Subsidies
26
Infrastructure
27
Competitive Landscape
28
Tauron Polska Energia
28
PGE/PSE
28
ENEA
29
Energa
29
RWE/STOEN
29
Glossary
31
Table: Glossary Of Terms
31
Methodology
32
Methodology And Sources
32
Industry Forecast Methodology
32
Sources
34
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
34
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
36
Table: Weighting Indicators
38

The Poland Renewables Report researched at source contains Business Monitor International (BMI)'s assessment of the current renewables market in Poland. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Poland, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Poland, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's Poland Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Poland renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Poland to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Poland renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Poland, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc