Business Monitor International


Peru Infrastructure Report

Published 31 December 2013

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$1,295.00
Peru Infrastructure Report

BMI Industry View

BMI View : Peru's construction industry experienced strong growth in the first nine months of 2013, a trend that follows on a remarkable 15.1% real growth in 2012. As a result, we now estimate the industry to grow by 8.1 % in 2014 and an average of 7.4% real growth in the next five years. Our forecast is supported by a robust project pipeline, a growing tourism industry, and high value investment plans to bridge Peru's infrastructure gap, with particular emphasis on the transport sector. However, a deteriorating business environment and severe delay s in the awarding of tenders continue to pose a downside risk to our forecast.

A US$20.5bn budget in infrastructure investment between 2011 and 2016 has prompted strong growth in Peru's construction industry in the last 18 months. Solid double-digit growth in 2012 has been maintained in 2013 when we estimate growth at 10.2%. High value investment plans to expand Peru's infrastructure over the next few years should continue to drive strong growth; however, cracks in the business environment cannot be ignored and may erode growth potential over the medium term.

K ey trends and developments in the industry :

  • Public opinion of the administration of President Ollanta Humala continues to slip, with approval ratings falling to new lows amid perceptions of lack of social progress, security concerns, and endemic corruption. Humala has tried to reverse the trend through a shakeup of key personnel, but we believe that given the structural challenges facing the country, his approval rating will remain under pressure, potentially hamstringing the government's policymaking ability.

  • Considerable investment is being ploughed into Peru's mining sector, putting pressure on the country's existing infrastructure and creating huge demand for new capacity. Mining is typically both electricity- and water-intensive; this is placing a strain on existing infrastructure, which in turn is threatening mining...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT Analysis
7
Peru Infrastructure SWOT
7
Market Overview
8
Peru
8
Five Year Investment Plans (2011-2016)
10
Building Materials
12
Latin America
12
Industry Forecast Scenario
17
Table: Peru Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
17
Table: Peru Construction And Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
18
Construction and Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
20
Transport Infrastructure
23
Table: Peru Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
23
Table: Peru Transport Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
25
Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
27
Transport Infrastructure Overview
29
Major Projects Table - Transport
31
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure
34
Table: Peru Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
34
Table: Peru Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
36
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
38
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Overview
41
Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
43
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
47
Table: Peru Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data, 2010-2016
47
Table: Peru Residential and Non-residential Building Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
47
Residential/Non-Residential Construction Outlook and Overview
48
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure Overview
48
Risk/Reward Ratings
50
Peru's Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
50
Rewards
50
Risks
50
Regional Overview: Latin America Risk/Reward Ratings
52
Table: Americas Infrastructure Risk Reward Ratings
58
Company Monitor
59
OHL Concesiones
59
Global Overview
60
Methodology
67
Industry Forecasts
67
Construction Industry
68
Data Methodology
68
New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors
68
Construction
69
Capital Investment
70
Construction Sector Employment
71
Infrastructure Business Environment Rating
71
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
72

The Peru Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Peru Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Peruvian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Peru to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Peruvian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Peruvian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Peru.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc