Business Monitor International


Peru Food & Drink Report

Published 15 December 2014

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Peru Food & Drink Report

BMI View: We maintain a positive longer-term view of Peru's food and drink sector, which will see strong expansion rates and present a number of interesting investment opportunities over the forecast period. Growth will be driven by a strong consumer outlook, supported by improving labour market situation and favourable crediting conditions. More generally, Peru's food and drink sector will continue to benefit from country's largely youthful population and ongoing formalisation of the mass grocery retail (MGR) segment .

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

  • Food consumption growth year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2014: +9.5%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2013-2018: +9.4%;

  • Per capita food consumption growth (y-o-y) in 2014: +8.1%; CAGR 2013-2018: +8.1%;

  • Soft drinks value sales growth (y-o-y) in 2014: +6.7%; CAGR 2013-2018: +7.0%;

  • Alcoholic drinks value sales growth (y-o-y) in 2014: +5.9%; CAGR 2013-2018: +6.2%;

  • Total mass grocery retail (MGR) value sales growth (y-o-y) in 2014: +9.6%; CAGR 2013-2018: +9.5%.

Key Industry Trends And Developments

Coc oa Production To Grow 5% In 2014: Cocoa production in Peru is expected to increase 5% in 2014 on the back of expansion of area planted, according to the US Department of Agriculture. This could place the country among the top 10 exporters in the coming years. Peru is predicted to produce 70,000 metric tonnes of cocoa in 2014, with high prices on the international market making it a lucrative crop for farmers. The domestic government is also pushing to establish cocoa as an alternative crop to coca. Exports of cocoa bean for 2014 are also expected to increase by 18% to reach 37,000 metric tonnes, with the Netherlands, Germany and Belgium among the biggest importers.

Peruvian Produce Provides Potential For Growth: Peruvian fresh produce exports are estimated to record huge growth in volumes and sales in the coming years, as demand increases for the country's vast range of fruit and...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT Analysis
8
Peru Food Industry SWOT
8
Peru Drink Industry SWOT
9
Peru Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
10
Business Environment
11
BMI's Core Global Industry Views
11
Table: Core Views
19
Latin America Risk/Reward Ratings
20
Table: Latin America Q113 Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings (scores out of 10)
21
Table: Latin America Q113 Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings
24
Peru Food and Drink Risk/Reward Rating
25
Macroeconomic Outlook
26
Table: Economic Activity
28
Industry Forecast Scenario
29
Consumer Outlook
29
Food
32
Food Consumption
32
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts
33
Confectionery
33
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
34
Table: Confectionery Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts
35
Meat And Fish
37
Table: Meat Production, Consumption & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts
37
Table: Fish Production, Consumption & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts
38
Pasta
40
Table: Pasta Production, Consumption & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts
41
Oils And Fats
41
Table: Oils & Fats Production, Consumption & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts
42
Dairy
43
Table: Dairy Production, Consumption & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts
44
Drink
47
Hot Drinks
47
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
48
Table: Tea Production, Consumption & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts
48
Soft Drinks
49
Table: Soft Drink Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
49
Table: Soft Drinks Production, Consumption & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts
50
Alcoholic Drinks
52
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
54
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Production, Consumption & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts
54
Trade
56
Table: Food & Drink Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts
57
Mass Grocery Retail
57
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts
58
Table: Sales Breakdown by Retail Format Type
59
Food
60
Key Industry Trends And Developments
60
Multinationals Invest In Peru
60
Market Overview
61
Organic Farming
62
Drink
63
Key Industry Trends And Developments
63
Aje Group Issues Bond, Exploring IPO
63
Focus on Premium-Segment Beers
64
Coffee Exports Keep Rising
65
Market Overview
66
Hot Drinks
66
Soft Drinks
66
Alcoholic Drinks
67
Mass Grocery Retail
68
Key Industry Trends And Developments
68
Censosud Turns A Corner In Peru
68
Chilean Retailers Investing In Peru
69
Walmart Looks To Expand Peruvian Base
70
Market Overview
71
Table: Structure Of Peru's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Number Of Outlets, 2004-2012
72
Table : Structure of Peru's Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales Value by Format (US$bn)
72
Table: Average Annual Sales Value by Format - 2012
73
Competitive Landscape
74
Key Players
74
Table: Key Players In Peru's Food & Drink Sector
74
Table: Key Players In Peru's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
75
Company Monitor
76
Food
76
Grupo Gloria
76
Good Foods
77
Drink
78
Union de Cervecerias Peruanas Backus y Johnston (Backus)
78
Corporacion Jose R
80
Aje Group
81
Mass Grocery Retail
83
Wong (Cencosud)
83
Saga Falabella
85
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
86
Table: Rewards
86
Table: Risks
87
Weighting
87
Table: Weighting
87
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
88
Food & Drink
88
Mass Grocery Retail
88
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting And Sources
90
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
90
Sources
91

The Peru Food & Drink Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for food and drink expenditure, consumption, sales, and imports/exports and forecasts for the mass grocery retail sector. The report also includes analyses of major regulatory developments, the background macroeconomic outlook and competitive landscape comparing national and multinational companies by leading products and services, sales, investments, partners and expansion strategies.

BMI's Peru Food & Drink Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the food and drink industry and the mass grocery retail market in Peru.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent food and drink industry forecasts for Peru to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Peruvian food and drink market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Peru through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit latest competitive intelligence on your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, and views, covering food and drink manufacturing and consumption and the retail market.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Food & Drink Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors, food and drink manufacturers and mass grocery retailers.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the food, drink and mass grocery retail sectors, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Food Forecasts

BMI's food chapter is divided into sections such as Meat, Fish, Confectionary, Dairy and Canned Foods, and provides insight into a market's food industry, centred on a forecast to end-2018 for the sector. The chapter includes the following elements:

Industry Forecast Scenario - Historical data series and forecasts to end-2018 for growth of key indicators within a market's food industry. Including consumption, food consumption as % of GDP, canned food sales, confectionery sales and food and drink imports and exports, among others.

Industry Developments - A summary of corporate developments, including news on M&As, FDI, expansions, closures and financial results, in addition to analysis and explanation of the latest industry events and how these could influence further investment.

Market Overview - An overview of the structure of the market, introducing the key players and discussing underlying trends.

Drink Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI's food chapter, the drink section provides insight into the market's drink industry, centred on a forecast to end-2018 for the sector. Forecast indicators include alcoholic and soft drink sales by value, volume and sub-sector and tea and coffee sales, among others.

Mass Grocery Retail Forecasts

Segmented the same way as BMI's food and drink chapters, the mass grocery retail section provides insight into a market's grocery retail industry, centred on a forecast to end-201 for the sector. Forecast indicators include mass grocery retail sales by format (including supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience and discount stores) and a breakdown for the organised retail sector versus the traditional sector, among others.

Competitive Landscape & Profiles

Illustration of the industry via rankings tables comparing revenues, number of outlets and number of employees. BMI analyses each company's market position, business strategies and investment potential.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc