Business Monitor International


Pakistan Telecommunications Report

Published 03 September 2014

  • 91 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Pakistan Telecommunications Report

BMI View: Pakistan's telecommunications market is one of the most underdeveloped in the Asia Pacific region . The regulator has successfully auctioned its 3G licences, paving the way for higher value-added services (VAS) to be introduced to the market. This leaves Pakistan with significant room for growth, although the potential might only materialise in the medium- to long - term.

Key Data

  • Pakistan's mobile sector continues to fluctuate due to events such as restrictions on SIM sales through retail channels. There were 139.2mn mobile subscribers in the country at the end of May 2014, up from 131.5mn in December 2013 and 121.9mn in December 2012. Mobile broadband solutions, particularly EV-DO, continued to outperform and have overtaken DSL.

  • ARPUs are expected to continue trending downwards due to the reliance on 2G services and rural expansion, as well as government-enforced network outages in light of security concerns.

Risk/Reward Ratings

Pakistan is in 13th position in BMI's Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Ratings, with a score of 43.9 out of 100. According to most indications, the economy is on track to record its highest annual real GDP growth rate since FY2006/07 (July-June), in line with our estimate for full-year growth to come in at 4.0% in FY2012/13. Among other factors, a critical driving force behind Pakistan's slowly improving economic environment in recent years has been the aggressive easing of monetary policy by the State Bank of Pakistan

Key Trends And Developments

In April 2014, the Pakistan Telecommunication Authority auctioned off 3G and 4G spectrum. Four of Pakistan's five main mobile operators - which include Mobilink, Telenor Pakistan and Ufone - took part in the process and all four came away with 2.1-GHz spectrum, which has been designated for 3G services. China Mobile, which operates locally as Zong, was the only one to also pick up 4G, or 1800-MHz, spectrum.

With effect from July 1 2013, the Federal...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
SWOT
10
Political
11
Economic
13
Business Environment
14
Industry Forecast
15
Mobile
15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2011-2018)
15
ARPU
16
Wireline
18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts (Pakistan 2011-2018)
18
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
21
Table: Asia Pacific Telecoms Risk/Reward Ratings - Q3 2014
25
Market Overview
26
Mobile
26
Table: Pakistan And Asia Pacific's Mobile Market, 2012
27
Key Market Developments
27
Market Growth
27
Market Shares
28
Table: Mobile Base Stations By Operator
29
Usage
29
Networks
30
Mobile Content
33
Table: Selected VAS Developments
34
Table: Pakistan's Quarterly Mobile Overview
35
Table: Mobilink
35
Table: Telenor Pakistan
36
Table: Ufone
37
Table: Zong Telecom
37
Table: Warid Telecom
38
Asia Pacific Mobile Content
38
Tablets Are The New TV
40
Table: Percentage Of Long-Form Video Views By Device
42
Infrastructure Is A Key Enabler
42
Wireline
44
Latest Developments
44
Fixed-Line
44
Table: Pakistan's Fixed-Line Market, June 2013
44
Broadband
45
Industry Trends And Developments
50
Table: Telecoms Market Developments
51
Regulatory Development
53
Table: Pakistan's Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
54
Regulatory Developments
55
Competitive Landscape
58
Table: Key Companies
58
Company Profile
59
Pakistan Telecommunication Company Limited
59
Mobilink
64
Telenor Pakistan
67
Warid Telecom
70
TeleCard
73
Regional Overview
75
Industry Trend Analysis
75
Table: Strategies Of Asian Top Chat Apps
76
Demographic Forecast
81
Table: Pakistan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
82
Table: Pakistan's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
83
Table: Pakistan's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
84
Table: Pakistan's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
84
Glossary
85
Table: Glossary Of Terms
85
Methodology
87
Industry Forecast Methodology
87
Sources
88
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
89
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
90
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
91

The Pakistan Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Pakistan's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Pakistan Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Pakistan.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Pakistan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Pakistani telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Pakistan's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Pakistan.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Rankings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc