Business Monitor International


Oman Telecommunications Report

Published 17 November 2014

  • 110 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Oman Telecommunications Report

BMI View:   Oman's small size and high penetration rates for mobile voice and broadband services means there are few opportunities for prospective new players in the market. Its maturity is reflected by Nawras Telecom 's rebranding as Ooredoo in October 2014, accompanied by a barrage of price-led promotional campaigns designed to retain existing customers as much as secure new clients. The exercise is aimed at cannibalising the success of Oman's unofficial third mobile operator, MVNO FRiENDi , which claims to account for 70% of the 686,000 'reseller' user base and which has been driving market growth over the last 12 months. The official third operator - Samatel - has yet to launch and it seems increasingly unlikely that it ever will, such is the lack of scope for a new infrastructure-led player.

Key Data

  • MVNO-driven mobile subscription growth exceeded expectations in 9M14. We now forecast 6.044mn subscriptions by the end of 2014, rising to 6.338mn by 2018.

  • Wireline voice connections also grew strongly in 9M14 and our forecasts have been raised in anticipation of there being 387,000 by the end of 2018.

  • Broadband connections will number 4.305mn by the end of 2018, in light of very strong take-up of mobile-based accesses in 2013/9M14.

Key Trends And Developments

FRiENDi will launch 4G services in Oman within 12 months. The new offering will be supported by the development of a formal presence in the retail sector as a number of physical stores will be opened across the country. With half a million subscribers, FRiENDi is seen as the driving force behind Oman's newest growth engine and the business has the potential to change the competitive dynamic still further, as evidenced by Ooredoo's launch of new products and services in Q414.  Oman Mobile has been more circumspect with regards to its response, partly because its mobile network supports Oman's MVNOs, but the operator is clearly looking to raise its appeal by developing new...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Mobile SWOT
9
Wireline SWOT
11
Political
13
Economic
14
Business Environment
15
Industry Forecast
16
Mobile
16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
16
Fixed Line
19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts
19
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
22
Table: MENA Telecoms Risks/rewards ratings, Q314
25
Market Overview
26
Mobile
26
Regional Perspective
26
Table: Oman Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2013
27
Key Developments
27
Mobile Growth
28
Market Shares
29
Usage
31
MVNOs
32
Networks
34
Mobile Content
37
Mobile Operator Data
40
Table: Omani Mobile Market Overview
40
Table: Omantel
40
Table: Nawras
41
Table: Resellers
42
Mobile Content
43
Wireline
47
Fixed-Line
47
Table: Fixed-Line Subscription Growth
47
Broadband
50
Table: Oman Fixed Broadband Speeds, Q313
51
International Bandwidth Capacity
54
Industry Trends And Developments
56
Table: Wireline Contract Wins
58
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
59
Table: VAS Timeline
60
Regulatory Development
62
Table: Oman Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
62
Competitive Landscape
69
Table: Key Players In Omani Telecoms Sector
69
Table: Omani Financial Indicators
69
Company Profile
70
Omantel
70
Nawras Telecom
77
Regional Overview
83
Table: OSN Recent Content Developments
84
Demographic Forecast
88
Table: Oman's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
89
Table: Oman's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
90
Table: Oman's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
91
Table: Oman's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
91
Glossary
92
Table: Glossary Of Terms
92
Methodology
94
Industry Forecast Methodology
94
Sources
95
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
96
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
97
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
98

The Oman Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Oman's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Oman Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Oman.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Oman to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Omani telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Oman's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Oman.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Rankings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc