Business Monitor International


Norway Telecommunications Report

Published 03 September 2014

  • 95 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Norway Telecommunications Report

BMI View: The Norwegian telecommunications market faces a change of dynamics following the exit of Tele2, one of the largest operators in July 2014. This is set to bring about redistribution in market shares. The country's second largest operator TeliaSonera will boost its market share having acquired Tele2 assets, while newcomer Access Industries is poised to erode the market share of both incumbent Telenor and TeliaSonera having secured necessary bandwidth and financing to increase its presence in Norwegian market. BMI believes that telecommunications operators will be mostly focussing on data services to increase ARPU, this will not affect the subscriber numbers, however, as the market is past saturation point. Broadband services have scope for growth, especially from rural areas, boosted by a new government support scheme.

Key Data

  • Norwegian mobile market added 31,000 new subscriptions in Q214, this can mainly be attributed to the estimated growth of post-paid subscriber numbers of Tele2 and TeliaSonera.

  • Mobile broadband will be the key data growth driver for the coming years, it has displayed a steady growth as subscriber numbers increased 4.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 822,422 in 2013 from 787,651 in the previous year.

  • Regulator NPT reports that there were 1.236mn fixed telephony connections in Norway at the end of 2013. This represented a y-o-ydecrease of 11.3% from 1.394mn in December 2012

Key Trends And Developments

Following an unsuccessful auction round to acquire 800MHz, 900MHz and 1800MHz bands in December 2013, Tele2 chose to divest its Norwegian assets. TeliaSonera announced acquiring Tele2's assets, but the deal is subject to regulatory approval and due to be finalised in 2015. With the acquisition TeliaSonera increased its 4G coverage considerably and vowed to reach 98% of population with 4G coverage by 2016. Reportedly, the newcomer Access Industries, that secured spectrum Tele2 missed out on, aims to build its 4G network by 2015....

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
SWOT
9
Political
10
Economic
11
Business Environment
12
Industry Forecast
13
Mobile
13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
13
ARPU Forecasts
14
Fixed-Line
16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts
16
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
18
Changes At The Top
18
Table: Western Europe Telecoms - Risk/Rewards Ratings, Q314
21
Market Overview
23
Mobile
23
Table: Norway Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2013
24
Key Developments
24
Market Growth
26
Market Shares
27
Table: Net Additions By Operator ('000), Q212-Q114
29
Usage
30
MVNOs
32
Networks
32
Mobile Content
36
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
39
Mobile Operator Data
40
Table: Mobile Market Overview
40
Table: Telenor
40
Table: NetCom
41
Table: Tele2/Network Norway
42
Western Europe Mobile Content
44
Monetising Footfall
45
Interoperable M-Commerce A Stronger Proposition
46
Positioning Key To M2M Success
47
Regaining Control Of The Bill
49
Wireline
51
Recent Developments
51
Fixed Telephony
51
Fixed Broadband
53
Table: Residential Fixed Broadband Subscriptions By Technology ('000)
54
Table: Business Fixed Broadband Subscriptions By Technology ('000)
54
Converged Operator Data
56
Table: Telenor
56
Table: Telio Norway/NextGenTel
58
Table: Tele2 Norway
59
Industry Trends And Developments
61
Regulatory Development
65
Regulatory Overview
65
Table: Norway: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
65
Regulatory Developments
67
Table: MTR Glide Path 2011-2013 (NOK/min)
70
Competitive Landscape
71
Table: Key Players - Norway Telecoms Sector
71
Table: Selected Operator Financial Parameters, 2009-2013
72
Company Profile
73
Telenor ASA
73
Telenor Mobil
78
TeliaSonera Norway
82
Regional Overview
86
INSIDE Secure: New Strategy, New Deals
86
Revenue Growth Momentum Recovers In Q413
87
Table: INSIDE Secure - Key Performance Indicators (USD '000)
88
Strengthening Mobile Security Proposition
89
Acquisition Bolsters Security Capabilities
89
New Licensing Deal With Intel Offsets Exposure To BlackBerry
90
Demographic Forecast
92
Table: Norway's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
93
Table: Norway's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
94
Table: Norway's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
95
Table: Norway's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
95
Glossary
96
Table: Glossary Of Terms
96
Methodology
98
Industry Forecast Methodology
98
Sources
99
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
100
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
101
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
102

The Norway Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Norway's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Norway Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Norway.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Norway to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Norwegian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Norway's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Norway.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Rankings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc