BMI View : The renewables sector in the Netherlands has faced uncertainty in recent years, as the government has repeatedly shifted the goalposts in terms of renewable energy generation targets, from 20% to 16% and then 14% of total energy by 2020. This has undermined the confidence of investors in the market resulting in slow development of new projects however subsidies have been increased and new projects are appearing lending a more positive view over the longer term.
Major new projects include the Gemini Wind Farm, located off the Dutch island of Schiermonnikoog in the North Sea which will have 600MW capacity through 150 units of 4MW Siemens wind turbines. The EUR2.8bn project has been financed in part by the European Investment Bank, while shareholders Northland Power, Siemens Project Venture, HVC and Van Oord are contributing EUR400mn. This project, due online in 2017, reflects the growing confidence held by investors in the Dutch renewables sector.
We expect that wind power generation will increase by between 5% and 7% per year throughout our forecast period, leading to total generation in 2023 of 10.87TW (under 9% of total energy generation). This is short of government targets but still a substantial increase, and moving forward increased community involvement and a growing sense of investment and ownership on the part of the public are likely to encourage support for new onshore wind farms which will help to expand capacity.
Over the longer term, the development of geothermal projects could prove to be a valuable addition to the renewable market in the Netherlands. The government recently awarded geothermal product licences, and industry expectations suggest geothermal energy could account for as much as 2% of the country's natural gas consumption in the long run. However, until potential resources are fully explored, actual projects are announced and contracts awarded and financed, we will not be revising our renewables forecasts to include...
The Netherlands Renewables Report researched at source contains Business Monitor International (BMI)'s assessment of the current renewables market in Netherlands. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).
The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Netherlands, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.
The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Netherlands, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.
BMI's Netherlands Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Netherlands renewables industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Netherlands to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Netherlands renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Netherlands, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.
These in turn are broken down into:
Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.
Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.
These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.
The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.