BMI View : Growth of renewable energy in the Netherlands has stuttered due to repeated restating of renewable energy generation targets, from 20% to 16% to 14% by 2020, leaving little confidence in the market for investors. However subsidies have been increased and a range of projects are appearing in the pipeline, lending weight to a more positive outlook in the longer term, particularly for geothermal energy, which could show substantial development potential.
Wind power generation is expected to grow overall throughout our ten-year forecast period to 2023, at between 6% and 9% per year. Although development has been curtailed due to limited public support, recently announced projects including the purchase of a EUR1.3mn wind turbine by 1700 Dutch would seem to signal a potential change in this perception. Community involvement and a sense of investment and ownership on the part of the public are likely to encourage support for new onshore wind farms and we feel grassroots level developments, such as that led by Windcentrale, could result in a more widespread acceptance of turbines in the country in future.
Geothermal projects could be a valuable addition to the renewable market in the Netherlands and the government recently announced the awarding of geothermal project licences. Industry expectations suggest geothermal energy could account for as much as 2% of the country's natural gas consumption in the long run. However, until actual projects are announced and contracts awarded, we will not be revising our forecasts to include this capacity.
Due to lower-than-expected growth in wind generation and the reducing of the 2020 target we have cut our non-hydropower renewable generation growth for 2013, from 1.86% to just 0.97%, a pronounced slowdown from the 10-year average of around 10%. The bulk of growth will be driven by expansion of wind generation capacity and although there will be healthy growth in the solar power sector, this is expected to account for...
The Netherlands Renewables Report researched at source contains Business Monitor International (BMI)'s assessment of the current renewables market in Netherlands. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).
The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Netherlands, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.
The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Netherlands, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.
BMI's Netherlands Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Netherlands renewables industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Netherlands to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Netherlands renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Netherlands, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.
These in turn are broken down into:
Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.
Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.
These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.
Business Environment Ratings
BMI's Renewables Business Environment Ratings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Ratings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.
The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.