BMI View: The Netherlands' metals sector has put recent volatility behind it, and is looking forward to enjoying a sustained period of growth in both steel production and consumption through to the end of our forecast period to 2018. The growth momentum will benefit from prices for high quality steel remaining elevate d. Indeed in both output and use in the Netherlands growth will be uninterrupted over the coming years . Within this, we believe steel will continue to dominate the country's metals industry; however, we do not expect any significant new investment over the coming years. Tata Steel, the largest producer in the country is facing up to an increasingly hostile and competitive operating environment with cheap steel and aluminium being exported from China. However, opportunities remain in high-quality steel, of which the Netherlands is a key producer.
Long-Term Growth In Output
After posting a contraction in production of 0.8% y-o-y in 2012, the Netherlands benefitted from decreased volatility in the eurozone to post steel output of 6,948,000 tonnes in 2013, representing an improvement of 1.0% y-o-y. Similarly after a contraction in 2012, steel consumption in the Netherlands recorded a return to growth last year. The sector turned around a contraction of 6.8% in the previous year to record growth of 2.95% last year.
While the 2013 turnaround in fortunes of the sector was impressive, and BMI's projections of a sustained period of growth welcomed, we note that the speed at which consumption will slow as we move towards the end of our forecast period in 2018. BMI is forecasting y-o-y growth in consumption of 2.95% in 2014 but just 0.75% by 2018. Production levels in the Netherlands are expected to accelerate through to the end of our forecast period, however, to reach a level of 1.4% in 2018 (compared with 1.0% in 2014).
Tata Steel Europe is aiming to reduce costs by 20% in FY2012/13, while at the same time increasing investment. It is spending...
The Netherlands Metals Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data for steel, aluminium and other major globally-traded commodities. Our analysis covers all primary indicators, including production, exports and price, with our forecasts underpinned by Business Monitor International (BMI)'s macroeconomists global economic outlook. The report analyses trends and prospects and critically evaluates latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Netherlands.
BMI's Netherlands Metals Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the metals industry in Netherlands.
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BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key forecasts and industry analysis, covering metals production and prices, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.
SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's metals sector, business environment, politics and economics, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.
Global Metals Market Overview
Global demand, supply and price forecasts for steel and aluminium, as well as gold, copper and tin, drawing on both our industry expertise and our macroeconomic and financial market team's long-term global demand forecasts and shorter-term market views.
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.
Production (`000 tonnes, US$bn), consumption (`000 tonnes, US$bn), exports (`000 tonnes, US$bn); prices (US$/tonne), and growth (%).
BMI forecasts to end-2018 for headline country macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth (%), GDP per capita (US$), population (mn), industrial production index (% y-o-y average) and unemployment (% of labour force).