Business Monitor International


Namibia Infrastructure Report

Published 11 November 2014

  • 51 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Namibia Infrastructure Report

BMI View: The construction sector in Namibia continues to perform well but longer term growth forecasts have been downgraded to reflect base effects from current high levels.   In the near term the sector is expected to perform exceptionally well with year-on-year (y-o-y) growth of 27. 4 5% for 2014.   We expect prolonged construction industry to be maintained owing to the government's major investment drives and strong natural resource demand.

Namibia's construction sector growth is being driven by a number of factors (listed below). The country has great potential and a building boom has seen a flurry of contracts signed and building permits approved. This acceleration in approvals is filtering through to activity on the ground and expected to deliver strong double-digit growth in 2014. 

This boom will be unsustainable at this level over the longer term, driven predominantly by short-term government stimulus, such as the Targeted Intervention Programme for Employment and Economic Growth (TIPEEG). Potential to sustain the building boom into the latter part of our 10-year forecast will depend on unlocking energy sector potential and attracting significant volumes of private capital to make big ticket investments possible.

Key Elements Providing Market Potential

  • The Namibia Ports Authority revealed that construction on Namibia's port, called Southern Africa Development Community Gateway Port, 5km north of Walvis Bay, will start in 2015. The first phase will include construction of a NAD4bn (USD365.28mn) oil tanker jetty, a 75mn litre oil storage facility and petroleum pipelines. Phases two and three of the port, scheduled to begin in 2030, will include construction of a multi-purpose dry bulk terminal and a coal terminal to supply coal shipments of up to 65mn tonnes from Botswana's Mmabula coalfields in five berths.

  • The Namibian government may invite private investors for the Walvis Bay port-rail link project following the completion of a...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Infrastructure SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Namibia 2012-2017)
11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Namibia 2018-2023)
11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
21
Table: Mozambique Transport Corridors
23
Major Projects Table - Transport
28
Table: Planned And Ongoing Transport Projects, Southern Africa
28
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
33
Table: SAPP Members
41
Major Projects - Energy & Utilities
43
Table: Planned And Ongoing Energy & Utilities Projects, Southern Africa
43
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
50
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
57
Table: Major Projects - Social Infrastructure & Construction
57
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
60
Namibia - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
60
Rewards
60
Risks
61
Sub-Saharan Africa - Infrastructure Risk Reward Ratings
62
Table: SSA Infrastructure Risk Reward Ratings
67
Market Overview
68
Competitive Landscape
68
Table: Number Of Contractors In Southern Africa (excluding South Africa)
68
Table: Number Of Contractors In Southern Africa (by region & including South Africa)
69
Pulling On Historic Ties
70
China Trade Off, Other Asian Countries Follow Suit
71
South Africans Expanding Into Their Backyard
74
Global Infrastructure Overview
75
Methodology
81
Industry Forecast Methodology
81
Sector-Specific Methodology
82
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
86
Sector-Specific Methodology
87
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
87
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
88

The Namibia Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Namibia Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Namibian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Namibia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Namibian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Namibian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Namibia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The Reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points to provides indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The infrastructure Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc