Business Monitor International


Namibia Infrastructure Report

Published 12 May 2014

  • 107 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Namibia Infrastructure Report

BMI View: A revision of economic and construct i on data by the Bank of Namibia points to strong fundamentals for the country that bode well for long - term growth. A sharp uptick in planned construction over the near term is expected to boost the size of Namibia's cons t ruction industry. The sector is now f orecast to post stellar year-on- year (y-o-y) growth of 27.75% for 2014 and we expect the construction industry to maintain a high growth rate over the longer term as a result of the government's major investment drives. We forecast average growth of 10.3% y - o - y from 2014 to 2023 .

Namibia's construction sector growth is being driven by a number of factors (listed below). The country has great potential and a building boom has seen a flurry of contracts signed and building permits approved. This acceleration in approvals is filtering through to activity on the ground, with revised figures from the Bank of Namibia pointing to strong double-digit growth in 2014.

This boom will be unsustainable at this level over the longer term, driven predominantly by short-term government stimulus, such as the Targeted Intervention Programme for Employment and Economic Growth (TIPEEG). Potential to sustain the building boom into the latter part of our 10-year forecast will depend on unlocking energy sector potential and attracting significant volumes of private capital to make big ticket investments possible.

Key elements providing market potential

  • The governments of Namibia and Botswana are expected to sign a final agreement for the construction of the proposed Trans-Kalahari railway in coming weeks in Walvis Bay, Namibia. The 1,500km trans-frontier railway line, which will run parallel to the Trans-Kalahari highway, will connect Botswana's Mmamabula coal mine to Walvis Bay. The Democratic Republic of Congo, Zambia and Zimbabwe, along with parts of South Africa, will also be able to use the proposed railway line to transport goods. No details were provided...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Infrastructure SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Namibia 2012-2017)
11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Namibia 2018-2023)
11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
21
Table: Mozambique Transport Corridors
23
Major Projects Table - Transport
27
Table: Planned And Ongoing Transport Projects, Southern Africa
27
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
33
Table: SAPP Members
40
Major Projects - Energy & Utilities
42
Table: Planned And Ongoing Energy & Utilities Projects, Southern Africa
42
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
49
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
56
Table: Major Projects - Social Infrastructure & Construction
56
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
59
Namibia - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
59
Rewards
59
Risks
60
Sub-Saharan Africa - Risk/Reward Ratings
61
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
70
Market Overview
71
Competitive Landscape
71
Table: Number Of Contractors In Southern Africa (excluding South Africa)
72
Table: Number Of Contractors In Southern Africa (by region & including South Africa)
72
Pulling On Historic Ties
73
China Trade Off, Other Asian Countries Follow Suit
74
South Africans Expanding Into Their Backyard
77
Global Infrastructure Overview
78
Middle East/North Africa Presents Strongest Investment Profile
78
Methodology
84
Industry Forecast Methodology
84
Sector-Specific Methodology
85
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
89
Sector-Specific Methodology
90
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
90
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
91

The Namibia Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Namibia Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Namibian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Namibia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Namibian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Namibian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Namibia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc