Business Monitor International

Mozambique Autos Report

Published 12 May 2014

  • 51 pages
Mozambique Autos Report

BMI sees favourable conditions for growth in both passenger cars and commercial vehicles in Mozambique. Driving passenger car sales over the next five years will be a burgeoning middle class and higher levels of disposable income.

Meanwhile, the commercial vehicles (CV) segment is set to benefit from Mozambique's infrastructure sector, which we believe holds one of the strongest growth outlooks across the Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) region. I nvestment in mining and more recently gas exploration is necessitating the construction of support infrastructure, with an estimated US$30 bn in projects in the pipeline. Beyond industrial demand for commercial vehicles, BMI also expects to see an uptick in demand from the urban transportation sector (ie, public buses).

Such is the demand for vehicles in Mozambique that the country's fleet size has grown by over 832% between 1990 and 2012, to 487,000 units, according to estimates from the National Land Transport Institute (INTT). In terms of segments, light vehicles (comprising of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles) accounts for nearly 63% of the total fleet, followed by heavy vehicles' 21% share. The remainder is made up of tractors, trailers and motorcycles.

In total, we forecast total new vehicle sales to reach 35,500 units in 2018, almost double the levels seen in 2012. CV sales will continue to account for the lion's share of new vehicle sales.

There is also optimism in the autos production segment, with 2013 a landmark year for the industry. Chinese company China Tong Jian Investment (CTJI) officially opened and began production at a US$150mn facility in Matola in February 2013, and began tire production the following month. The significant investment meant Mozambique now joins the rank of the few coveted African markets to boast of local autos manufacturing.

Attracted by its vehicle demand potential and prospects for gas production from 2020, carmakers are looking to make an early presence in the alternative...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2012-2018)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Table: Mozambique's GDP By Expenditure, 2011-2018
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Table: Autos Risk/Reward Ratings - Sub-Saharan Africa
Competitive Landscape
Company Profile
Company Monitor
Regional Overview
Global Industry Overview
Table: Passenger Car Sales March 2014
European Growth Gathers Momentum
Japan Prepares For Tax Fallout
China Wobble Adds To BRIC Weakness
Demographic Forecast
Table: Mozambique's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
Table: Mozambique's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
Table: Mozambique's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
Table: Mozambique's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

The Mozambique Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Mozambique Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Mozambique.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Mozambique to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Mozambican automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Mozambican automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Mozambique.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.


Executive Summary

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's proprietary Autos Business Environment Ratings are a unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index that separately analyses the risks and rewards of operating in each market. It is aimed at investors (including manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) who seek to either identify and compare market opportunities, or evaluate country-specific operational challenges.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industries, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2017 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Total production value (US$bn); total production of units; production by vehicle-type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total sales value (US$bn); sales by vehicle-type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles (vans and microbuses, pickups, trucks and buses, 4 wheel drive); total exports by value (US$bn) and by units; total imports by value (US$bn) and by units; contribution to GDP; employment in industry.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2017 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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