Business Monitor International


Mexico Freight Transport Report

Published 07 October 2014

  • 82 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Mexico Freight Transport Report

We have revised down our 2014 real GDP growth forecast to 3.1% from 3.3%, compared to growth of 1.1% in 2013, due to weak private consumption growth in Q114. We believe that following the passage of energy sector reform, the country will garner significant foreign investment in the coming years. We remain  optimistic toward Mexico's long-term growth outlook  on the back of a booming manufacturing sector, an increasingly strong private consumer and favourable demographics.

In addition to favourable data out of the US, Mexico's key export market, we note that autos manufacturers Chrysler and  Nissan have indicated plans to expand manufacturing capacity at their plants in Mexico. The passage of energy sector reform will bolster sentiment towards Mexican assets and contribute to stronger real GDP growth in the coming years.

Headline Industry Data

  • Air freight tonnes forecast to grow 2.2% in 2014, to reach 106.3mn tonnes.

  • Road freight tonnes forecast to grow 3% in 2014, to reach 528.4mn tonnes.

  • Rail freight tonnes forecast to grow 2.8% in 2014, to reach 115.1mn tonnes.

  • Port of Manzanillo total tonnage growth in 2014 is estimated to hit 6.2%, to reach 30.5mn tonnes.

Key Trends And Developments

BNSF, Ferromex Introduce New Intermodal Service : Freight transportation services provider BNSF and private rail consortium Ferromex (FXE) have rolled out a new rail and road freight service between Chicago in the US and Silao, Mexico, due to have begun May 27 2014.

Qatar Airways Launches Doha-Mexico City Freighter Service : Qatar Airways Cargo was scheduled to begin its new twice-weekly freighter service to Mexico City on June 11 2014. With the new service, the airline is expanding its cargo operations into Latin America. Qatar Airways Cargo will use the Boeing 777 freighter for the service between Doha and Mexico City's Benito Juárez International Airport.

Hutchison ' s Lazaro Cardenas Expansion Complete : The USD225mn second phase expansion project...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Freight Transport
9
Political
10
Economic
11
Business Environment
12
Industry Forecast
13
Air Freight
13
Table: Air Freight, 2011-2018
15
Road Freight
15
Table: Road Freight, 2011-2018
17
Table: Rail Freight, 2011-2018
19
Inland Waterway Freight
19
Table: Inland Waterway Freight, 2011-2018
19
Maritime Freight
20
Table: Maritime Freight, 2011-2018
21
Trade
21
Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018
21
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018
22
Table: Main Import Partners, 2005-2012
23
Table: Main Export Partners, 2005-2012
24
Market Overview
25
Industry Trends And Developments
29
Maritime Freight
29
Rail Freight
32
Air Freight
32
Company Profile
33
Grupo M-xico
33
Kansas City Southern de M-xico
39
Aerotransportes Mas de Carga
45
Political Outlook
47
Domestic Politics
47
Long-Term Political Outlook
49
Table: Political Overview
53
Oil Price Outlook
54
Jet Fuel
54
Table: BMI Crude Oil & Jet Fuel Price Forecast, USD/bbl
54
Better Outlook Tames Price Fall
54
Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volume Growth
56
Risks To Outlook
59
Diesel
60
Table: BMI Crude Oil And Diesel Price Forecast (USD/bbl)
60
New York's One-Off Heat Up
60
NY: Short-Term Diesel Price Support Expected
63
Rotterdam: Green Policies Drive Diesel Forward
67
Singapore: Diesel Support With Power Risks
69
Risks To Outlook
73
Bunker Fuel
74
Table: BMI Crude Oil & Bunker Fuel Price Forecast (USD/bbl)
74
The Storm Clears For Shipping
75
(Slightly) Better Times For Bunker Prices
77
Long-Term Threats Linger
78
Pressing Rotterdam & New York Harder
80
Risks To Outlook
81
Macroeconomic Forecasts
82
Table: Mexico - GDP By Expenditure, Real Growth %
87
Demographic Forecast
88
Table: Mexico's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
89
Table: Mexico's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
90
Table: Mexico's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
91
Table: Mexico's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
91
Methodology
92
Industry Forecast Methodology
92
Sector-Specific Methodology
93
Sources
94

The Mexico Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Mexico Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Mexican freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Mexico to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Mexican freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Mexico.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the freight sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Industry Trends And Developments

Analysis of latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Transport Sector: Sector Value (US$bn); sector real growth (%); employment (`000); total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes)

Trade: Exports and imports (US$mn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top-5 import and export trade partners (US$mn); imports/exports to each global region (US$mn)

Port Data: Throughput (`000 tonnes) and container throughput (TEU) for all major ports in the state

Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (US$/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs

Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (US$bn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (US$); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)

Market Overview

Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.

Political Outlook

The freight reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.

Company Profiles

Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc