Business Monitor International


Lithuania Infrastructure Report

Published 31 December 2013

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$1,295.00
Lithuania Infrastructure Report

BMI View: The deteriorating relations between Russia and the EU are proving to have a detrimental effect on Lithuanian economic momentum - weak demand from Russia and elsewhere, and poor investment confidence. However, the economy is forecast to strengthen beyond 2015 as the external situation improves, and while the infrastructure will ultimately stagnate over the next decade, there are still opportunities in construction, and EU-funded transport and energy developments.

In the long term, despite a slowing and moderated growth picture, we do not expect any major fluctuations, and while steadiness may not spell a market with abundant opportunity, investors can be assured of Lithuania's position as an attractive investment destination, owing to its EU membership. Lithuania's fiscal deficit converging with EU-prescribed targets, achieving a nominal shortfall below 3% of GDP and adopting the euro in 2015 will all bolster investor confidence, thereby promoting foreign investment and keeping security risks low. Help will also come from the EU's support of Lithuania's energy independence projects and regional transport integration investments.

Key Trends And Developments

  • The Lithuanian Ministry of Transport and Communications plans a 72.5km highway to improve transport links between Vilnius and Utena. The private-public partnership project involves resurfacing the existing highway. The contract for the project will also involve a 10-year maintenance programme, which will start after the completion of construction work. Resurfacing work will begin in 2016 and is expected to be completed in 2019.

  • A boon to Baltic LNG supply is the opening of a terminal in Klaipeda, Lithuania. Alluding to Baltic cooperation and solidarity, and the end of a perceived Russian monopoly on gas supply to the region, Lithuanian President Dalia Grybauskaite said: 'As our energy sources become more diverse, our energy security gets stronger. Lithuania has consistently worked to...

Table of Contents

Executive Summary
5
Market Overview
7
SWOT Analysis
8
Lithuania Infrastructure Industry SWOT
8
Building Materials
9
Europe
9
Table: Cement Price / Volume, % Variance (6M11/6M12)
13
Industry Forecast Scenario
14
Table: Lithuania Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
14
Table: Lithuania Construction And Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
15
Transport Infrastructure
19
Table: Lithuania Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
19
Table: Lithuania Transport Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
21
Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
23
Major Projects Table - Transport
26
Table: Major Projects - Transport
26
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure
27
Table: Lithuania Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
27
Table: Lithuania Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Long-term Forecasts, 2015-2021
29
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
31
Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
33
Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
33
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
35
Table: Lithuania Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data, 2010-2016
35
Table: Lithuania Residential And Non-Residential Building Long-term Forecasts, 2015-2021
35
Residential and Non-Residential Construction Forecast Scenario
36
Business Environment
37
Lithuania Business Environment Overview
37
Rewards
37
Risk To Realisation Of Potential Returns
37
Regional Overview
38
Central and Eastern Europe Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
38
Table: CEE Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings, Scores Out Of 100
40
Company Monitor
41
AB YIT Kaustas
41
AB Panevezio Statybos Trestas (PST)
43
Global Overview
45
Methodology
52
Industry Forecasts
52
Construction Industry
53
Data Methodology
53
New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors
53
Construction
55
Capital Investment
55
Construction Sector Employment
56
Infrastructure Risk Reward Rating
57
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
58
Sources
59

The Lithuania Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Lithuania Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Lithuanian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Lithuania to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Lithuanian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Lithuanian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Lithuania.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc