Business Monitor International


Lithuania Infrastructure Report

Published 31 December 2013

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Lithuania Infrastructure Report

BMI View: There is cautious optimism in the Lithuanian construction sector, bolstered by improvements in the domestic economy and stronger export performance. Although these factors will prove potent enough to help the sector return to positive growth territory in 2013 and 2014, the medium- to long-term outlook will remain less impressive, owing to uncertainties surrounding key transport and energy projects. On the brighter side, its EU membership will attract investors, helping the sector post annual average growth of 3.6% between 2014 and 2023.

The key projects and developments are:

  • Port Expansion: The Lithuanian port sector received a boost from the EUR44mn (US$57.2mn) loan agreement signed between the Nordic Investment Bank (NIB) and the Klaipeda State Seaport Authority in March 2013. Funding will be used for the reconstruction of quays, the building of a pier for passenger and cargo ferries, as well as dredging and boarding the port's navigation channel. A EUR28mn (US$37.04mn) contract was signed by a consortium between Lemminkäinen and YIT in February 2013, to construct an extension to a container terminal at the Lithuanian Seaport of Klaipeda.

  • On PPP Road: Out of the six pilot public-private partnership (PPP) projects, one reached financial close in May 2013, when the Palanga bypass was awarded to Kauno Tiltai and Siauliu Plentas. The partners will design, build, operate and finance the project at a cost of EUR36mn over 25 years. Construction will begin by end-2013 and is due to be completed in Q215.

  • Power Link Dispute Settled: The much-delayed Swedlit power link project received all the necessary permits from the Lithuanian authorities in May 2013, which will enable construction to start from early-2014. It was announced in October 2009 that Latvia had agreed for Lithuania to host the cable. The link is now expected to be completed by end-2015, compared with the 2012 deadline previously announced.

  • Uncertain Nuclear Future: Lithuania...

Table of Contents

Executive Summary
5
Market Overview
7
SWOT Analysis
8
Lithuania Infrastructure Industry SWOT
8
Building Materials
9
Europe
9
Table: Cement Price / Volume, % Variance (6M11/6M12)
13
Industry Forecast Scenario
14
Table: Lithuania Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
14
Table: Lithuania Construction And Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
15
Transport Infrastructure
19
Table: Lithuania Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
19
Table: Lithuania Transport Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
21
Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
23
Major Projects Table - Transport
26
Table: Major Projects - Transport
26
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure
27
Table: Lithuania Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
27
Table: Lithuania Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Long-term Forecasts, 2015-2021
29
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
31
Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
33
Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
33
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
35
Table: Lithuania Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data, 2010-2016
35
Table: Lithuania Residential And Non-Residential Building Long-term Forecasts, 2015-2021
35
Residential and Non-Residential Construction Forecast Scenario
36
Business Environment
37
Lithuania Business Environment Overview
37
Rewards
37
Risk To Realisation Of Potential Returns
37
Regional Overview
38
Central and Eastern Europe Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
38
Table: CEE Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings, Scores Out Of 100
40
Company Monitor
41
AB YIT Kaustas
41
AB Panevezio Statybos Trestas (PST)
43
Global Overview
45
Methodology
52
Industry Forecasts
52
Construction Industry
53
Data Methodology
53
New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors
53
Construction
55
Capital Investment
55
Construction Sector Employment
56
Infrastructure Risk Reward Rating
57
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
58
Sources
59

The Lithuania Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Lithuania Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Lithuanian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Lithuania to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Lithuanian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Lithuanian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Lithuania.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc