Business Monitor International


Kuwait Retail Report

Published 18 December 2014

  • 64 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Kuwait Retail Report

BMI View: Private consumption growth in Kuwait will remain robust over the coming quarters, supported by low interest rates, abundant liquidity conditions and increases in handouts. While the ARA index of consumer confidence has been heading slightly lower in recent months, the increase in the number of point-of-sale transactions (a proxy for retail activity) has remained elevated, standing at 18.4% year-on-year in Q114.

The Kuwait Retail Report provides an extensive and comprehensive forecast of various retail indicators including household spending and headline total spending across each retail subsector, household income and employment forecasts, demographic forecasts and a detailed breakdown of household and per capita spending across a large number of retail areas including food & drink, clothing & footwear, household goods and a number of other subsectors.

Kuwait's economy will grow at a modest pace over the coming quarters as the dominant oil sector weighs on headline growth. We forecast real GDP growth of 2.9% in 2014 and 2.7% in 2015, from an estimated 3.0% in 2013. Private consumption growth will remain robust over the coming quarters, supported by low interest rates, abundant liquidity conditions and increases in handouts.

International retailers have long targeted Kuwait as one of the most lucrative markets in the Middle East, with net income per household forecast to reach USD47,838 in 2015. High-end retailers present in the Kuwaiti retail market include Chanel, Burberry, Louis Vuitton, Prada and Christian Dior. Increasingly sophisticated shopping centres are being developed, offering further opportunities for retailers. We see long-term potential in the Kuwaiti consumer market, particularly for non-essential items and aspirational purchasing by younger consumers whose incomes are rising. However, Kuwait's small population limits opportunities for retailers. Nevertheless, the steady rise in household income represents a strong boost for...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Retail SWOT
9
Political
11
Economic
12
Industry Forecast
13
Headline Retail Forecast
13
Table: Total Household Spending (Kuwait 2011-2018)
14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Kuwait 2011-2018)
14
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Kuwait 2011-2018)
17
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Kuwait 2011-2018)
18
Retail Sector Forecast
19
Food, Drink And Tobacco
20
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Kuwait 2011-2018)
21
Clothing And Footwear
21
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Kuwait 2011-2018)
22
Household Goods
22
Table: Household Goods Spending (Kuwait 2011-2018)
23
Personal Care
24
Table: Personal Care Spending (Kuwait 2011-2018)
24
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
24
Table: Household Income Data (Kuwait 2011-2018)
26
Demographic Forecast
26
Table: Total Population (Kuwait 2011-2018)
27
Table: Population: Babies (Kuwait 2011-2018)
28
Table: Population: Young Children (Kuwait 2011-2018)
28
Table: Population: Children (Kuwait 2011-2018)
28
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Kuwait 2011-2018)
29
Table: Population: Young People (Kuwait 2011-2018)
29
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Kuwait 2011-2018)
29
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Kuwait 2011-2018)
30
Table: Population: Young Adults (Kuwait 2011-2018)
30
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Kuwait 2011-2018)
30
Table: Population: Urban (Kuwait 2011-2018)
31
Macroeconomic Forecasts
32
Household Consumption: Positive Outlook Remains
33
Government Consumption Outlook: Pickup In Growth
34
Fixed Investment: Finally Looking More Positive
35
Net Exports Outlook: Consumption To Weigh On Oil Exports
36
Political Risk At The Fore
38
Table: Kuwait - Economic Activity
38
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
39
Middle East And Africa Risk/Reward Ratings
39
Table: MEA Regional Risk/Reward Ratings
39
Kuwait Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
40
Rewards
40
Risks
40
Table: Middle East And Africa Retail Risk/Reward Ratings
40
Market Overview
41
Retail Subsectors
43
Tourism
44
Competitive Landscape
45
Department Store Groups
45
Mass Grocery Retail (MGR)
46
Fashion
46
Consumer Electronics
47
Glossary
48
Methodology
55
Industry Forecast Methodology
55
Sources
58
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
58
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
61

The Kuwait Retail Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent assessment and forecasts for the retail sector. The report examines key drivers of retail sales growth and future prospects, including consumer spending and private sector investment.

BMI's Kuwait Retail Report also examines the level of development and potential for growth of the retail sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, changing consumer demographics that influence demand and the regulatory environment. Key sub-sectors include mass grocery retail, autos, over-the-counter pharmaceuticals, computers and consumer electronics.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent retail industry forecasts for Kuwait to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Kuwaiti retail market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Kuwait through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key forecasts and industry analysis, plus a discussion of major industry developments and a snapshot of key short-term demand-driving macroeconomic movements.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the retail sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

There are four separate 5-year forecast modules in the retail reports. These are:

Headline Retail Forecast: Total Household Spending, (US$bn and local currency, % growth, % GDP, per capita, per household); Spending by Retail Sector for: food and non-alcoholic drink, alcoholic drink, clothing and footwear, housing and utilities, furnishings and home, health, transport, recreation, education, transport, restaurants and hotels, personal care and insurance (US$bn and local currency, % growth, % GDP, % of total spending)

Retail Sector Forecast: Breakdown of Food, Non Alcoholic Drink, Alcohol, Tobacco, Clothing, Footwear, Household Goods, Furnishings, Appliances, Glass and Tableware, Household Textiles, Consumer Electronics, Garden Toys and Pets, Home and Garden tools, Personal Care, Personal Effects Spending (US$bn, % Growth);

Household Income and Numbers Forecast: Number of Households (‘000,% growth); gross income per household and per capita; net income per household and per capita; tax and social contributions per capita; breakdown of household incomes – US$5000+, US$10,000+ US$50000+ (‘000, % of total); labour force, employment and unemployment (‘000, % change)

Demographic Forecast: Total population; Babies 0-12 months; Young Children 0-4yrs; Children 5-9yrs; Young Teens and Older Children 10-14yrs; Older Teens 15-19yrs; Adults 21yrs +; Young Adults 21-29yrs; Middle Aged 40-64yrs (‘000, % growth, male, female); Urban Population (‘000, % population); Rural Population (‘000, % population).

Industry Risk Reward Rankings

BMI’s Retail Industry Risk Reward Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk Reward Rankings index aimed at investors in the regional retail market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

Market Overview

Provides a detailed country-specific analysis of the key trends and developments in the retail sector as a whole, as well as an assessment of the main drivers affecting the major retail segments including mass grocery retail, fashion, pharmacies, consumer electronics, home improvement and personal care.

The market overview also considers the most effective store formats in a given country and the impact of these factors on the main international and domestic players’ development strategies.

Competitive Landscape

This provides a brief overview of the key players in each subsection of the retail sector including MGR, Fashion, Home Improvement, Consumer Electronics, Pharmacies, and Department Store chains.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc