Business Monitor International


Kenya Renewables Report

Published 14 August 2014

  • 41 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Kenya Renewables Report

BMI View:   The Kenyan government's push to improve electrification rates, expand renewable energy, improve electricity trade links and reduce its reliance on hydropower and diesel are strategically sound moves that will benefit the country both economically and socially over the coming decade. We hold a particularly optimistic outlook towards the country's geothermal industry, as capacity comes online and the government continues to invite proposals for the construction of new geothermal power plants.

Kenya's energy policy and efforts to promote renewable technology reflect the need to diversify the country's electricity mix away from expensive imported oil and unreliable hydropower. Kenya has the potential to generate power from almost all types of renewable energy resources - including geothermal, wind and solar power. We are witnessing positive developments across the renewables segment, with large-scale geothermal plants and wind projects under way and small-scale decentralised rural renewables projects also gaining traction.

Recent D evelopments:

  • Kenya's Geothermal Development Company has called for investors to develop 300 megawatts (MW) of geothermal capacity in the Suswa region of the Kenyan Rift Valley. The Suswa region is estimated to have about 750MW of geothermal energy potential, and the 300MW project (which is likely to comprise three 100MW plants) is scheduled for development between 2016 and 2018.

  • Kenya's government invited proposals for the construction of two geothermal power plants with a combined capacity of about 60MW in July 2014. Each of the two plants will have capacity of between 30-35MW, and will be built on a build-own-operate basis at the Menengai geothermal field. The selected independent power producers will be granted power purchase agreements with national electric utility Kenya Power.

  • The CEO of Kenya Power recently pledged to connect a million new customers to the grid before the end of the 2014/2015 fiscal year....

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
6
Industry Forecast
8
Kenya Renewables Forecast Scenario
8
Table: Kenya Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017
8
Table: Kenya Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
9
Table: Kenya Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017
11
Table: Kenya Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
12
Table: Kenya Geothermal Sites
17
Kenya Renewables Projects Database
25
Table: Kenya Renewables Projects
25
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
27
Kenya Renewables Risk/Reward Ratings
27
Rewards
27
Risks
28
Market Overview
29
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure
29
Targets (Renewables And Emissions)
29
Subsidies
30
Table: Renewable Feed-In Tariffs In Kenya, 2010
30
Infrastructure
31
Competitive Landscape
33
Kenya Electricity Generating Company (KenGen)
33
Geothermal Development Company (GDC)
33
Kenya Power (KP)
34
Glossary
35
Table: Glossary Of Terms
35
Methodology
36
Methodology And Sources
36
Industry Forecast Methodology
36
Sources
38
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
38
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
40
Table: Weighting Indicators
42

The Kenya Renewables Report researched at source contains Business Monitor International (BMI)'s assessment of the current renewables market in Kenya. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Kenya, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Kenya, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's Kenya Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Kenya renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Kenya to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Kenya renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Kenya, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc