Business Monitor International


Italy Autos Report

Published 03 March 2014

  • 64 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Italy Autos Report

Vehicle sales in Italy declined 7.6% in 2013, to some 1.4mn units on the back of a weak macro environment. This came from a 7.0% drop in passenger car sales and 13.3% fall in the commercial vehicle (CV) segment. In 2014, we expect these dynamics to continue to impact the autos sector, and accordingly forecast a 4.8% drop in vehicle sales over the year.

BMI forecasts a 5.1% contraction in the passenger car segment in 2014, as we believe consumers will remain reticent about big ticket purchases, and a recovery in the autos sector is likely to lag behind broader improvements in private consumption. However, pent-up demand in the market from sustained declines may buoy sales somewhat over the year. Furthermore, low base effects from weak sales in 2013 may help boost growth.

In 2014, BMI forecasts a decline of 2% in the LCV segment and 1% in heavy truck sales. This has been informed by our still-bearish view on the country's manufacturing and construction sectors, although some relief is likely to come on the back of pent-up demand from several years of sustained declines in the market and low base effects from a moribund 2013.

Indeed, we expect business and manufacturing activity in the country, key drivers of growth in the CV segment, to remain relatively subdued over the coming year. Furthermore, we believe that many businesses are delaying their purchasing decisions in the face of this economic decline.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Autos
8
Political
9
Economic
10
Business Environment
12
Industry Forecast
13
Sales, Production And Trade
13
Sales
13
Table: Italy Auto Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts
13
Production
14
Table: Italy Auto Production - Historical Data & Forecasts
14
Trade
15
Table: Italy Auto Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts
15
Table: Italy Exports By Vehicle Category
15
Passenger Vehicles
16
Table: Italy Passenger Car Segment - Historical Data & Forecasts
16
Table: Italy - Passenger Car Sales By Brand
17
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Owner
19
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Engine Type
19
Table: Average Age Of Cars On The Road
20
Production
20
Table: Passenger Car Production By Brand
21
Table: Passenger Car Exports By Brand
21
Industry News
22
Table: Fiat Global Production Distribution
24
Commercial Vehicles
24
Table: Italy Commercial Vehicle Segment - Historical Data & Forecasts
24
Industry News
27
Motorcycles
28
Table: Italy Motorcycle Segment - Historical Data & Forecasts
28
Suppliers
31
Macroeconomic Forecast
32
Table: Italy - Economic Activity
39
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
40
Table: Europe Risk Rewards Rating
43
Company Profile
45
Global Company Strategy
45
Regional Overview
48
Global Industry Overview
50
Table: Passenger Car Sales November 2013 (CBUs)
50
Europe On Road To Recovery
50
Tax Hike Skews Japan's Outlook; US Hits Sweet 16
52
China Is BRIC Bright Spot
54
Demographic Forecast
57
Table: Italy's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
58
Table: Italy's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
59
Table: Italy's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
60
Table: Italy's Rural/Urban Population Split, 1990-2020
60
Methodology
61
Industry Forecasts
61
Sector-Specific Methodology
62
Sources
62
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
63
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators
64

The Italy Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Italy Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Italy.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Italy to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Italian automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Italian automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Italy.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's proprietary Autos Business Environment Ratings are a unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index that separately analyses the risks and rewards of operating in each market. It is aimed at investors (including manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) who seek to either identify and compare market opportunities, or evaluate country-specific operational challenges.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industries, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2017 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Total production value (US$bn); total production of units; production by vehicle-type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total sales value (US$bn); sales by vehicle-type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles (vans and microbuses, pickups, trucks and buses, 4 wheel drive); total exports by value (US$bn) and by units; total imports by value (US$bn) and by units; contribution to GDP; employment in industry.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2017 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc