Business Monitor International


Israel Freight Transport Report

Published 01 April 2014

  • 85 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Israel Freight Transport Report

We forecast fairly modest growth in Israel's freight transport sector in 2014, though this will be an improvement for air and rail freight volumes, both of which have suffered declines in recent years. The major port of Ashdod also suffered a fall in volume handling in 2013. Political risk from the civil war in Syria and escalating sectarian tensions in Lebanon could all weigh on the Israeli economy and its freight transport sector (though this also presents transit opportunities). However, with the eurozone set to return to growth following two years of economic contraction, Israel could see a boost in its export volumes. The country is looking towards the future, and is committed to developing its ports, though this brings with it strike risk from workers disgruntled at the planned privatisation of key facilities.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2014 air freight growth is forecast at 1.4% following an estimated decline of 2.0% in 2013; we project average growth of 1.8% per annum to 2018.

  • 2014 Port of Haifa tonnage throughput growth is forecast at 7.2%, and to average 6.1% per annum to 2018.

  • 2014 rail freight tonnage is forecast to grow by 2.4%, and to average 2.5% to 2018.

  • Total trade growth in real terms in 2014 is forecast to grow 3.2% and average 3.7% to 2018.

Key Industry Trends

Zim Records USD530mn Loss In 2013: Israel's Zim Integrated Shipping Services (Zim) registered a net loss of USD530mn in 2013, compared with a loss of USD428mn in the year-ago period. The net loss was driven by the cancellation of a one-off payment of USD161mn for newbuild vessels. In the reported period, the company posted a 7% year-on-year fall in revenues to USD3.7bn, compared with USD4.0bn in 2012.

El Al Strike Over: A strike by El Al pilots was brought to an end on Sunday, May 11, with help from the mediation efforts of the Histradut Labour Federation. The pilots had walked out on May 8, in a surprise strike which disrupted business, leaving passengers stranded in Ben Gurion...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Freight Transport
9
Business Environment
11
Economic
12
Political
13
Industry Forecast
14
Air Freight
15
Table: Air Freight
17
Rail Freight
17
Table: Rail Freight
19
Maritime
19
Table: Maritime Freight
21
Trade
22
Table: Trade Overview
22
Table: Key Trade Indicators
22
Table: Israel's Main Import Partners (US$mn)
23
Table: Main Export Partners (US$mn)
24
Market Overview
25
Industry Trends And Developments
27
Air
27
Rail
27
Maritime
28
Company Profile
30
El Al Israel Airlines Q2 2103
30
Zim Integrated Shipping Services (Zim)
33
Regional Overview
37
Political Outlook
37
Domestic Politics
37
Table: Israel Political Overview
39
Foreign Politics
40
Table: Israel - 2013 Scenario Forecast
51
Table: Iran- - 2013 Scenario Forecast
52
Foreign Politics 2
52
Foreign Politics 3
55
Macroeconomic Forecasts
64
Private Consumption Outlook
65
Fixed Investment Outlook
66
Government Spending Outlook
67
Net Exports
67
Risks To Outlook
68
Table: Israel - Economic Activity
69
Demographic Forecast
70
Table: Israel's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
71
Table: Israel's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
72
Table: Israel's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
73
Table: Israel's Rural/Urban Population Split, 1990-2020
73
Methodology
74
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
74
Transport Industry
75
Sources
75

The Israel Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Israel Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Israeli freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Israel to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Israeli freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Israel.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the freight sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Industry Trends And Developments

Analysis of latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Transport Sector: Sector Value (US$bn); sector real growth (%); employment (`000); total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes)

Trade: Exports and imports (US$mn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top-5 import and export trade partners (US$mn); imports/exports to each global region (US$mn)

Port Data: Throughput (`000 tonnes) and container throughput (TEU) for all major ports in the state

Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (US$/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs

Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (US$bn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (US$); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)

Market Overview

Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.

Political Outlook

The freight reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.

Company Profiles

Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc