Business Monitor International


Iran Telecommunications Report

Published 06 March 2014

  • 77 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Iran Telecommunications Report

BMI View: Iran's large population should make it one of the most attractive telecoms markets in the Middle East. However, political and economic challenges remain and currency fluctuations limit access to the latest devices, limiting the market's growth. Added to which, the Iranian government is keen to restrict access to international internet content, creating a national internet network that will bypass international gateways and cut off large swathes of global content. For this, the gover n ment began talks with the Chinese government in early 2014. These factors offer considerable downside to the Iranian market and slow the expected growth of the market's sectors.

Key D ata

  • Fixed-line connections slowed significantly in 2013, rising less than 2%. While we expect growth to continue, there are many factors that could see the market begin to decline in line with most emerging markets.

  • Mobile subscriptions declined slightly in Q313 as MTN reported a sharp loss in connections. While this makes little overall impact on our forecasts for the market, it does highlight the high proportion of prepaid subscriptions in the market.

  • We retained our forecast for around 3.8mn 3G subscriptions at the end of 2013 and we expect the rapid growth to continue. However, additional competition in the market would have a greater impact on growth.

Key Trends And Developments

Iran and China will partner to control content online and build a 'clean' internet in Iran, according to news in January 2014. The restrictions will apply to the National Information Network (NIN). The news had little impact on our forecasts for broadband subscriptions as the NIN is already factored into the estimates for market expansion. BMI notes that China's restricted internet access and blocking of content deemed unsuitable has not stopped consumers in that country getting online and developing a number of home-grown social networking services and platforms. Although we do not expect Iran to...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
SWOT
10
Political
12
Economic
13
Business Environment
14
Industry Forecast
15
Mobile
15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
15
Fixed-Line
17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2011
17
Broadband
19
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
19
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
21
Table: MENA Telecoms Risks/Rewards Ratings, Q214
24
Market Overview
25
Mobile
25
Regional Perspective
25
Table: Iran's Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2012
26
Key Developments
26
Market Growth
27
Table: Mobile Market June 2013
28
Market Shares
29
Usage
30
Networks
31
Mobile Content
32
Mobile Operator Data
34
Table: Iran Mobile Market Overview
34
Table: MTN Irancell
34
Table: Hamrahe Aval (Mobile Communications Company of Iran)
35
Table: Taliya (Rafsanjan Industrial Complex)
36
Mobile Content
36
Wireline
40
Fixed-Line
40
Broadband
40
Pay-TV
44
Industry Trends And Developments
46
Table: Industry Trends And Developments
47
Regulatory Development
48
Table: Iran's Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
48
Regulatory Developments
52
Competitive Landscape
54
Table: Key Players: Iranian Telecoms Market
54
Company Profile
55
Telecommunications Company Of Iran (TCI)
55
MTN Irancell
59
Regional Overview
63
Table: Tecnotree - Recent Key Performance Indicators
63
Products & Services
63
Sales Distribution
64
New Strategy Paying Off
65
Demographic Forecast
67
Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
68
Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
69
Table: Iran's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
70
Table: Iran's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
70
Glossary
71
Table: Glossary Of Terms
71
Methodology
73
Industry Forecast Methodology
73
Sources
74
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
75
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
76
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
77

The Iran Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Iran's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Iran Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Iran.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Iranian telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Iran's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Iran.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Ratings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

secure
Benefit from discounts when you add multiple products to your basket
2 Products SAVE 10%
3 Products SAVE 15%
4 Products SAVE 20%
5 Products SAVE 25%
6 Products SAVE 30%
7 - 20 Products SAVE 35%
21 Products or more SAVE 40%

Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc