Business Monitor International


Iran Shipping Report

Published 05 March 2014

  • 118 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Iran Shipping Report

We forecast that Iran will return to economic growth in 2014, with real GDP set to expand by 2.8% following our 2013 estimate of a 3.5% contraction. Container shipping also is set to take tentative steps to recovery. Risks to the upside to both of these forecasts are presented by the growing rapprochement between Iran and the international community. However, the country's shipping sector has been impacted severely by sanctions in recent years - another hit came in 2013 as since the introduction of strengthened US sanctions on July 1, all major shipping lines ceased calling at Iranian ports. At the time of writing, in January 2014, it appeared that shipping lines would be returning to Iran as rapprochement continued. However, this had not been confirmed and there were no indications as to when it was expected to happen.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2014 Port of Bandar Abbas throughput forecast to grow by 3.1%, and average growth of 6.0% to 2018.

  • 2018 Port of Bandar Abbas throughput expected to reach 1.992mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) - not enough to match 2011 volumes.

  • 2014 total real trade is forecast to return to growth at 2.0%, and average 1.9% to 2018.

Key Industry Trends

Foreign Shipping Lines To Resume Traffic At Ports: Five international shipping lines have affirmed their intention to resume traffic to Iranian ports, according to the vice president for maritime affairs of the Ports and Maritime Organization (PMO) of Iran, Seyed Ali Estiri (Tasnim) in January. The Geneva nuclear deal and the activation of Shaheed Rajaie Port (Bandar Abbas)'s second operator, together with favourable international conditions, supported the decisions of the major shipping lines, said Estiri on January 26.

Easing Of Sanctions Provides Limited Upside For Exports: Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh's comments in November 2013 that Iran does not expect to raise its oil exports in the immediate term is in line with our view that despite the recent agreement, any...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Shipping
9
Political
11
Economic
12
Business Environment
13
Industry Forecast
14
Port Of Bandar Abbas Throughput
14
Table: Major Port Data, 2011-2018
17
Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018
17
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018
18
Table: Main Import Partners, 2004-2012
19
Table: Main Export Destinations, 2004-2012
20
Market Overview
21
Iran Container Shipping Market Overview
21
Industry Trends And Developments
31
Company Profile
35
Islamic Republic Of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL)
35
NITC
38
Shipping - Global Industry View
42
Container Demand: Growth Outlook To Bolster 2014 Box Volumes
42
Container Supply: Overcapacity To Remain An Issue In 2014
52
Container Rates: Volatile As Demand Ticks Up, But Oversupply Remains
61
Table: Shipping Lines' Agents Offices Raided In Russia
67
Global Company Strategy
69
Maersk Line
69
Mediterranean Shipping Company
79
CMA CGM
85
Evergreen Line
94
COSCO Container Lines Company
102
Macroeconomic Forecasts
108
Economic Analysis
108
Table: Iran - Economic Activity
114
Demographic Forecast
115
Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
116
Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
117
Table: Iran's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
118
Table: Iran's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
118

The Iran Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Iran.

BMI's Iran Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Iran.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Iranian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Iran through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2017 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

secure
Benefit from discounts when you add multiple products to your basket
2 Products SAVE 10%
3 Products SAVE 15%
4 Products SAVE 20%
5 Products SAVE 25%
6 Products SAVE 30%
7 - 20 Products SAVE 35%
21 Products or more SAVE 40%

Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc