Business Monitor International


Iran Shipping Report

Published 06 June 2014

  • 118 pages
 
$1,295.00
Iran Shipping Report

We forecast that Iran will return to economic growth in 2014, with real GDP set to expand by 2.8% following our 2013 estimate of a 2.9% contraction. Container shipping also is set to take tentative steps to recovery. Risks to the upside to both of these forecasts are presented by the growing rapprochement between Iran and the international community. However, the country's shipping sector has been impacted severely by sanctions in recent years - another hit came in 2013 following the introduction of strengthened US sanctions on July 1, which resulted in all major shipping lines ceasing to call at Iranian ports. At the time of writing in April 2014, it appeared that shipping lines would be returning to Iran as rapprochement continued. However, this had not been confirmed and there were no indications as to when it was expected to happen.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2014 Port of Bandar Abbas throughput forecast to grow by 5.6%, and average growth of 6.5% to 2018.

  • 2018 Port of Bandar Abbas throughput expected to reach 2.04mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) - still not enough to match 2011 volumes.

  • 2014 total real trade is forecast to return to growth at 4.3%, and average 2.1% to 2018.

Key Industry Trends

Jebel Ali Port Shipping Volumes From Iran Record Decline: The Jebel Ali Port in the UAE registered a decline of 300,000 standard container units in shipping volumes from Iran in 2013, according to the port's operator DP World. Sanctions imposed on Iran by the US and EU contributed to the decline.

DP World Plans Expansion With More Investments: DP World plans to expand further with investments across the UK, Africa and Iran, according to DP World Chairman Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem. DP's subsidiary DP Beyond Europe is extending its business rapidly in Africa as part of its expansion plan. The company plans to invest in the Middle East after the removal of international sanctions on Iran, as the country was one of its largest markets before the sanctions,...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Shipping
9
Business Environment
11
Economic
12
Political
13
Industry Forecast
14
Bandar Abbas Throughput Outlook
14
Table: Major Port Data, 2010-2017
16
Table: Trade Overview, 2010-2017
17
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2010-2017
17
Table: Main Import Partners (US$mn)
18
Table: Main Export Partners (US$mn)
19
Market Overview
20
Iran Container Shipping Market Overview
20
Industry Trends And Developments
28
Company Profile
30
Islamic Republic Of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL)
30
NITC
33
Global Industry Overview - Container Shipping
37
Demand: Global Box Outlook Brightening
37
Supply: Overcapacity To Remain As More Megas Saturate The Market
48
Table: Container Line Mega-Vessel Newbuild Plans
50
Rates: A Strong Start, But Rate Management Must Continue
53
Table: 2012 SCFI Europe Base Port Average Freight Rate Overview
57
Table: 2012 SCFI USWC Base Port Average Freight Rate Overview
57
Global Industry Overview - Dry Bulk Shipping
58
Demand: Stimulus Blip Playing Out, Bit For How Long-
58
Supply: Dry Bulk Fleet growth Slipping, But Overcapacity Still A Problem
63
Table: China Iron Ore Trade Partners Overview
69
Table: China Coal Trade Partners Overview
69
Global Industry Overview - Liquid Bulk Shipping
70
Improving Fundamentals In Dirty Tanker Market
70
Tonne-Mile Growth To Support Product Tanker Sector
73
LNG Boom To Stall In 2013
76
Global Company Strategy
79
Maersk Line
79
Mediterranean Shipping Company
88
CMA CGM
93
Evergreen Line
101
COSCO Container Lines Company
107
Hapag-Lloyd
114
Hanjin Shipping
120
APL
125
China Shipping Container Line (CSCL)
132
Mitsui OSK Lines
139
Macroeconomic Forecasts
144
Table: European Union Increasing Pressure On Iran
144
Table: Iran - Economic Activity
146
Demographic Forecast
147
Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
148
Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
149
Table: Iran's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
150
Table: Iran's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
150

The Iran Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Iran.

BMI's Iran Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Iran.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Iranian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Iran through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2017 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

secure
Benefit from discounts when you add multiple products to your basket
2 Products SAVE 10%
3 Products SAVE 15%
4 Products SAVE 20%
5 Products SAVE 25%
6 Products SAVE 30%
7 - 20 Products SAVE 35%
21 Products or more SAVE 40%