Business Monitor International


Iran Shipping Report

Published 03 December 2014

  • 118 pages
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  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Iran Shipping Report

Our outlook for the Iranian shipping sector depends on the current rapprochement between the pariah state and the West, and the attendant relaxation of sanctions, continuing. The Iranian economy will expand slowly in 2015 as talks on the nuclear programme continue without reaching a breakthrough, and BMI projects real GDP growth of 2.8% in 2015, following our estimate of a 2.9% contraction in 2013 and 2.8% growth in 2014. The shipping sector will be a major beneficiary of an easing of sanctions, not only through a general recovery in the economy, but also from a fundamental perspective. The removal of port operator Tidewater from EU sanction lists means that international shipping companies are set to begin calling at Iranian ports such as Bandar Abbas once more. Growth will take time to recover, however, given the massive inflation seen in Iran in recent years, and the damage done to consumers' purchasing power as a result.

Headline Industry Data

  • 2015 port of Bandar Abbas throughput forecast to grow by 6.7%, and average growth of 6.8% to 2019.

  • 2019 port of Bandar Abbas throughput expected to reach 2.19mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) - still insufficient to match 2011 volumes.

  • 2015 total real trade is forecast to return to growth at 2.9%, and average 2.2% to 2019.

Key Industry Trends

India-Afghan Trade To Be Boosted By New Links :  Trade volumes between India and Afghanistan will be boosted, with the long delayed Chabahar port project in Iran moving forward. The port will also offer India greater access to the Central Asian market via Iran.

European Shipping Lines Unable To Restart Operations :  Foreign shipping companies have expressed eagerness to cooperate with the port of Shaheed Rajayee in Iran, according to Ali Jahandideh, deputy head of the Iranian Ports and Maritime Organisation. International shipping lines have commenced loading and unloading operations following the lifting of Western sanctions against the port.

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Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Shipping
9
Business Environment
11
Economic
12
Political
13
Industry Forecast
14
Bandar Abbas Throughput Outlook
14
Table: Major Port Data, 2010-2017
16
Table: Trade Overview, 2010-2017
17
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2010-2017
17
Table: Main Import Partners (US$mn)
18
Table: Main Export Partners (US$mn)
19
Market Overview
20
Iran Container Shipping Market Overview
20
Industry Trends And Developments
28
Company Profile
30
Islamic Republic Of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL)
30
NITC
33
Global Industry Overview - Container Shipping
37
Demand: Global Box Outlook Brightening
37
Supply: Overcapacity To Remain As More Megas Saturate The Market
48
Table: Container Line Mega-Vessel Newbuild Plans
50
Rates: A Strong Start, But Rate Management Must Continue
53
Table: 2012 SCFI Europe Base Port Average Freight Rate Overview
57
Table: 2012 SCFI USWC Base Port Average Freight Rate Overview
57
Global Industry Overview - Dry Bulk Shipping
58
Demand: Stimulus Blip Playing Out, Bit For How Long-
58
Supply: Dry Bulk Fleet growth Slipping, But Overcapacity Still A Problem
63
Table: China Iron Ore Trade Partners Overview
69
Table: China Coal Trade Partners Overview
69
Global Industry Overview - Liquid Bulk Shipping
70
Improving Fundamentals In Dirty Tanker Market
70
Tonne-Mile Growth To Support Product Tanker Sector
73
LNG Boom To Stall In 2013
76
Global Company Strategy
79
Maersk Line
79
Mediterranean Shipping Company
88
CMA CGM
93
Evergreen Line
101
COSCO Container Lines Company
107
Hapag-Lloyd
114
Hanjin Shipping
120
APL
125
China Shipping Container Line (CSCL)
132
Mitsui OSK Lines
139
Macroeconomic Forecasts
144
Table: European Union Increasing Pressure On Iran
144
Table: Iran - Economic Activity
146
Demographic Forecast
147
Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
148
Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
149
Table: Iran's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
150
Table: Iran's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
150

The Iran Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Iran.

BMI's Iran Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Iran.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Iranian shipping market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Iran through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
  • Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc