Business Monitor International


Iran Infrastructure Report

Published 10 November 2014

  • 63 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Iran Infrastructure Report

BMI View:   We reiterate our view that the Iranian construction industry will pick up momentum in the short-to-medium term, with growth forecast to average 3.6 % over the next five years. While this is highly dependent upon the outcome from negotiations with the West over the nuclear programme, the market is already showing signs of recovery and interest from international firms is on the rise.

The Islamic Republic remains a country of pronounced risks, including political instability, economic challenges and social tensions, and we believe the current situation is unsustainable in the long term. Despite elevated oil prices, US energy sanctions and the EU oil embargo have affected Iranian oil production and consequently the economy at large. With the oil and gas industry accounting for an estimated 70% of the country's total exports, the government has been forced to cut public spending, with a devastating impact on infrastructure development.

Key Trends And Developments

  • Although we estimate construction industry growth to have been 1.4% in 2014, we expect the industry to pick up momentum in the short- to medium term, growing at an average rate of 3.6% over the next five years.

  • A 'permanent' agreement between the P5+1 countries and Iran on the Islamic Republic's nuclear programme will not be reached in 2015. Significant technical and political challenges remain, but we expect nuclear talks will continue throughout the year.

  • Our Country Risk team forecasts real GDP growth of 2.8% and 2.9% in 2014 and 2015 respectively, from a 2.9% contraction in 2013. The return to growth will be the result of improving relations with the West, more effective macroeconomic management and low base effects.

  • In the residential sector, we believe that housing prices will remain relatively elevated over the coming quarters, largely a result of a lack of appropriate housing units. Although we are confident that the current administration will succeed in encouraging...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
6
Infrastructure SWOT
6
Industry Forecast
8
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
8
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2012-2017)
8
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2018-2023)
9
Key Trends In The Market
11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
16
Major Projects Table - Transport
21
Table: Major Projects Table - Transport
21
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
24
Major Projects Table - Energy & Utilities
29
Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
29
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
32
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
36
Iran - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
36
Rewards
36
Risks
37
Middle East And North Africa - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
38
Table: MENA Infrastructure Risk / Reward Index
43
Market Overview
44
Competitive Landscape
44
Table: Iran EQS Data
45
Company Profile
46
Iran Power Plant Projects Management Co
46
Global Industry Overview
49
Table: Construction Industry Value, Real Terms, % Change
50
Table: BMI's Top 5 Markets
54
Methodology
56
Industry Forecast Methodology
56
Sector-Specific Methodology
57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
61
Sector-Specific Methodology
62
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
63

The Iran Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Iran Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Iranian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Iranian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Iranian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Iran.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The Reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points to provides indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The infrastructure Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

secure
Benefit from discounts when you add multiple products to your basket
2 Products SAVE 10%
3 Products SAVE 15%
4 Products SAVE 20%
5 Products SAVE 25%
6 Products SAVE 30%
7 - 20 Products SAVE 35%
21 Products or more SAVE 40%

Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc