Business Monitor International


Iran Infrastructure Report

Published 12 May 2014

  • 82 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Iran Infrastructure Report

BMI View: We forecast the Iranian construction industry will expand 1% in 2014 as our outlook for the country grows more optimistic. We expect industry growth to gather momentum in the short - to medium term due to an easing of economic sanctions, low base effects, increasing interest from foreign players and high demand for infrastructure projects.

The Islamic Republic remains a country of pronounced risks, including political instability, economic challenges and social tensions, and we believe the current situation is unsustainable in the long term. Despite a spike in oil prices, the latest wave of US energy sanctions and the EU oil embargo have taken its toll on Iranian oil production and consequently the economy at large. With the oil and gas industry accounting for an estimated 70% of the country's total exports, the government has been forced to cut public spending further, with a devastating impact on infrastructure development.

Key Trends And D evelopments

  • In January 2014, Iran and the so-called P5+1 countries - China, France, Russia, the UK and the US plus Germany - reached an understanding on the implementation of a deal reached in November 2013. The accord starts a six-month timetable to reach a final agreement on the nuclear programme. Although the signing of the interim accord is a positive step in negotiations that could help attract foreign investment for infrastructure projects, significant challenges remain.

  • In the residential sector, the current administration led by President Hassan Rouhani has put a stop to the Mehr plan, a move which is likely to encourage private sector companies to step in and contribute to a gradual decline in housing costs.

  • We have seen progress on the USD450mn Iran to Iraq gas transmission pipeline. Although the pipeline was expected to be completed already, the section in Iraq was delayed as a result of unstable security and property issues. In fact, 15 Iranians and three Iraqi workers were killed in a...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
6
Infrastructure SWOT
6
Industry Forecast
8
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
8
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2012-2017)
8
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2018-2023)
9
Key Trends And Developments
11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
15
Major Projects Table - Transport
20
Table: Major Projects Table - Transport
20
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
24
Major Projects Table - Energy & Utilities
29
Table: Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
29
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
33
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
37
Iran - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
37
Rewards
37
Risks
38
Middle East And North Africa - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
39
Table: MENA Infrastructure Risk / Reward Ratings
44
Market Overview
46
Competitive Landscape
46
Table: Iran EQS Data
47
Company Profile
48
Iran Power Plant Projects Management Co
48
Global Industry Overview
51
Middle East/North Africa Presents Strongest Investment Profile
51
Methodology
57
Industry Forecast Methodology
57
Sector-Specific Methodology
58
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
62
Sector-Specific Methodology
63
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
64

The Iran Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Iran Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Iranian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Iranian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Iranian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Iran.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc