Our outlook for the Iranian freight transport sector in 2015 is that the country will begin to see a return to growth in volumes, in part due to base effects, and in part due to the more moderate stance adopted by new President Rouhani, and the loosening of sanctions against the country. Although the ports and shipping industry continue to face significant challenges, rail freight continues to see strong investment. That said, it will take time for the Iranian economy to recover, and consumption levels will remain depressed for some time.
Headline Industry Data
2015 port of Bandar Abbas throughput is forecast to expand by 6.7%, and to average growth of 6.8% per annum through to 2019.
2015 road freight volume is forecast to expand by 3.6% and to average growth of 4.4% per annum through to 2019.
2015 rail freight tonnes-km is forecast to expand by 2.0%, and to average 2.1% growth per annum through to 2019.
2015 air freight tonnes-km is forecast to expand by 1.8% and to average 1.9% growth per annum to 2019.
2015 total trade is forecast to experience real growth of 2.9%, and average 2.2% to 2019.
Key Industry Trends
India-Afghan Trade To Be Boosted By New Links : Trade volumes between India and Afghanistan will be boosted, with the long delayed Chabahar port project in Iran finally moving forward. The port will also offer India greater access to the Central Asian market via Iran.
European Shipping Lines Unable To Restart Operations : Foreign shipping companies have expressed eagerness to cooperate with the port of Shaheed Rajayee in Iran, according to Ali Jahandideh, deputy head of the Iranian Ports and Maritime Organisation. International shipping lines have commenced loading and unloading operations following the lifting of Western sanctions against the port.
Iran To Negotiate Over Qazvin-Astara Rail Investment : Iran's Minister of Roads and Urban Development, Abbas Akhoundi, revealed the government is ready to make a trilateral...
The Iran Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.
Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Iran Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Iranian freight transport and logistics industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Iranian freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Iran.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.
Industry SWOT analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:
- Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
- Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top 5 import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn).
- Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
- Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.
- Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%).
Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.
Industry Trends and Developments
Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.
The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.
Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.
The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Freight Transport Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.