Business Monitor International


India Oil & Gas Report

Published 10 October 2014

  • 181 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
India Oil & Gas Report

BMI View:   While India's downstream grows from strength to strength, upstream developments continue to waiver. India has significant gas production potential in the KG Basin and unconventional onshore resources, but has failed to sufficiently incentivise investment. Both the upstream and downstream are heavily influenced by the state.

Headline Forecasts (India 2012-2018)
  2012e 2013e 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f
Crude, NGPL & other liquids prod, 000b/d 898.8 884.5 886.1 902.1 889.6 877.4 889.3
Refined products production & ethanol, 000b/d 4,278.7 4,278.7 4,449.8 4,665.6 4,749.6 4,915.9 5,132.2
Refined products consumption & ethanol, 000b/d 3,473.3 3,549.2 3,617.4 3,726.5 3,846.3 3,977.8 4,121.8
Dry natural gas production, bcm 40.4 40.6 40.9 39.5 38.6 44.7 50.0
Dry natural gas consumption, bcm 58.8 61.7 64.6 67.2 70.6 74.3 79.5
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: EIA, BMI

Click here to explore data

The main trends and developments we highlight for the Indian oil and gas sector are:

  • ONGC is planning to drill its first unconventional wells in 2015. The company has taken a core sample from one well and is hoping for another 10 before the end of the year, before progressing with commercial drilling in 2015.

  • Greka Drilling has been selected by Essar Oil to drill up to 100 wells in the Raniganj East Block. The target will be coalbed methane, with a production target of 1.2mn cubic metres per day by mid-2015. 

  • In June, Australian oil and gas explorer Oilex started fracture stimulation operations at the Cambay-77H well on the Cambay production sharing contract (PSC) in Gujarat, India.

  • Reliance Industries' USD3.5bn plan for integrated development of the gas discoveries in the NEC-25 block offshore Odisha, India, has been put on hold by the petroleum ministry. RIL requires approval of the oil ministry before...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
11
Oil And Gas Reserves
11
Table: India Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Hydrocarbons Data, 2012-2017
11
Table: India Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Hydrocarbons Data, 2018-2023
12
Oil Supply And Demand
15
Table: India Oil Production And Net Exports, 2012-2017
15
Table: India Oil Production And Net Exports, 2018-2023
16
Gas Supply And Demand
20
Table: India Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2012-2017
20
Table: India Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2018-2023
21
Table: India's Shale Rich Basins
25
Table: LNG Supply Deals
30
Refining And Oil Products Trade
31
Table: India Refining - Production And Consumption, 2012-2017
31
Table: India Refining - Production And Consumption, 2018-2023
32
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
34
Asia - Risk/Reward Ratings
34
Table: Asia's Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Ratings
35
The Upstream Leaders
35
Resource-Rich Countries Hit By State Involvement
38
Table: Asia Upstream Sector Risk/Reward Ratings
40
Downstream Support
40
Table: Asia O&G Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings
45
India - Risk/Reward Ratings
46
India Upstream Rating - Overview
46
India Upstream Rating - Rewards
46
India Upstream Rating - Risks
46
India Downstream Rating - Overview
47
Market Overview
48
India Energy Market Overview
48
Overview/State Role
49
Licensing, Regulation And Taxes
49
Table: Oil & Gas Royalty Rates
50
Licensing Rounds
50
Table: Shale Gas Resource Potential
51
Government Policy
54
International Energy Relations
56
India Oil & Gas Infrastructure
58
Oil Refineries
58
Table: Operational Indian Refineries
59
Table: Other Outlined Refinery Expansion And Modernisation Projects
61
Oil Storage Facilities
61
Service Stations
62
Oil Pipelines
62
Table: India - Crude Oil Pipelines
62
Table: India - Refined Products Pipelines
63
Table: India - LPG Pipelines
64
LNG Terminals
65
Table: LNG Terminals In India
66
Gas Storage Facilities
67
Gas Pipelines
67
Table: India - Natural Gas Pipelines
67
Table: Pipelines Outlined Under The 12th Five-Year Plan
68
Competitive Landscape
71
Competitive Landscape Summary
71
Table: Key Players - India Oil And Gas Sector
72
Table: Key Upstream Players
72
Table: Key Downstream Players
72
Company Profile
74
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC)
74
Oil India Ltd (OIL)
80
Indian Oil Corporation (IOC)
85
Reliance Industries
89
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL)
95
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL)
100
Gas Authority of India (GAIL)
105
Cairn India
111
Essar Oil
116
Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation
121
Petronet LNG
125
Other Summaries
129
Regional Overview
134
Asia Overview
134
The World's Largest Oil Guzzler
134
Tightening In The Downstream
138
Gas Market Potential Set To Outshine Oil
142
A Hot Market For LNG
146
The Centre Of The LNG Price Debate
149
Global Industry Overview
151
Global Energy Market Overview
151
OPEC Reconsiders Modus Operandi
153
Production Outages Look Likely To Persist
154
Global Oil Demand Picks Up
155
Capex Growth Cycle Shifting Gears
157
Table: BMI Oil Price Forecasts, Annual Average, USD/bbl
157
Appendix
160
Asia - Regional Appendix
160
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
160
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
161
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
162
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
162
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
163
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
164
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
165
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
166
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
167
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
167
Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
168
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
169
India - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecasts
171
Table: India Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown 2012-2017
171
Table: India Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown 2018-2023
172
Table: India Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown 2012-2017
173
Table: India Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown 2018-2023
174
Table: India Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown 2012-2017
176
Table: India Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown 2018-2023
176
Glossary
178
Table: Glossary Of Terms
178
Methodology
180
Industry Forecast Methodology
180
Source
182
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
182
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings
184
Table: Weighting
185

The India Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for India including major indicators for oil, gas and LNG, covering all major indicators including reserves, production, consumption, refining capacity, prices, export volumes and values. The report includes full analysis of industry trends and prospects, national and multinational companies and changes in the regulatory environment.

BMI's India Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Indian oil and gas industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent oil and gas industry forecasts for India to test consensus views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Indian oil and gas market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Indian oil and gas sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in India.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand and refining, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.

Regional Overview

Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports of oil, gas and LNG.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Oil and Gas Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (independents, NOCs, IOCs and oil services companies) in the upstream and downstream markets.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.

Oil Market Outlook and Oil Products Outlook

Based on our country coverage of over 99% of global oil and gas production and consumption, BMI provides demand, supply and price forecasts to end-2018 for oil, gas and oil products

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Pricing: Oil price (US$/bbl, WTI, Brent, OPEC basket, Urals); Oil products prices (unleaded gasoline, gasoil/diesel, jet/kerosene - US$/bbl) at global hubs

Production, Consumption, Capacity and Reserves: Proven oil reserves (bn barrels), production, consumption, refinery capacity and throughputs (`000b/d); Proven gas reserves (tcm), production and consumption (bcm)

Imports and Exports: Oil exports/imports (`000b/d), value of oil exports/imports (US$mn - BMI base case); Value of oil exports at constant US$50/bbl and constant US$100/bbl (US$mn); Gas exports/imports (bcm), Value of gas exports/imports (US$mn); Value of gas exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn)

BMI Macroeconomic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2018 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape

Comparative company analyses by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, ownership structure, oil production ('000b/d), gas production (bcm), downstream capacity ('000b/d) and % market share.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc