BLOG: Risk Watchdog

Updated daily by key members of Business Monitor International's Country Risk team, The Risk Watchdog blog gives you up-to-date insight and comment from our analysts around the world, covering global financial markets, economic analysis and political risk.

 

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Country Risk
Lebanon: What Will The Hariri Government Look Like?

July 3 2009

The Lebanese BLOM Stock Index has responded well to the election result, and bypassed the correction that hit stocks elsewhere in the region ...

Financial Markets
Kenya Shilling: Bullish, Eyeing KES74.00/US$

July 3 2009

The Kenyan shilling has made a tentative break though nine-month resistance at KES76.00/US$, to trade at KES75.73/US$ at one point on July 3 ...

Industry
Arthritis Drugs Targeted For Comparative Effectiveness Studies

July 3 2009

Analysing the effectiveness of high-priced biologics for inflammatory diseases such as arthritis should be among the highest priorities for ...

Companies
Autos Stand Strong On Incentives

July 3 2009

New car sales in Germany increased by a 40% year-on-year (y-o-y), to 427,140 units, in June, according to estimates from Verband der Automob ...

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Country Risk | Country risk analysis, macroeconomic forecasts and business environment rankings, covering 175 markets worldwide
Special Reports
- $675
Read More China: Double Dip Recession
39 pages    Pub date: May 25 2009   
A key risk for the Chinese economy is a weak recovery followed by a second downturn – a 'double dip' recession.
- $675
Read More Caribbean 2009-10: Trouble In Paradise
51 pages    Pub date: May 14 2009   
BMI presents a comprehensive report on the Caribbean, including our views on the future of offshore financial centres, the diversification of tourism, and the rising tide of crime.
- $675
Read More Emerging Europe: The Crisis And The Recovery
85 pages    Pub date: April 21 2009   
Emerging Europe is the worst positioned region heading into the global recession and is looking at an economic contraction in excess of 4.0% in 2009. Importantly, the same factors that are driving down growth in the short run will also hamper the recovery…
- $675
Read More Africa in 2009: The Ones To Watch Amidst The Global Crisis
49 pages    Pub date: February 27 2009   
Regional Heavyweights To Feel The Heat With the international economy likely to experience one of the sharpest downturns in decades, we believe that sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) will be exposed to the global recession in 2009 but will avoid the full ravages which will hit other regions. With a forecast real G...
- $130
Read More Britain on the Brink:
UK Economy Sliding Out of the Global Premier League

65 pages    Pub date: February 11 2009   
Britain is facing an unprecedented fall in its economic world ranking, according to a newly produced report by country risk specialists Business Monitor International (BMI). Ranked by GDP per capita, the UK is set to fall by nine places, from 12th place in 2007 to 21st in 2010.
- $875
Read More BRICs - Is The Rapid Rise of Brazil, Russia, India and China Sustainable?
83 pages    Pub date: March 28 2008   
LATEST Business Forecast Reports
- $765
Read More Norway Business Forecast Report
21 pages    Pub date: July 2 2009    Quarterly   
The Norway Business Forecast Report provides essential macroeconomic, political and financial analysis for companies doing business in Norway.
- $765
Read More Indonesia Business Forecast Report
61 pages    ISSN: 1470-7403    Pub date: July 1 2009    Quarterly   
Economy To outperform Region, But Risks Rising Indonesia’s growth will inevitably slow in tandem with the other economies in the region. However, Indonesia has the advantage of having a large domestic consumption base, making it less reliant on external demand than other Asian economies. In...
- $765
Read More Taiwan Business Forecast Report
61 pages    ISSN: 1479-6252    Pub date: July 1 2009    Quarterly   
Economy To Remain Short-Circuited in 2009 Owing to its heavy dependence on exports of cyclically sensitive goods the Taiwanese economy could well turn out to be one of the worst-performing economies in the world in 2009. Exports have quite literally fallen off a cliff, with the important el...
- $765
Read More Oman & Yemen Business Forecast Report
66 pages    ISSN: 1750-216X    Pub date: July 1 2009    Quarterly   
New Challenges For 2009 Economies across the globle will suffer a difficult year in 2009, and Yemen and Oman will be no exception. Yemen will be the more insulated from the global crisis, thanks to its low levels of integration with global financial markets, but both will be severely affect...
- $765
Read More Colombia Business Forecast Report
61 pages    ISSN: 1474-1458    Pub date: July 1 2009    Quarterly   
Short-term Uncertainty could Hamper longer-term Prospects We continue to be concerned about the political and economic outlook for Colombia in 2009, and the recent downgrade to our global growth forecast suggests that the picture may not improve substantially until 2011. At present it is st...
- $765
Read More Peru Business Forecast Report
57 pages    ISSN: 1474-1407    Pub date: July 1 2009    Quarterly   
Economy From Full Throttle To emergency Brakes Peru’s fiscal surplus provides the authorities with considerable room for counter-cyclical spending this year. Peru’s non-financial public sector nominal budget posted a 2.1% of GDP surplus in 2008, equivalent to PEN7.8bn (US$2.7bn). The govern...
- $765
Read More Israel Business Forecast Report
59 pages    ISSN: 1479-6112    Pub date: July 1 2009    Quarterly   
Plenty Of Challenges For New Government Israel’s new government was not yet in place at the time of writing, but it faces a host of challenges when it finally takes office. The most obvious is the economy – Israel is heading for recession, the export sector in particular is suffering and dr...
- $765
Read More Philippines Business Forecast Report
65 pages    ISSN: 1474-1407    Pub date: July 1 2009    Quarterly   
Although real GDP growth surprised on the upside in Q 08, with a 4.5 % year-on-year (y-o-y) expansion beating a consensus forecast of a 3.5 - 3.8% increase and bringing full-year growth for 2008 to 4.6%, we see no reason to alter our 2.8% growth forecast for 2009. The slowdown is expected to be led by de...
- $765
Read More Turkey Business Forecast Report
65 pages    ISSN: 1470-7357    Pub date: July 1 2009    Quarterly   
Deep recession Now Our Core Scenario We believe that a deep recession for Turkey in 2009 is all but unavoidable as the global economic outlook deteriorates further and a protracted credit constriction accentuates declines in foreign capital inflows. As deleveraging underpins the macroeconom...
- $765
Read More Angola Business Forecast Report
53 pages    ISSN: 1757-4641    Pub date: July 1 2009    Quarterly   
Oil Dependence To Prompt Recession In 2009, Angola faces a significant macroeconomic challenge in the form of sharply lower oil prices. Hydrocarbons have fuelled double-digit economic expansion in recent years, but with a global recession and reduced oil export revenues in the pipeline, mor...
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Andean Group Monitor each month provides country-by-country analyses, ratings and forecasts covering political risk, economic performance, key industries, finance and the business environment
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Brazil Monitor each month provides analyses, ratings and forecasts covering political risk, economic performance, key industries, finance and the business environment
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Corporate Financing Week provides must-read updates and analysis on global M&A activity, IPOs, privatizations and equity and debt financing strategies, with must-read updates and analysis on all the key breaking deals.
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Read More Overview Of Europe's Major Gas Import Pipelines
18 pages    Pub date: June 24 2009   
North America and OECD Europe remain major suppliers of both oil and natural gas but are also among the biggest consumers, so have until recently been experiencing an overall rise in energy imports. The impact of high energy prices in 2008, followed by the savage recession of 2009, has reversed the demand trend in many...
- $875
Read More Latin America 3G
45 pages    Pub date: May 8 2009   
BMI assesses the impact of 3G launches on the Latin America mobile market and considers the prospects for the region's operators
- $490
Read More Impact of Global Financial Crisis On Unconventional Projects: The Canadian Oil Sands
11 pages    Pub date: April 15 2009   
BMI assesses the impact of the global economic downturn on Alberta’s oil sands industry as lower oil prices hit project economics.
- $675
Read More Biosimilars: Obama Unfolds New Opportunities
28 pages    Pub date: April 6 2009   
BMI explores challenges and opportunities in researching, developing and commercialising biosimilars, with an emphasis on regulatory issues
- $875
Read More Foreign Investment Growth Drives Middle East & Africa's Commercial Vehicles Market
50 pages    Pub date: March 23 2009   
- $875
Read More Opportunities in Asia's High Growth Commercial Vehicles Market 
58 pages    Pub date: February 3 2009   
- $490
Read More FedEx and UPS Prepare To Fight Their Way Through 2009
8 pages    Pub date: January 30 2009   
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Read More Russia-Ukraine Gas Crisis: The Impact On European Energy Security
14 pages    Pub date: January 26 2009   
- $875
Read More Top 10 Mobile Operators for Western Europe
62 pages    Pub date: January 7 2009   
- $875
Read More Top 10 Mobile Operators for Asia
65 pages    Pub date: January 5 2009   
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LATEST Industry Reports
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Read More Australia Metals Report
47 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Quarterly   
Australian metals producers are bracing themselves for a difficult year, with both domestic and export markets suffering as a result of the effects of the international financial crisis. But BMI ’s Australia Metals Report suggests that carbon emissions regulations could be a greater long-term threat to the industry.
- $875
Read More Malaysia Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report
99 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Quarterly   
In the BMI Business Environment Ranking matrix for Q209, Malaysia returned to eight position (from tenth previously), out of the 15 key regional markets surveyed in the Asia Pacific region. Key attractions of the Malaysian pharmaceutical market are the government’s encouragement of the biotechnology sector and the f...
- $875
Read More Brazil Infrastructure Report
99 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Quarterly   
Brazil’s construction industry has been hit by the global downturn. However, the government, through its ongoing growth acceleration programme, is working to support infrastructure investments. As a result, in BMI ’s Q209 Brazil Infrastructure Report we believe that there will be growth in the value of the con...
- $875
Read More Taiwan Metals Report
43 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Quarterly   
Taiwanese metals producers are bracing themselves for a difficult year, with both domestic and export markets suffering as a result of the effects of the international financial crisis and the downturn in demand from China, where the construction industry is contracting. BMI ’s Taiwan Metals Report does not foresee...
- $875
Read More Turkey Metals Report
44 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Quarterly   
The Turkish metals industry is faced with a difficult 2009 due to a steep decline in demand from key export markets such as the Arabian Gulf – as well as the volatile exchange rate – but BMI ’s Turkey Metals Report predicts a strong recovery from 2010. Export market diversification, increased flexibility and efficie...
- $875
Read More Switzerland Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report
76 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Quarterly   
The Swiss pharmaceutical market witnessed a minor slowdown in 2008, with data released from industry association Interpharma showing sales increasing by 5.3% versus 2007. Reduced growth levels have been attributed to widespread price cuts in March 2008, which shaved an estimated CHF93mn (US$77mn) off the drugs bill....
- $875
Read More Tanzania Mining Report
60 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Quarterly   
Major reforms to the legislation covering Tanzania’s mining sector are expected in an amended Mining Act that should be tabled in parliament in April 2009, according to local newspaper The Guardian . A development that could have far-reaching implications for the country’s mining sector, the momentum for reform has c...
- $875
Read More Zambia Mining Report
58 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Quarterly   
Zambia enjoys a vast endowment of metals, gemstones, industrial minerals and potential energy resources including coal, hydrocarbons, and more recently, uranium. For several years now, Zambia’s economy has been greatly dependent on mining, particularly on copper, cobalt and zinc. Globally, the country ranks seventh in the ...
- $875
Read More Chile Shipping Report
86 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Quarterly   
The shipping industry entered 2009 in a state of crisis. All shipping sectors had been hit hard, with the dry bulk sector struggling to recover from a plunge in November 2008 that took the Baltic Dry Index to a nine-year low. Rumours persisted that containers were being shipped for a little as US$200 and that the only thi...
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Read More China Metals Report
50 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Quarterly   
The chief problem facing the Chinese metallurgical industry is over-capacity and the fragmentation of a large portion of production in the hands of a multitude of small producers; a situation which is undermining Chinese firms’ leverage over costs and causing product price volatility, according to BMI ’s China Metal...
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Take A Trial Middle East & Africa Pharma & Healthcare Insight
12 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Monthly   
The Middle East and Africa Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Insight provides market intelligence, trend analysis and forecasts for the pharmaceuticals and healthcare industry across the Middle East and Africa, as well as examining the implications of global trends at a regional, market-specific and company level.
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Take A Trial Emerging Europe Automotives Insight
12 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Monthly   
The Emerging Europe Automotives Insight provides automotives market intelligence, trend analysis and forecasts for the automotives industry across Emerging Europe, as well as examining the implications of global trends at a regional, market-specific and company level.
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Take A Trial Middle East & Africa Automotives Insight
12 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Monthly   
The Middle East and Africa Automotives Insight provides automotives market intelligence, trend analysis and forecasts for the automotives industry across the Middle East and Africa, as well as examining the implications of global trends at a regional, market-specific and company level.
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Take A Trial Emerging Europe Food and Drink Insight
12 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Monthly   
The Emerging Europe Food & Drink Insight provides food & beverage market intelligence, trend analysis and forecasts for the food, beverage, grocery retail and tobacco industry across Central and Eastern Europe, as well as examining the implications of global trends at a regional, market-specific and company level.
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Take A Trial Middle East & Africa Food and Drink Insight
12 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Monthly   
The Middle East and Africa Food & Drink Insight provides food & beverage market intelligence, trend analysis and forecasts for the food, beverage, grocery retail and tobacco industry across the Middle East and Africa, as well as examining the implications of global trends at a regional, market-specific and company level.
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Take A Trial Emerging Europe Telecommunications Insight
12 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Monthly   
The Emerging Europe Telecommunications Insight provides telecoms market intelligence, trend analysis and forecasts for the telecoms industry across Central and Eastern Europe, as well as examining the implications of global trends at a regional, market-specific and company level.
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Take A Trial Middle East & Africa Telecommunications Insight
12 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Monthly   
The Middle East and Africa Telecommunications Insight provides telecoms market intelligence, trend analysis and forecasts for the telecoms industry across the Middle East and Africa, as well as examining the implications of global trends at a regional, market-specific and company level.
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Take A Trial Emerging Europe Oil and Gas Insight
16 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Monthly   
The Emerging Europe Oil & Gas Insight provides energy market intelligence, trend analysis and forecasts for the oil and gas industry across Emerging Europe, as well as examining the implications of global trends at a regional, market-specific and company level.
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Take A Trial Middle East & Africa Oil and Gas Insight
16 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Monthly   
The Middle East and Africa Oil & Gas Insight provides energy market intelligence, trend analysis and forecasts for the oil and gas industry across the Middle East and Africa, as well as examining the implications of global trends at a regional, market-specific and company level.
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Take A Trial Emerging Europe Pharma & Healthcare Insight
12 pages    Pub date: July 3 2009    Monthly   
The Emerging Europe Pharma & Healthcare Insight provides market intelligence, trend analysis and forecasts for the pharmaceuticals and healthcare industry across Central and Eastern Europe, as well as examining the implications of global trends at a regional, market-specific and company level.
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Emerging Markets Monitor provides weekly analyses, forecasts and ratings on fixed income, foreign exchange, commodities, bonds, equities and funds across global markets, all backed by Business Monitor International’s highly respected assessments of political and macroeconomic risk.
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook UAE
ISSN: 1470-4501    Pub date: March 11 2009    Annual   
United Arab Emirates Foreign Companies Yearbook - Sample Company Profile Oracle Middle East PO Box 500099 Dubai Internet City, Oracle Building Dubai United Arab Emirates Tel: +971 (4) 390 9000 Fax: +971 (4) 390 9099 E-mail: XXX@ae.oracle.com Website: ww...
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Romania
ISSN: 1743-0070    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
The Romania database features 2190 fully researched, senior executive contacts and top decision makers at 700 multinational companies in Romania, across 37 industry sectors.
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Egypt
ISSN: 1472-2216    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
Egypt Foreign Companies Yearbook - Sample Company Profile 3M Egypt 19th Floor, Sofitel Tower Corniche El Nil Street Maadi, PO Box 69 Cairo Egypt Tel: +20 (2) 525 9007 Fax: +20 (2) 525 9004 E-mai...
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Russia
ISSN: 1463-1016    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
Russia Foreign Companies Yearbook - Sample Company Profile Allen & Overy Dmitrovskiy per., d. 9 Moscow 107031 Russia Tel: +7 (501) 725 7900 Fax: +7 (501) 725 7949 E-mail: XXX@allenovery.com Web...
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Estonia
ISSN: 1748-6521    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
The Estonia database features 900 fully researched, senior executive contacts and top decision makers at 290 multinational companies in Estonia, across 37 industry sectors.
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Saudi Arabia
ISSN: 1470-1510    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
Saudi Arabia Foreign Companies Yearbook - Sample Company Profile Merck Sharp & Dohme Scientific Office PO Box 17098 Al Batha Street Riyadh 11484 Saudi Arabia Tel: +966 (1) 405 6320 Fax: +966 (1...
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Greece
ISSN: 1744-7879    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
The Greece database features 3190 fully researched, senior executive contacts and top decision makers at 970 multinational companies in Greece, across 37 industry sectors.
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Serbia
ISSN: 1744-7836    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
The Serbia database features 920 fully researched, senior executive contacts and top decision makers at 310 multinational companies in Serbia, across 37 industry sectors.
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Hong Kong
ISSN: 1463-0974    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
Hong Kong Foreign Companies Yearbook - Sample Company Profile 3Com Asia Ltd Suite 1702-4, 17/F, Cityplaza One 1111 King's Road Taikoo Shing Hong Kong Tel: XXX Fax: XXX E-mail: XXX KEY PER...
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Singapore
ISSN: 1463-1032    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
Singapore Foreign Companies Yearbook - Sample Company Profile Linde Material Handling Asia Pacific Pte Ltd 5 Loyang Way Singapore 508720 Singapore Tel: +65 6545 3488 Fax: +65 6545 0627 E-mail: XXX@lindemh.com....
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Hungary
ISSN: 1465-5551    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
Hungary Foreign Companies Yearbook - Sample Company Profile Pannon GSM Telecommunications Ltd Baross utca 165 Budaörs H-2040 Hungary Tel: +36 (20) 930 4000 Fax: +36 (20) 930 4000 E-mail: XXX@pannon.hu ...
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Slovakia
ISSN: 1744-7836    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
The Slovakia database features 1420 fully researched, senior executive contacts and top decision makers at 440 multinational companies in Slovakia, across 37 industry sectors.
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook India
ISSN: 1744-7852    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
The India database features 2840 fully researched, senior executive contacts and top decision makers at 730 multinational companies in India, across 37 industry sectors.
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Slovenia
ISSN: 1743-0119    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
The Slovenia database features 1690 fully researched, senior executive contacts and top decision makers at 470 multinational companies in Slovenia, across 37 industry sectors.
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Read More Foreign Companies Yearbook Indonesia
ISSN: 1463-0982    Pub date: December 16 2008    Annual   
Indonesia Foreign Companies Yearbook - Sample Company Profile DyStar Colours Indonesia, PT 22/F, Menara Global Building Jl Gatot Subroto, Kav 27 Jakarta 12930 Indonesia Tel: +62 (21) 527 0550 Fax: +62 (21) 527 0520 ...
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