Business Monitor International


Germany Renewables Report

Published 21 March 2014

  • 42 pages
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$1,295.00
Germany Renewables Report

BMI View: We believe that the reform of Germany's Renewable Energy Act is aimed at controlling the expansion of renewable energy, and not a sign of any retrenchment in policy. Whilst rising electricity prices are likely to remain a contentious issue for the government, industry groups, utilities and public alike, we believe that it is unlikely that the German energy policy - to aggressively pursue renewable energy and phase-out nuclear - will be altered under the Merkel-led government. As such, we expect to see the continued adoption of renewable energy, in line with the government's targets, and do not believe that nuclear will be brought back on the table.

The German renewables industry has grown at a phenomenal pace over the last few years as the country continues to push for an expansion of renewable energy in light of the post-Fukushima nuclear phase out. Focusing primarily on wind and solar power, the country has firmly established itself as the European bellwether for green energy and is currently the global leader for installed solar capacity. The government have established a target for electricity generation from renewable sources, aiming to expand renewables so that they contribute 35% to the total electricity generation in the country by 2020, and 80% by 2050.

Recent developments within the German renewables market include:

  • Germany's federal shipping office, the Bundesamt für Seeschifffahrt und Hydrographie (BSH), released a network plan for the North Sea offshore region in February 2013, stating that 25 offshore converters and 3,800km of subsea cables will be needed to connect the planned wind installations.

  • In March 2014, Vestas Wind Systems secured a contract to supply turbines for the 72.6MW Buergerwindpark Eider wind farm in the German state of Schleswig-Holstein. The order has been placed by the farm's developer BWP Eider GmbH & Co. The contract also includes a 15-year service agreement and the project is expected to go online at the...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
7
Industry Forecast
9
Germany Renewables Forecast Scenario
9
Table: Germany Total Electricity Generation Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017
9
Table: Germany Total Electricity Generation Long Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
10
Table: Germany Electricity Generating Capacity, Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2017
12
Table: Germany Electricity Generating Capacity Long Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
13
Germany Renewables Projects Database
23
Table: Germany - Renewables Projects
23
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
25
Germany Renewables Risk/Reward Ratings
25
Rewards
25
Risks
26
Market Overview
27
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure
27
Targets (Renewables and Emissions)
27
Subsidies
28
Table: Renewable Feed-In Tariffs In Germany, 2012
28
Infrastructure
30
Competitive Landscape
32
E
32
RWE
33
Vattenfall
33
DONG Energy
33
Siemens
34
Glossary
35
Table: Glossary Of Terms
35
Methodology
36
Methodology And Sources
36
Industry Forecast Methodology
36
Sources
38
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
38
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
40
Table: Weighting Indicators
42

The Germany Renewables Report researched at source contains Business Monitor International (BMI)'s assessment of the current renewables market in Germany. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2017 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Germany, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Germany, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's Germany Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Germany renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Germany renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Germany, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2017 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Ratings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Ratings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc