Business Monitor International


Germany Renewables Report

Published 29 December 2014

  • 42 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Germany Renewables Report

BMI View: Our outlook for the German renewables industry remains buoyant this quarter and we expect the country to register sustained robust growth levels across our 10-year forecast period, in line with the government's ambitious green energy policy. Germany's position as the dominant renewables bellwether in Europe - and the wider global renewables space - is cemented in place.

German's renewables expansion has been undeniably successful in terms of capacity growth over the last three years and the contribution renewables generation makes to the country's electricity mix. Focusing primarily on wind and solar power, the country has firmly established itself as the European bellwether for green energy. The government has established a target for electricity generation from renewable sources, aiming to expand renewables so that they contribute 35% to total electricity generation in the country by 2020, and 80% by 2050.

Recent developments within the German renewables market include:

  • It was announced by the transmission system operators (TSOs) in October 2014 that the green energy surcharge will fall 1.1% in 2015 to EUR0.06.17/kilowatt hour (kWh) from EUR0.06.24/kWh in 2014. This is the first time it has decreased since it was initially introduced in 2000.

  • Switzerland-based ABB secured a contract in October 2014 to design, engineer, supply and install an alternating current (AC) power transmission cable system for the 288MW Butendiek wind farm off the German coast. It is the sixth such contract awarded to ABB by Dutch-German transmission grid operator TenneT Holding. The project is likely to be commissioned in 2015.

  • In August 2014, German engineering and services group Bilfinger secured a contract worth more than USD134mn to install the turbine foundations for the 288MW Sandbank offshore wind farm, 90km off the German island of Sylt. Bilfinger expects to complete its work in February 2016.

  • The 400MW Bard 1 offshore wind power project was successfully...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT
7
Industry Forecast
9
Germany Renewables Forecast Scenario
9
Table: Germany Total Electricity Generation Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2017
9
Table: Germany Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
10
Table: Germany Electricity Generating Capacity, Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2017
12
Table: Germany Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
13
Germany Renewables Projects Database
23
Table: Germany - Renewables Projects
23
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
25
Germany Renewables Risk/Reward Ratings
25
Rewards
25
Risks
26
Market Overview
27
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure
27
Targets (Renewables and Emissions)
27
Subsidies
28
Infrastructure
29
Competitive Landscape
31
E
31
RWE
32
Vattenfall
32
DONG Energy
33
Siemens
33
Glossary
35
Table: Glossary Of Terms
35
Methodology
36
Methodology And Sources
36
Industry Forecast Methodology
36
Sources
38
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
38
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
40
Table: Weighting Indicators
42

The Germany Renewables Report researched at source contains Business Monitor International (BMI)'s assessment of the current renewables market in Germany. The report also contains historical data together with forecasts to end-2018 covering electricity generation (TWh) and electricity capacity (MW).

The renewables sectors covered in the report include Wind, Solar, Geothermal, Tidal and Wave, and Biomass (See Table of Contents for exact coverage). The report also features details on government green energy agendas and funding opportunities, as well as presenting a detailed list of key renewables projects currently being planned or undertaken in Germany, their capacity, the timeframe of construction and their current status.

The report discusses the various energy policies currently in force, including targets, subsidies and the relevant infrastructure developments or limitations which might impact on renewables growth, analysing the potential effects of regulatory changes in conjunction with the background macroeconomic outlook. Finally, there is a general overview of the competitive landscape in Germany, together with a detailed summary of the main utilities and manufacturers present and their business operations.

BMI's Germany Renewables Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with unique independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Germany renewables industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent renewables industry forecasts for Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in the renewables market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Germany renewables sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in the country.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering the renewables market in Germany, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the renewables sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual renewables sector present in the country.

These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation: Overall capacity (TWh), growth % change year-on-year, KWh per capita, % of Total Non-Hydropower renewables generation, % of total electricity generation.

Electricity Capacity: Overall capacity (MW), growth % change year-on-year, % of non-hydroelectric renewables capacity and % of total capacity.

These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Renewables Business Environment Rankings provide fully comparable Risk-Reward Rankings aimed at investors in the regional renewables market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data point.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc