Business Monitor International


Finland Telecommunications Report

Published 11 April 2014

  • 104 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Finland Telecommunications Report

BMI View : The maturity of the Finnish telecommunications market means there are scant opportunities for new and long-term investors. The wireline market continues to decline owing to mobile substitution and the mobile business is itself under threat from IP substitution. The broadband sector continues to grow, albeit mostly on the back of heightened demand for multi-service products and 'everything everywhere' access. Thus, investment will be focused on high-bandwidth infrastructure such as fibre and LTE, but this is a capital-intensive business despite the improved margins afforded by LTE at 800MHz. Newcomer Ukko Mobile sees an opportunity in the LTE 450MHz market, but it will need to rely on innovative service bouquets if it is to stand out from the crowd. Content, data and provisioning models will therefore be central to developments over the next five years.    

Key Data

  • No new data were forthcoming from the regulator and operator Q114 results were in line with expectations. Therefore, we have not needed to revise our five-year forecasts for Finland's wireline/broadband and mobile markets in this update.

  • The mobile market is forecast to see subscriptions grow from 9.759mn in 2013 to 9.987mn in 2018, with numbers of 3G/4G subscriptions rising from 6.622mn to 8.249mn. This takes into account the phased rollout of 800MHz LTE services over this time.

  • The wireline voice telephony market will continue to shrink, from 750,000 subscriptions to 510,000 by 2018. However, the fragmented nature of the market and a continued reliance on cable and xDSL in more isolated areas means that the rate of decline will slow over time. The number of broadband connections - including mobile - will reach 5.457mn by 2018.

Key Trends & Developments

In May 2014, Ukkoverkot acquired the 450MHz mobile broadband concession from Datame. The following month, it commissioned Omnitele to replace the existing CDMA/WiMAX platform with LTE technology. On commercialisation later...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Mobile
8
SWOT
10
Political
12
Economic
13
Industry Forecast
14
Mobile
14
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
14
ARPU
15
Table: Telecoms Sector - Monthly Mobile ARPU (EUR) - Historical Data & Forecasts
15
Fixed-Line
17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed-Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
17
Broadband
18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
18
Macroeconomic Forecasts
21
Economic Analysis
21
Table: Finland - GDP By Expenditure, Current Prices Breakdown
26
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
27
Western Europe Risk/Reward Ratings
27
Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Ratings, Q213
30
Finland
31
Market Overview
33
Mobile
33
Regional Perspective
33
Table: Finland Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2012
34
Key Developments
34
Mobile Growth
34
Market Shares And Net Additions
36
Table: Finland Mobile Market, Q211-Q412 ('000)
38
Subscription Mix
40
Usage (MOU/ARPU)
41
Networks
44
Mobile Content And Value-Added Services
48
Mobile Operator Data
51
Table: Market Overview
51
Table: TeliaSonera
51
Table: Elisa
52
Table: DNA Finland
53
Western Europe Mobile Content
54
Financialising Footfall
56
Interoperable M-Commerce A Stronger Proposition
56
Positioning Key To M2M Success
57
Fixed-Line
59
Broadband
62
Industry Trends And Developments
71
Regulatory Development
72
Regulatory Overview
72
Table: Finland - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
72
Competitive Landscape
77
Table: Key Players - Finland Telecoms Sector
77
Company Profile
78
TeliaSonera Finland
78
Elisa Corporation
82
DNA
87
Finnet Group
91
Regional Overview
93
Gemalto Product Portfolio Compensates For Macro Weakness
93
Table: Gemalto Financial Performance (EURmn)
95
Demographic Forecast
98
Table: Finland's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
99
Table: Finland's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
99
Table: Finland's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
100
Table: Finland's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
100
Glossary
101
Table: Glossary Of Terms
101
Methodology
103
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
103
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
104
Table: Ratings Indicators
105
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
106

The Finland Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Finland's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Finland Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Finland.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Finland to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Finnish telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Finland's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Finland.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Rankings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc