Business Monitor International


Czech Republic Power Report

Published 10 December 2014

  • 58 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Czech Republic Power Report

BMI View: Our view on the Czech power market remains largely unvaried this quarter, while concerns over the country's energy security and carbon emissions profile move to the forefront. T he future of nuclear and renewables in the country looks increasingly uncertain as the development of both sources experienced setbacks in recent quarters. With ag e ing domestic capacity scheduled to come offline over the coming two decades and EU regulations pressurising the country to lessen its dependence on coal, nuclear and renewables had appeared to be the preferred method to fill any future power gap. However, t his is now in doubt , with the country showing inclinations to maintain an important share of coal-generated electricity in the mix.

Key Trends And Developments

  • Allowing for system losses (forecast at 5.83%in 2014 and expected to decrease to 5.79% by 2023), owing to new investment in the grid), power supply should continue to outweigh demand, enabling continued net exports to neighbouring states. This quarter, we expect Czech power generation to reach an 83.07TWh in 2014, and expect it will decrease by an annual average of 0.75% between 2014 and 2023, to reach 77.95TWh.

  • Industry Minister Jan Mladek stated on November 27 2014 that the debate over nuclear power leans to having one new block at each of the two nuclear power plants operated by CEZ, with the possibility of two different investors taking part. However, we highlight that the question is fa from resolved as the government is still working on the new energy strategy, which should be completed by the end of 2014.

  • This notwithstanding, according to reports, electricity prices in the Czech Republic are expected to decrease by around 1% for households in 2015. Consumers with multiannual fixed contracts might save more.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Czech Republic Snapshot
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Czech Republic 2013-2018)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
10
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
10
Czech Republic Power Forecast Scenario
11
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2012-2017)
11
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
12
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2012-2017)
14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
15
Electricity Consumption
20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2012-2017)
20
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
20
Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
21
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2012-2017)
21
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2012-2017)
21
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Czech Republic 2018-2023)
22
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
23
CEE Power Risk/Reward Ratings
23
Table: CEE Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
28
Czech Republic Power Risk/Reward Ratings
29
Rewards
29
Risks
29
Market Overview
31
Key Policies And Market Structure
31
Regulation And Competition
31
Sustainable Energy Policies
32
Pricing
34
Table: Electricity Prices In the EU Member States, As Of March 2013
34
Czech Republic Power Projects Database
36
Table: Major Projects - Power
36
Competitive Landscape
37
CEZ
38
CEPS
38
PRE
38
E
38
Company Profile
39
-EZ
39
Table: CEZ's Strategic Programs
40
Regional Overview
43
CEE Power Regional Overview
43
Glossary
48
Table: Glossary Of Terms
48
Methodology
49
Methodology And Sources
49
Industry Forecast Methodology
49
Sources
52
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
52
Table: Power Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
53
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
55

The Czech Republic Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Czech Republic Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

  • Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Czech Republic to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks Czech Republic's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Czech Republic
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Regional Overview

The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country, incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations, as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.

BMI Industry Forecasts

The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal, Coal, Gas, Oil, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section, we provide information on electricity generation (TWh), % growth year-on-year, KWh per capita, and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal, gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.

Electricity Generating Capacity offers forecasts for the potential net capacity and net capacity growth % change year-on-year for the whole power industry. It also includes individual forecasts for capacity (MW), capacity growth % change year-on-year, and % of total capacity for Thermal, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables.

The section also includes historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for:

Electricity Consumption, encompassing information on net consumption (TWh), net consumption growth % change year-on-year, and net consumption per capita (KWh).

Transmission And Distribution Losses, comprising predictions on Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, (TWh), and Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses, % of Output.

Electricity Trade, offering historical figures for imports and exports and forecasts for net imports (TWh).

Market Overview

This section provides an overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.

Risk/Reward Rankings

BMI's Power Risk/reward Rankings provide fully comparable rankings aimed at investors (power companies, services companies and equity investors) in the regional power market. The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc