Business Monitor International


Croatia Infrastructure Report

Published 20 November 2013

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Croatia Infrastructure Report

BMI Industry View

BMI View: The infrastructure sector dominates Croatia's construction industry and growth has outperformed the residential and non-residential segment according to the latest official data. T he government's pledge to inject EUR13bn into the country's infrastructure sector and Croatia's accession to the EU in July 2013 cle arly creates room for optimism. European development funds will continue to flow over the long term, supporting our forecasts, and private concessions as a means of building and operating infrastructure are gaining traction. This should see greater private involvement in the development of the country's infrastructure , which provides upside to our forecasts for industry growth.

Contributions to the forecast include:

  • Following the EU accession, we expect infrastructure activity to speed up, as the country now has access to funding in order to support such projects. The European Investment Bank (EIB) estimates that it has provided some EUR2.5bn in loans (including current loans) to Croatia since 2001, to help implement projects that will support its accession.

  • Croatia's infrastructure sector is set to garner investor attention as the government prepares to sell-off around 1000km of motorways in the form of 30-50 year concessions. The government hopes that EUR2.9bn can be raised through granting the concessionary operation of the Bregana - Zagreb - Lipovac, Zagreb - Split - Ravca, Zagreb - Rijeka, and Zagreb - Gorican motorways.

  • The airports sector is also seeing a fair amount of growth with the expansion of the Dubrvovnik and Zagreb airports. We have adjusted our airport infrastructure industry value forecasts upwards to account for the construction of these two projects.

The economic conditions in the country will not be conducive to a robust recovery. According to BMI's Country Risk team, the modest recovery in private consumption will be insufficient to drive a significant economic recovery in Croatia in...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
5
SWOT Analysis
7
Croatia Infrastructure SWOT
7
Market Overview
8
Croatia-s Competitive Landscape
8
Building Materials
10
Europe
10
Table: Cement Price / Volume, % Variance (6M11/6M12)
14
Industry Forecast Scenario
15
Table: Croatia Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
15
Table: Croatia Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2015-2021
16
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
18
Transport Infrastructure
21
Table: Croatia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
21
Table: Croatia Transport Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
22
Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
25
Road
26
Sea And River
27
Air
27
Major Projects Table - Transport
28
Table: Major Projects - Transport
28
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure
30
Table: Croatia Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
30
Table: Croatia Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
31
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
33
Power Infrastructure
34
Major Projects Table- Energy and Utilities
37
Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
37
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
38
Table: Croatia Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data, 2010-2016
38
Table: Croatia Residential and Non-residential Building Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
38
Residential/Non-Residential Construction Forecast Scenario
39
Risk Reward Ratings
40
Croatia Risk Reward
40
Rewards
40
Risks
40
Regional Overview
40
Central and Eastern Europe Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
40
Table: CEE Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings, Scores out of 100
43
Company Monitor
44
Konstruktor In-enjering
44
Ingra
46
Global Overview
48
Methodology
55
Industry Forecasts
55
Construction Industry
56
Data Methodology
56
New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors
56
Construction
57
Capital Investment
58
Construction Sector Employment
59
Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating
60
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
61

The Croatia Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Croatia Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Croatian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Croatia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Croatian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Croatian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Croatia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc