Following a year in which BMI believes saw increasing volumes across all Romania's freight transport modes, 2014 will signal further growth in line with slowly improving macroeconomic outlook.
Total trade is projected to slow its decline in real terms, with our Country Risk desk forecasting a y-o-y decrease of 0.83% in 2014 following an estimated decline by 1.15% in 2013.
Road freight is to continue to dominate the sector and is projected to grow by 3% in 2014. The sector did not manage to defy the downturn, with volumes plummeting in 2009-2012, and is struggling to recover.
BMI notes two of the Croatian state-owned transport companies - HZ Cargo and Croatia Airlines - are currently at the different stages of privatisation.
Headline Industry Data
2014 Air freight tonnage is expected to grow by 1.0%
2014 Rail freight is forecast to grow by 1.4%
2014 Port of Rijeka throughput is forecast to grow by 1.9%
2014 Road freight is forecast to grow by 3.0%
2014 Inland waterway freight is forecast to grow by 0.2%
2014 Total real trade growth is forecast at -0.8%.
Key Industry Trends
Croatia Airlines Privatisation Kicks Off- Croatia Airlines privatisation process got underway at the end of October 2013, with Croatia's Centre for Restructuring and Sales (CERP) inviting investors to express interest in buying a 49% stake in the company, with November 27 set as the deadline for potential investors. The preliminary tender will be followed by another one, with concrete offers to be made.
Croatia Replaces Head of HZ Cargo as Privatisation Nears- Croatian government appointed Danijel Kraki? as a new director of HZ Cargo at the end of October 2013. At the same government meeting the president and all members of the HZ Cargo Management Board were dismissed. Kraki? previously headed the railway sector at the Croatian Ministry of Transport and served as president of the HZ Cargo Supervisory Board. The government is still very much in command at HZ Cargo, as privatisation...
The Croatia Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.
Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Croatia Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Croatian freight transport and logistics industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Croatia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Croatian freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Croatia.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the freight sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
Industry Trends And Developments
Analysis of latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:
Transport Sector: Sector Value (US$bn); sector real growth (%); employment (`000); total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes)
Trade: Exports and imports (US$mn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top-5 import and export trade partners (US$mn); imports/exports to each global region (US$mn)
Port Data: Throughput (`000 tonnes) and container throughput (TEU) for all major ports in the state
Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (US$/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs
Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (US$bn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (US$); industrial production (%); unemployment (%)
Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.
The freight reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.
Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.