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Asia Country Risk Reports

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Afghanistan Business Forecast Report

Afghanistan Business Forecast Report

Pub date:18 Sep 2014

Core Views The Republic of Moldova will continue along the path towards EU accession, although we do not expect it to accede within the next 10 years. While the accession process will act as a policy ...
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Australia Business Forecast Report

Australia Business Forecast Report

Pub date:26 Aug 2014

Core Views Economic activity in Australia shows signs of rebounding from its low in Q114, even as the pull-back in mining investment remains underway. The strong performance by Australian exports lifted Q114 real GDP growth ...
$1,195.00
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Bangladesh Business Forecast Report

Bangladesh Business Forecast Report

Pub date:24 Sep 2014

Core Views Bangladesh will benefit from the power struggle between China and India for dominance of South Asia and the Indian Ocean, as the two giants will want to strengthen their political, economic and defence ...
$1,195.00
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Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar Business Forecast Report

Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar Business Forecast Report

Pub date:24 Sep 2014

While political reforms in Myanmar have not been particularly impressive over recent months, economic reforms have maintained a steady pace. Specifically, the Central Bank of Myanmar (CBM) announced in July that it would allow as ...
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China Business Forecast Report

China Business Forecast Report

Pub date:24 Sep 2014

Core Views As evidenced by strong rhetoric regarding its economic growth target in 2014, Beijing is likely to continue to implement targeted stimulus measures in order to avert a more acute economic slowdown. As a result ...
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Hong Kong Business Forecast Report

Hong Kong Business Forecast Report

Pub date:22 Jul 2014

Hong Kong Core Views We continue to hold a below consensus forecast for Hong Kong's real economic growth in 2014 at 3.0%. Indeed, Q114's weak real GDP growth print of 2.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) raised the downside risks ...
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India Business Forecast Report

India Business Forecast Report

Pub date:22 Jul 2014

Core Views The strength of the electoral win by the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at the lower house (Lok Sabha) elections in India surprised many - the party swept 282 seats of the 543-seat parliament, 10 ...
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Indonesia Business Forecast Report

Indonesia Business Forecast Report

Pub date:22 Jul 2014

Core Views Despite the fact that Joko 'Jokowi' Widodo emerged victorious in July's presidential elections, significant political uncertainty remains. In particular, Prabowo Subianto's Red and White coalition has shown signs that it will be a ...
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Japan Business Forecast Report

Japan Business Forecast Report

Pub date:22 Jul 2014

Core Views There are few good options available to the Japanese government to address its ballooning debt load, but we believe that debt monetisation could prove to be the most costly in terms of its ...
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Malaysia Business Forecast Report

Malaysia Business Forecast Report

Pub date:22 Jul 2014

Core Views Malaysia's once-bloated current account surplus is coming under pressure from a combination of income account outflows and a dwindling trade surplus. We expect the narrowing of the surplus to continue, forecasting it to ...
$1,195.00
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Mongolia Business Forecast Report

Mongolia Business Forecast Report

Pub date:26 Aug 2014

Core Views Persistent uncertainties clouding Mongolia's political and business environment outlook suggest that downside risks remain to our real 2014 and 2015 GDP forecast of 9.8% and 8.0% respectively. Our core scenario remains for an agreement for the Oyu ...
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Morocco Business Forecast Report

Morocco Business Forecast Report

Pub date:28 May 2014

Core Views Despite not possessing hydrocarbon wealth, the economy will remain a relative outperformer in North Africa over the medium term. Investor interest in the country as an export-oriented manufacturing hub for the European market, ...
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New Zealand Business Forecast Report

New Zealand Business Forecast Report

Pub date:24 Sep 2014

Core Views New Zealand's economic performance remains on a stable trend, with indicators showing that the manufacturing and services sectors remain firmly in expansion. We maintain that the pace of expansion will remain broadly the ...
$1,195.00
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Pakistan Business Forecast Report

Pakistan Business Forecast Report

Pub date:22 Jul 2014

Core Views: Pakistan's economy continues to show signs of promise amid the ongoing drawbacks of an energy crisis, systematic terrorist activity, and a high fiscal deficit, driven in part by the costs associated with the ...
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Philippines Business Forecast Report

Philippines Business Forecast Report

Pub date:22 Jul 2014

Core Views •  We continue to hold a positive outlook for the Philippine economy, and are forecasting for real GDP growth to come in at 6.3% in 2014. However, tighter monetary policy in 2015 is likely to cause real ...
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Singapore Business Forecast Report

Singapore Business Forecast Report

Pub date:26 Aug 2014

Core Views Singapore's ongoing restructuring drive continues, and the PAP-led government is highly unlikely to abandon its path even amid an increasingly tight labour market. While it may not have completely arrested the erosion of ...
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South Korea Business Forecast Report

South Korea Business Forecast Report

Pub date:24 Sep 2014

Core Views While we remain relatively constructive on South Korea's economic growth in 2014, as we expect real GDP growth to accelerate to 3.0% from 2.8% in 2013, our forecasts are fairly below consensus. We highlight growing risks from ...
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Sri Lanka Business Forecast Report

Sri Lanka Business Forecast Report

Pub date:26 Aug 2014

Core Views We have upgraded our 2014 real GDP growth forecast to 7.1%, from our previous estimate of 6.8%, as we expect the country's manufacturing and services sectors to maintain their strong performances in 2014. We believe that the ...
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Taiwan Business Forecast Report

Taiwan Business Forecast Report

Pub date:26 Aug 2014

Core Views Taiwan's economy slowed in Q114 likely on the back of a moderating expansion in private consumption and exports. While we remain fairly constructive on Taiwan's trade prospects in the near term, we do ...
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Thailand Business Forecast Report

Thailand Business Forecast Report

Pub date:24 Sep 2014

Core Views With General Prayuth Chan-ocha being elected as Interim Prime Minister, the junta has gained full control of governance. Huge power amassed by the Junta could be left unchecked, risking a further deepening of ...
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