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Asia Country Risk Reports

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Afghanistan Business Forecast Report

Afghanistan Business Forecast Report

Pub date:18 Sep 2014

Core Views The Republic of Moldova will continue along the path towards EU accession, although we do not expect it to accede within the next 10 years. While the accession process will act as a policy ...
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Australia Business Forecast Report

Australia Business Forecast Report

Pub date:19 Nov 2014

Core Views Economic activity in Australia shows signs of rebounding from its low in Q114, even as the pull-back in mining investment remains underway. The strong performance by Australian exports lifted Q114 real GDP growth ...
$1,195.00
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Bangladesh Business Forecast Report

Bangladesh Business Forecast Report

Pub date:16 Dec 2014

Core Views Bangladesh will benefit from the power struggle between China and India for dominance of South Asia and the Indian Ocean, as the two giants will want to strengthen their political, economic and defence ...
$1,195.00
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Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar Business Forecast Report

Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar Business Forecast Report

Pub date:16 Dec 2014

November's ASEAN summit in Myanmar shone the spotlight on the country's political reform drive, which we believe has lost considerable momentum over recent months. In particular, the government has not shown the willingness to make ...
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China Business Forecast Report

China Business Forecast Report

Pub date:16 Dec 2014

Core Views Beijing will continue to implement positive structural reform measures such as deposit rate liberalisation and local government fiscal reforms. That said, we believe that the People's Bank of China will also continue to ...
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Hong Kong Business Forecast Report

Hong Kong Business Forecast Report

Pub date:20 Oct 2014

Hong Kong Core Views Hong Kong's economy slowed yet again in Q214, with real GDP growth coming in at a disappointing 1.8% year-on-year (y-o-y). Owing to dual headwinds from China as well as the teetering domestic ...
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India Business Forecast Report

India Business Forecast Report

Pub date:20 Oct 2014

Core Views The strength of the electoral win by the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at the lower house (Lok Sabha) elections in India surprised many - the party swept 282 seats of the 543-seat parliament, 10 ...
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Indonesia Business Forecast Report

Indonesia Business Forecast Report

Pub date:20 Oct 2014

Core Views Despite the fact that Joko 'Jokowi' Widodo emerged victorious in July's presidential elections, significant political uncertainty remains. In particular, Prabowo Subianto's Red and White coalition has shown signs that it will be a ...
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Japan Business Forecast Report

Japan Business Forecast Report

Pub date:20 Oct 2014

Core Views There are few good options available to the Japanese government to address its ballooning debt load, but we believe that debt monetisation could prove to be the most costly in terms of its ...
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Macau Business Forecast Report

Macau Business Forecast Report

Pub date:28 May 2014

Core Views Despite not possessing hydrocarbon wealth, the economy will remain a relative outperformer in North Africa over the medium term. Investor interest in the country as an export-oriented manufacturing hub for the European market, ...
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Malaysia Business Forecast Report

Malaysia Business Forecast Report

Pub date:20 Oct 2014

Core Views Malaysia's once-bloated current account surplus is coming under pressure from a combination of income account outflows and a dwindling trade surplus. We expect the narrowing of the surplus to continue, forecasting it to ...
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Mongolia Business Forecast Report

Mongolia Business Forecast Report

Pub date:19 Nov 2014

Core Views Persistent uncertainties clouding Mongolia's political and business environment outlook suggest that downside risks remain to our real 2014 and 2015 GDP forecast of 9.8% and 8.0% respectively. Our core scenario remains for an agreement for the Oyu ...
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New Zealand Business Forecast Report

New Zealand Business Forecast Report

Pub date:16 Dec 2014

Core Views The free trade agreement (FTA) between New Zealand and South Korea is set to be ratified by Q115, subject to parliamentary approval, and will provide significant benefits to New Zealand's meat and dairy ...
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Pakistan Business Forecast Report

Pakistan Business Forecast Report

Pub date:20 Oct 2014

Core Views: Pakistan's economy continues to show signs of promise amid the ongoing drawbacks of an energy crisis, systematic terrorist activity, and a high fiscal deficit, driven in part by the costs associated with the ...
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Philippines Business Forecast Report

Philippines Business Forecast Report

Pub date:20 Oct 2014

Core Views •  We continue to hold a positive outlook for the Philippine economy, and are forecasting for real GDP growth to come in at 6.3% in 2014. However, tighter monetary policy in 2015 is likely to cause real ...
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Singapore Business Forecast Report

Singapore Business Forecast Report

Pub date:19 Nov 2014

Core Views  Singapore's ongoing restructuring drive continues, with the ruling People's Action Party (PAP) pushing ahead with stricter foreign labour rules despite an increasingly tight labour market. While we believe that the tight labour market ...
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South Korea Business Forecast Report

South Korea Business Forecast Report

Pub date:16 Dec 2014

Core Views While we remain relatively constructive on South Korea's economic growth in 2014, as we expect real GDP growth to accelerate to 3.0% from 2.8% in 2013, our forecasts are fairly below consensus. We highlight growing risks from ...
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Sri Lanka Business Forecast Report

Sri Lanka Business Forecast Report

Pub date:19 Nov 2014

Core Views We have upgraded our 2014 real GDP growth forecast to 7.1%, from our previous estimate of 6.8%, as we expect the country's manufacturing and services sectors to maintain their strong performances in 2014. We believe that the ...
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Taiwan Business Forecast Report

Taiwan Business Forecast Report

Pub date:19 Nov 2014

Core Views Taiwan's economy slowed in Q114 likely on the back of a moderating expansion in private consumption and exports. While we remain fairly constructive on Taiwan's trade prospects in the near term, we do ...
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Thailand Business Forecast Report

Thailand Business Forecast Report

Pub date:16 Dec 2014

Core Views While Thailand's military leaders have taken tentative steps to restore civilian rule, a return to a well-functioning democracy is far from assured. The political divide will remain unresolved, and the potential for renewed ...
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