Business Monitor International


Colombia Infrastructure Report

Published 03 October 2014

  • 83 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Colombia Infrastructure Report

BMI View:   We have upwardly revised our construction industry forecast for Colombia to 15% y-o-y real growth in 2014 and maintained a strong 9.6% for 2015. This is on the back of strong momentum in the transport infrastructure sector, particularly road projects . Our positive outlook for the country is supported by a maturing PPP framework, diverse sources of project finance , and an improving business environment .

Key T rends And   D evelopments

  • With continued strong backing from the Colombian government for the sector, we maintain our outlook of a healthy annual average real construction growth of 8.5% between 2014 and 2018. 

  • Strong economic growth - with real GDP growth of 5.1% forecast for 2014 - and expansion in coal, mining, oil and gas extraction, coupled with the multiple signed free trade agreements are creating significant demand for new capacity and better quality infrastructure. Improved access to ports and adequate highways will be essential if the country is to meet the expected increase in exports.

  • New rules regulating tax changes and force majeure will significantly reduce the risk of investing in Colombia's ambitious road infrastructure programme. These measures will facilitate access to financing and will also strengthen the Public-Private Partnership (PPP) model in the country.

  • These regulatory changes follow a new infrastructure law that was approved in November 2013 and empowers the ANI to alleviate the existing bottlenecks. The new law aims at facilitating land acquisition and the expropriation of grounds considered to be needed in the public interest. Furthermore, according to the new law, as of January 2014, infrastructure permits will be prioritised over mining permits.

Risk Factors Still Present

  • Colombia scores just 3.7 out of 10 for corruption in the country risk section of our infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings, following several corruption scandals within Colombia's public works sector. This...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Colombia 2012-2017)
10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Colombia 2018-2023)
11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
20
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Colombia 2012-2017)
20
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Colombia 2018-2023)
21
Transport Infrastructure Outlook And Overview
22
Major Projects Table - Transport
29
Table: Major Projects Table - Transport
29
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
37
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Colombia 2012-2017)
37
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Colombia 2018-2023)
38
Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
44
Table: Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
44
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
47
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Colombia 2012-2017)
47
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Colombia 2018-2023)
47
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
51
Colombia's Risk/Reward Ratings
51
Rewards
51
Risks
52
Latin America - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
53
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
59
Market Overview
60
Table: EQS Table
61
Company Profile
62
Conciviles
62
ConConcreto
64
Global Industry Overview
66
Global Infrastructure Overview
66
Methodology
72
Industry Forecast Methodology
72
Sector-Specific Methodology
73
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
77
Sector-Specific Methodology
78
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
79

The Colombia Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Colombia Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Colombian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Colombia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Colombian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Colombian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Colombia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc