Business Monitor International


Colombia Infrastructure Report

Published 25 March 2014

  • 83 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Colombia Infrastructure Report

BMI View: We have upwardly revised our construction industry forecast for Colombia in 2014 on the back of strong momentum in the awarding of road infrastructure projects. Our 2014 growth forecast has risen from 8.4% to 10.4%, following the release of official data confirming 9.8% real industry growth in 2013. This positive forecast is supported by a solid outlook for project finance, an improving business environment and a strong project pipeline, particularly in the transport sector.

Key T rends And D evelopments

  • With continued strong backing from the Colombian government for the sector, we maintain our outlook of a healthy annual average real construction growth of 7.3% between 2014 and 2018.

  • Strong economic growth - with real GDP growth of 4.6% forecast for 2014 - and expansion in coal, mining, oil and gas extraction, coupled with the multiple signed free trade agreements are creating significant demand for new capacity and better quality infrastructure. Improved access to ports and adequate highways will be essential if the country is to meet the expected increase in exports.

  • New rules regulating tax changes and force majeure will significantly reduce the risk of investing in Colombia's ambitious road infrastructure programme. These measures will facilitate access to financing and will also strengthen the Public-Private Partnership (PPP) model in the country.

  • These regulatory changes follow a new infrastructure law that was approved in November 2013 and empowers the ANI to alleviate the existing bottlenecks. The new law comprises 73 articles that aim at facilitating land acquisition and the expropriation of grounds considered to be needed in the public interest. Furthermore, according to the new law, as of January 2014, infrastructure permits will be prioritised over mining permits.

C orruption An d S ecurity R emain R isk F actors

  • Colombia scores just 3.7 out of 10 for corruption in the country risk section of our infrastructure...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
10
Table: Colombia Construction Industry Data, 2011 - 2016
10
Table: Colombia Construction Industry Data 2017 - 2022
11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
17
Table: Colombia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data 2011 - 2016
17
Table: Colombia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data 2017 - 2022
19
Transport Infrastructure Outlook And Overview
21
Major Projects Table - Transport
24
Table: Major Projects Table - Transport
24
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
27
Table: Energy & Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data 2011 - 2016
27
Table: Energy & Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data 2017 - 2022
28
Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
33
Table: Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
33
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
35
Table: Colombia Residential / Non-Residential Industry Forecast
35
Table: Colombia Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data 2017 - 2022
35
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
40
Colombia's Risk/Reward Ratings
40
Rewards
40
Risks
40
Latin America Risk/Reward Ratings
41
Table: Latin America Regional Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
49
Market Overview
50
Table: Table: EQS Table
51
Company Profile
52
Conciviles
52
ConConcreto
54
Global Industry Overview
56
Europe, Middle East, Africa
56
Dubai Confidence Up, Mega-Spending Status Quo In The Region
57
Low Yields Push Capital Further Into Infrastructure
58
Turkey Shines As South Africa and Poland Struggle To Recover
60
Natural Resource Boom Drives SSA Infrastructure Investment
61
Latin America
63
Table: Planned Elections: Latin America 2013
69
Asia
71
Methodology
79
Data Methodology
79
Construction
80
Capital Investment
82
Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
83

The Colombia Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Colombia Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Colombian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Colombia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Colombian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Colombian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Colombia.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc