Business Monitor International


Colombia Autos Report

Published 15 November 2013

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Colombia Autos Report

BMI forecasts vehicle sales in Colombia to decrease 3.2% in 2013, due to a 3.4% expected decline in the passenger car segment and a 2.9% drop in the CV segment.

In 2013, BMI forecasts a 13% drop in vehicle production on the back of a 15% decline in passenger car manufacturing and a 9.8% fall in CV output.

A number of international auto manufacturers currently produce vehicles in Colombia. General Motors (GM), based in Bogotá, has an annual capacity of about 100,000 units and assembles some GM Korea vehicles from complete knock-down (CKD) kits. Renault, based in Medellín, with an annual capacity of 80,000, assembles CKD kits bought from Turkey, France, Spain and Brazil. Mazda Motor, also based in Bogotá, with a capacity of 15,000 units annually, builds up the 2, 3 and BT50 pickup trucks. German automaker Daimler's subsidiary Daimler Colombia operates a CKD assembly facility in Bogotá, producing the Mercedes-Benz Atego 1016 and Thomas Built EF 1723 bus chassis. Further, GM is currently building a stamping plant in Bogotá to make and export the body sections of the Aveo Sonic.

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Food
9
Drink
11
Mass Grocery Retail
13
Industry Forecast
15
Consumer Outlook
15
Food
18
Food Consumption
18
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
19
Canned Food
19
Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
20
Confectionery
20
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
21
Jams & Jellies
23
Table: Jams & Jellies Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
23
Pasta
23
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
23
Dairy
25
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
25
Meat
28
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
28
Fish
29
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
30
Drink
32
Hot Drinks
32
Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
33
Alcoholic Drinks
33
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
35
Soft Drinks
35
Table: Soft Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
36
Mass Grocery Retail
37
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
38
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type
38
Trade
39
Table: Food & Drink Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018
40
Macroeconomic Forecasts
41
Economic Analysis
41
Table: Colombia - Economic Activity
45
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
46
Latin America Risk/Reward Ratings
46
Table: Latin America Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q214
47
Table: Latin America Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings Q214 (scores out of 10)
49
Colombia Risk/Reward Ratings
50
Market Overview
52
Food
52
Confectionery
52
Dairy
53
Meat
54
Seafood
54
Drink
55
Hot Drinks
55
Soft Drinks
56
Alcoholic Drinks
57
Mass Grocery Retail
58
Industry Trends And Developments
60
Food
60
Key Industry Trends And Developments
60
Drink
62
Key Industry Trends And Developments
62
Mass Grocery Retail
64
Key Industry Trends And Developments
64
Competitive Landscape
67
Table: Key Players In Colombia's Food Sector
67
Table: Key Players In Colombia's Drink Sector
68
Table: Key Players In Colombia's Mass Grocery Retail Market
69
Company Profile
70
C
70
Grupo Nutresa
72
Post-bon
75
SABMiller Colombia
77
Almacenes -xito
79
Ol-mpica
81
Global Industry Overview
83
Table: Food And Drink Core Views
92
Demographic Forecast
93
Table: Colombia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
94
Table: Colombia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
95
Table: Colombia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
96
Table: Colombia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
96
Glossary
97
Food & Drink
97
Mass Grocery Retail
97
Methodology
99
Industry Forecast Methodology
99
Sector-Specific Methodology
100
Sources
100
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
101
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
102
Table: Weighting
103

The Colombia Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Colombia Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Colombia.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Colombia to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Colombian automotives market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Colombian automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Colombia.
  • Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.

Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews

In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI’s global and regional industry forecasts.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's proprietary Autos Business Environment Ratings are a unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index that separately analyses the risks and rewards of operating in each market. It is aimed at investors (including manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) who seek to either identify and compare market opportunities, or evaluate country-specific operational challenges.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industries, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Total production value (US$bn); total production of units; production by vehicle-type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total sales value (US$bn); sales by vehicle-type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles (vans and microbuses, pickups, trucks and buses, 4 wheel drive); total exports by value (US$bn) and by units; total imports by value (US$bn) and by units; contribution to GDP; employment in industry.

BMI Economic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2018 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc