Business Monitor International


China Infrastructure Report

Published 18 February 2014

  • 161 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
China Infrastructure Report

BMI View : We continue to hold the view that China's construction and infrastructure sectors are in a structural slowdown. The key reason for this outlook is because we believe that the basis for this increase in fixed asset investment is through the increase in liquidity in China's financial system, an unsustainable investment model due to the diminishing marginal return on expenditure. The Chinese government is implementing reforms that could lead to a sustainable increase in construction activity (namely rural and privatisation reforms), but we believe they are unlikely to have a material impact over the near   term.

Key Trends And   D evelopments

  • Although the Chinese central government is increasingly aiming for economic growth to be driven by private consumption instead of fixed asset investment, the latter - particularly into infrastructure sector - continues to be viewed by the central government as a critical way to generate a satisfactory economic growth rate in the near term.

  • In February 2014, China's Ministry of Environmental Protection announced that the country plans to spend CNY2trn on addressing its problems with water pollution. The announcement by the environmental ministry was cited by Reuters from the China Securities Journal. It comes less than a week after the government announced plans to set up a CNY10bn fund to combat the country's air pollution problems (cited by Reuters from the Xinhua). 

  • In May 2014, China's state-owned railway operator China Railway Corporation (CRC) announced that it had increased its spending target for 2014 to CNY800bn. CRC had previously said in January 2014 that around CNY630bn would be allocated as fixed asset investment into the railway sector in 2014 (cited from the China Daily), and the revisions represent an increase of CNY170bn.

  • The Chinese government is increasingly keen to inject greater private sector participation into the country's infrastructure sector. In May 2014, China's Securities...

The China Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's China Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Chinese infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for China to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Chinese infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Chinese infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in China.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc