Business Monitor International


Central America Telecommunications Report

Published 30 January 2014

  • 116 pages
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$1,295.00
Central America Telecommunications Report

BMI View: Guatemala and Costa Rica stand out in our Risk/Reward scores for the Q314 as being the two most attractive countries in the Central America region. Both took further steps forward to solidify this position in the previous quarter with mobile operators preparing for the launch of 4G LTE services. Costa Rica in particular will likely see the most success from the launch of this technology given the high consumer spending power and the uptake in 3G and smartphones which have reached around 50% . Other markets in the region are becoming more attractive such as Nicaragua, which is likely to see the addition of two new players in the telecoms market this year, Chinese company Xinwei (mobile) and Costa Rica's ICE (internet). Government interference still looms over the region, evidenced by the financial woes of Honduras state-owned company Hondutel . As growth begins to slow down in the region, governments are interested in boosting competitiveness by adding new players and divesting themselves of their state-owned entities . BMI expects development in these markets to remain slow until this takes place.

Key Data

  • According to the latest SIT figures, at the end of 2013, there were 21.716mn mobile subscribers in Guatemala. Tigo continues to lead the prepaid market with its 9.942mn prepaid customers, equalling a 48.2% market share. Claro was in second with 6.138mn (29.7%) and Movistar had 4.551mn (22.1%). However, the postpaid segment shows a different mix, however, with Claro ahead totalling 413,098 users for a 38.1% market share, followed by Tigo with 357,644 (33%) and Movistar with 312,905 lines (28.9%).About 8,800 mobile users in Panama are using the mobile number portability (MNP) system monthly. More than 50% of users interested in porting their number look for a better tariff plan or enhanced mobile services. More than 211,987 numbers have been ported since the launch of MNP in December 2011. The country ended December 2013...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
10
Belize
10
Table: Telecoms - Historical Data And Forecasts
10
Costa Rica
12
Table: Telecoms - Historical Data And Forecasts
12
El Salvador
14
Table: Telecoms - Historical Data And Forecasts
14
Guatemala
16
Table: Telecoms - Historical Data And Forecasts
16
Honduras
18
Table: Telecoms - Historical Data And Forecasts
18
Nicaragua
20
Table: Telecoms - Historical Data And Forecasts
20
Panama
22
Table: Telecoms - Historical Data And Forecasts
22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
24
Latin America Risk /Reward Ratings
24
Table: Latin America Telecoms Risk/Reward Ratings, Q214
27
Market Overview
29
Belize
29
Mobile
29
Table: Belize Telemedia Ltd Subscribers ('000)
30
Table: Belize - Mobile Market, September 2013
32
Fixed Line
32
Broadband
33
Industry Trends & Developments
34
Costa Rica
35
Mobile
35
Table: Mobile Market, September 2013
39
Fixed Line
39
Broadband
42
Table: Fixed Internet Market Share, 2012
43
Industry Trends & Developments
43
El Salvador
44
Mobile
44
Table: Mobile Market, September 2013
46
Fixed Line
50
Broadband
51
Industry Trends And Developments
51
Guatemala
52
Mobile
52
Table: Mobile Market, September 2013
55
Fixed Line
55
Table: Guatemala's Fixed-Line Market, December 2012
56
Broadband
56
Industry Trends And Developments
57
Honduras
58
Mobile
58
Table: Mobile Market, June 2013
62
Fixed Line
62
Table: Fixed Lines In Service, 2010-2011 ('000)
63
Table: Telecoms Usage, Minutes, 2002-2010 (mn)
63
Broadband
63
Table: Internet Market 2005-2010
64
Industry Trends And Developments
64
Nicaragua
65
Mobile
65
Table: Mobile Market, June 2013
69
Fixed Line
69
Broadband
70
Table: Internet Speeds, 2011
71
Industry Trends And Developments
72
Panama
72
Mobile
72
Table: Mobile Market, June 2013
75
Fixed Line
76
Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2007-2012 ('000)
77
Broadband
77
Regulatory Development
81
Table: Central America's Telecoms Regulators
81
Belize
81
Table: Belize Termination Rates, August 2011
83
Costa Rica
83
El Salvador
85
Guatemala
87
Honduras
89
Nicaragua
91
Panama
93
Mobile Contract Wins
95
Table: Mobile Contract Wins
95
Company Profile
96
Millicom International Cellular
96
Am-rica M-vil
100
Regional Overview
105
Ericsson Sees Potential Of Small Cells & 700MHz Spectrum
105
Financial Performance
105
LTE Rollout Slowing Down
106
Setting Itself Up For Future Growth
107
Table: 700MHz Status In Selected Regional Markets
108
Glossary
110
Table: Glossary Of Terms
110
Methodology
112
Industry Forecast Methodology
112
Sources
113
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
114
Table: Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
115
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
116

The Central America Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Central America Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Panamanian, Guatemalan, Nicaraguan, Salvadoran, Costa Rican, Belizean, Honduran telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Ratings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc