Business Monitor International


Central America Telecommunications Report

Published 10 November 2014

  • 126 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Central America Telecommunications Report

BMI View: Although the rise in number portability , with four out of eight countries having implemented or in the process of implementing a form of number porting, should encourage an increase in competition , BMI believes that it would be challenging for newcomers like Xinwei to penetrate the market. Mobile forecasts show much slower growth across the board, with only Nicaragua offering any real growth potential. Incr eas ing government interference, as i s the case of Guatemal a, is a worrying new development.

Key Data

  • Number porting in Panama increased 37.4% in 2014, highlighting that the population is increasingly more willing to take advantage of better available deals as they switch operators.

  • We upgraded our 3G/4G forecasts for Costa Rica after Claro and Movistar launched new services. We expect 3G and 4G connections to account for nearly 62% of connections by the end of our forecast period.

  • BMI has downgraded the mobile outlook for Guatemala as it emerged that the government is planning to implement a new tax on mobile operators as of 2015.

Key Trends And Developments

Discussions over the introduction of number portability (NP) in El Salvador are ongoing. El Salvador's Superintendencia General de Electricidad y Telecomunicaciones (SIGET) received bids from 24 firms for a tender to implement and operate the country's NP system in January 2015. The regulator revealed that 14 bidders are local, while the remaining are foreign firms. Mobile NP is expected to be officially introduced in February. Honduras launched its NP system in early May 2014. El Salvador is the latest country to join the trend of reducing mobile rates. El Salvador's telecoms watchdog has reduced the maximum rate that fixed and mobile operators can charge for calls. The regulator also slashed the maximum monthly fixed telephony subscription charges and the new rates will apply from November 1 2014. Little progress has been made with telecommunication rate...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
11
Belize
11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Belize 2011-2018)
11
Costa Rica
13
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Costa Rica 2011-2018)
13
El Salvador
16
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (El Salvador 2011-2018)
16
Guatemala
18
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Guatemala 2011-2018)
18
Honduras
21
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Honduras 2011-2018)
21
Nicaragua
23
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Nicaragua 2011-2018)
23
Panama
26
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Panama 2011-2018)
26
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
28
Table: Latin America Risk/Reward Index, Q115
31
Market Overview
32
Belize
32
Mobile
32
Table: Belize Telemedia Ltd Subscribers ('000)
33
Table: Belize - Mobile Market, December 2013
35
Fixed Line
35
Broadband
36
Industry Trends & Developments
36
Latin America Mobile Content
38
OTT
38
M2M
40
Costa Rica
42
Mobile
42
Table: Mobile Market, December 2013
49
Fixed Line
49
Broadband
51
Table: Fixed Internet Market Share, 2012
52
Industry Trends & Developments
53
El Salvador
54
Mobile
54
Table: Mobile Market, June 2014
57
Fixed Line
60
Broadband
61
Industry Trends And Developments
62
Guatemala
63
Mobile
63
Table: Mobile Market, June 2014
67
Fixed Line
67
Table: Guatemala's Fixed-Line Market, December 2013
68
Broadband
69
Industry Trends And Developments
70
Honduras
71
Mobile
71
Table: Mobile Market, June 2014
75
Fixed Line
76
Table: Fixed Lines In Service, 2007-2012 ('000)
76
Table: Telecoms Usage, Minutes, 2004-2011 (mn)
77
Broadband
77
Table: Internet Market 2005-2010
78
Industry Trends And Developments
78
Nicaragua
79
Mobile
79
Table: Mobile Market, June 2014
82
Fixed Line
82
Broadband
83
Table: Internet Market Share (%)
86
Industry Trends And Developments
86
Panama
88
Mobile
88
Table: Mobile Market, June 2014
92
Fixed Line
93
Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2007-2013 ('000)
94
Broadband
94
Regulatory Development
99
Table: Central America's Telecoms Regulators
99
Belize
99
Table: Belize Termination Rates, August 2011
99
Costa Rica
100
El Salvador
101
Guatemala
102
Honduras
103
Nicaragua
104
Panama
104
Company Profile
106
Millicom International Cellular
106
Am-rica M-vil
110
Regional Overview
114
Table: Alcatel-Lucent Enterprise Business Partners By Region, May 2014
118
Glossary
120
Table: Glossary Of Terms
120
Methodology
122
Industry Forecast Methodology
122
Sources
124
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
124
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
125
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
126

The Central America Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Central America Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Panamanian, Guatemalan, Nicaraguan, Salvadoran, Costa Rican, Belizean, Honduran telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, covering the ARPU, fi xed-line, mobile (including 3G & 4G ), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2010-2013) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-line Telephony – Telephone lines (‘000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony – Mobile phone subscribers (‘000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; and where available, 3G & 4G subscribers (‘000); 3G & 4G subscribers/100 inhabitants; 3G & 4G subscribers as a percentage of overall mobile market.
  • Internet Markets – Internet users (‘000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers (‘000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

BMI’s Telecommunications Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Indices provide investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide an Indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed-line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data – Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout – Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G & 4G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and valueadded handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content – The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators, including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
    Company Database – A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G & 4G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. Also covers the latest updates in the market’s development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Telecommunications Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc