Business Monitor International


Central America Infrastructure Report

Published 01 October 2014

  • 112 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Central America Infrastructure Report

BMI View: There is a wide divergence of performance and opportunities across the various construction industry markets in Central America. With comparatively low levels of risk, we expect Panama and Costa Rica to continue to lead both in terms of industry value and real growth. With regards to the region's underperformers, Guatemala and El Salvador continue to report the lowest level of growth but we anticipate this to change over the medium term as there is significant potential in both markets for the development of transport infrastructure.

We see high risks, small scale and limited growth opportunities across the region as a whole. A crucial factor underpinning our forecasts for infrastructure investments in future years is political risk. This is a particular concern in El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala where high levels of crime, homicide, violence, and insecurity exacerbate operational risks for companies willing to invest in those countries. As such, we believe that local and regional companies (especially Mexican and Brazilian), as well as Chinese players which have a stronger appetite for risk, are best place to benefit from the opportunities on offer in the region. In this context, we also highlight Spanish companies which have an established presence in the region.

Despite the small size of their construction industries, Central American countries present a wide range of small-scale opportunities as the region aims to bridge its infrastructure gap. However, these markets are faced by strong challenges in the form of deep-run corruption, high levels of inequality, and unsophisticated institutions.

  • Public-Private Partnerships: A number of countries in the region are pursuing public-private partnerships (PPPs) to develop infrastructure. For example, Guatemala - which established a PPP agency in November 2011 - is hoping to launch its first concession for Line 1 of the Guatemala City passenger railway in 2014. El Salvador announced in December...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Infrastructure SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
10
Table: Central America - Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2012-2017
10
Table: Central America - Construction And Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
12
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
15
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
23
Major Projects Table - Transport
30
Table: Major Projects - Transport
30
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
36
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
36
Table: SIEPAC Details
44
Major Projects Table - Energy & Utilities
45
Table: Major Projects - Energy & Utilities
45
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
51
Residential/Non-Residential Building Outlook and Overview
51
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
56
Table: Major Projects - Construction And Social Infrastructure
56
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
59
Central America - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
59
Rewards
59
Risks
60
Latin America - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
61
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
67
Market Overview
68
Competitive Landscape
68
Company Profile
72
Constructora MECO (Costa Rica)
72
Global Industry Overview
75
Global Infrastructure Overview
75
Methodology
81
Industry Forecast Methodology
81
Sector-Specific Methodology
82
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
86
Sector-Specific Methodology
87
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
87
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
88

The Central America Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Central America Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Panamanian, Guatemalan, Nicaraguan, Salvadoran, Costa Rican, Belizean, Honduran infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Panamanian, Guatemalan, Nicaraguan, Salvadoran, Costa Rican, Belizean, Honduran infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Panamanian, Guatemalan, Nicaraguan, Salvadoran, Costa Rican, Belizean, Honduran infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Panama, Guatemala, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Belize, Honduras.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc