Business Monitor International


Caribbean Telecommunications Report

Published 11 April 2014

  • 172 pages
 
$1,295.00
Caribbean Telecommunications Report

BMI View: Despite the relative small size of the individual Caribbean markets, they are drawing a lot of interest from third parties, with a number of opportunities arising in the Bahamas and Trinidad & Tobago for additional players. As with the sale of Orange Dominicana in November 2013, these markets are attracting interest from a number of players, despite the existence of incumbent operators and highly penetrated mobile markets. This is likely because growth in mobile broadband is continuing at double digit levels, with small geographic islands ideal for deploying network infrastructure with access to submarine cables. Digicel 's Cayman Islands operations completed its rollout of 4G LTE this quarter and we expect to see strong uptake in the service due the country's higher spending power. Even Cuba, where mobile penetration and mobile internet services are limited is seeing excessive demand for its basic mobile email service launched earlier in 2014. ETECSA is having to expand its network in order to deal with the increased demand, with more mobile internet services expected throughout the year. This will be the main driver of operator revenues in the region over our five-year forecast period.

Key Data:

  • The Dominican Republic mobile market lost 66,000 subscriptions in Q413, a decline of 0.7% q-o-q. The market has shown signs of fluctuations over the last two years, although postpaid accounts continue to steadily grow.

  • LIME in Jamaica added 140,000 subscriptions in the 100 days since the launch of its Talk EZ value tariff, a new record for the company.

  • Cayman Islands has the highest mobile penetration at over 160%, while Cuba's penetration rate remained below 20%.

  • The Telecommunications Unit of Barbados released figures for the 2013 year, in the mobile sector, there have been instances of net declines in the market, particularly in 2013, with losses of over 40,000 subscriptions. At the end of 2013, there were 307,708 mobile...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
9
SWOT
11
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
13
Industry Rewards
13
Country Rewards
14
Industry Risks
14
Country Risks
15
Table: Caribbean Risk/Reward Ratings Table, Q2 2013
16
Industry Forecast
17
Bahamas
17
Table: Telecoms Sector - Bahamas - Historical Data & Forecast
17
Barbados
19
Table: Telecoms - Historical Data & Forecast
19
Cuba
21
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecast
21
Dominican Republic
23
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecast
23
Guadeloupe
25
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecast
25
Haiti
27
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecast
27
Jamaica
28
Table: Telecoms - Historical Data & Forecast
28
Martinique
30
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecast
30
Puerto Rico
32
Table: Telecoms Sector - Puerto Rico - Historical data & Forecast
32
Trinidad & Tobago
35
Table: Telecoms Sector - Trinidad & Tobago - Historical Data & Forecast
35
Market Overview
37
Bahamas
37
Key Developments
37
Mobile Growth
38
Table: Bahamas Mobile Market, December 2012
40
Fixed Line
40
Broadband
41
Barbados
42
Key Developments
42
Mobile Growth
43
Table: Barbados Mobile Market, December 2012
44
Fixed Line
44
Broadband
44
Table: Barbados Internet Licence Holders
45
Cuba
46
Key Developments
46
Mobile Growth
47
Table: Cuba Mobile Market, December 2012
49
Fixed Line
49
Broadband
50
Dominican Republic
51
Key Developments
51
Mobile Growth
52
Table: Dominican Republic Mobile Market, December 2012
54
Fixed Line
54
Broadband
55
Guadeloupe
57
Key Developments
57
Mobile
58
Table: Guadeloupe Mobile Market, December 2012
59
Fixed Line
59
Broadband
59
Haiti
60
Key Developments
60
Mobile Growth
60
Table: Haiti Mobile Market, December 2012
63
Fixed Line
63
Broadband
64
Jamaica
65
Key Developments
65
Mobile
66
Table: Jamaica Mobile Market, December 2012
70
Fixed Line
70
Broadband
70
Martinique
72
Key Developments
72
Mobile Growth
73
Table: Martinique Mobile Market December 2012
74
Fixed Line
74
Broadband
74
Puerto Rico
75
Key Developments
75
Mobile
76
Table: Puerto Rico Mobile Market, December 2012
78
Fixed Line
78
Broadband
79
Trinidad & Tobago
80
Key Developments
80
Mobile Growth
80
Table: T&T Mobile Market Overview
83
Fixed Line
83
Broadband
84
Table: Trinidad & Tobago Broadband Market
86
Regulatory Development
87
Table: Caribbean Telecoms Regulators
87
Competitive Landscape
99
Table: Key Players - Caribbean Telecoms Sector
99
Table: Selected Operators' Financial Indicators
100
Company Profile
101
LIME (Cable & Wireless Communications)
101
Digicel
106
Table: Digicel - Key Dates In Caribbean Expansion
109
Regional Overview
112
Pace Potential In Emerging Markets
112
Table: Pace Recent Financial Results (US$mn)
112
Recovery And Lofty Ambitions
114
Latin America
116
Table: Pace: Latin America STB Mix (By Volume)
118
Demographic Forecast
119
Bahamas
119
Table: Bahamas' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
120
Table: Bahamas' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
121
Table: Bahamas' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
122
Table: Bahamas' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
122
Barbados
122
Table: Barbados' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
123
Table: Barbados' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
124
Table: Barbados' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
125
Table: Barbados' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
125
Dominican Republic
125
Table: The Dominican Republic's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
126
Table: The Dominican Republic's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
127
Table: The Dominican Republic's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
128
Table: The Dominican Republic's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
128
Demographic Forecast
128
Table: Saint Vincent & The Grenadines' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
129
Table: Saint Vincent & The Grenadines' Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
130
Table: Saint Vincent & The Grenadines' Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
131
Table: Saint Vincent & The Grenadines' Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
131
Jamaica
131
Table: Jamaica's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
132
Table: Jamaica's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
133
Table: Jamaica's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
134
Table: Jamaica's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
134
Puerto Rico
134
Table: Puerto Rico's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
135
Table: Puerto Rico's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
137
Table: Puerto Rico's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
137
Trinidad & Tobago
137
Table: Trinidad & Tobago's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
138
Table: Trinidad & Tobago's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
139
Table: Trinidad & Tobago's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
140
Table: Trinidad & Tobago's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
140
Glossary
141
Table: Glossary Of Terms
141
Methodology
143
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
143
Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
143
Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
144
Table: Ratings Indicators
145
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
146

The Caribbean Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Barbados, Bahamas, Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago, Cuba, Haiti, Martinique, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Guadeloupe's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Caribbean Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Barbados, Bahamas, Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago, Cuba, Haiti, Martinique, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Guadeloupe.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Barbados, Bahamas, Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago, Cuba, Haiti, Martinique, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Guadeloupe to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Barbadian, Bahamian, Jamaican, Trinidadian, Cuban, Haitian, Martiniquais, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Guadeloupe telecoms market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in Barbados, Bahamas, Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago, Cuba, Haiti, Martinique, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Guadeloupe's telecoms sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Barbados, Bahamas, Jamaica, Trinidad & Tobago, Cuba, Haiti, Martinique, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, Guadeloupe.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

Executive Summary

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering the ICT, fixed-line, mobile (including 3G), internet and broadband markets.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the wireline and wireless sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's Telecommunications Business Environment Ratings provides a country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index aimed at investors (vendors, operators and suppliers) in the regional telecoms market.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points.

BMI Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2017 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

  • Fixed-Line Telephony - Telephone lines ('000); telephone lines/100 inhabitants.
  • Cellular Telephony - Mobile phone subscribers ('000); mobile phone subscribers/100 inhabitants; mobile phone subscribers/100 fixed line subscribers.
  • Internet Markets - Internet users ('000); internet users/100 inhabitants; broadband internet subscribers ('000); broadband internet subscribers/100 inhabitants.

Market Data Analysis

Detailed market analysis of the mobile, mobile content, fixed line and internet segments, broken down into:

  • Market Data - Analysis of market size, operator shares, dominant trends, competitive landscape and key quarterly data.
  • Technology/Service Rollout - Analysis of rollout/adoption of new technology, such as 3G, WiMAX, IPTV, pay-TV, LTE and value-added handset services (gaming, music, video, apps etc.).
  • Mobile Content - The latest trends in content and services available and being introduced by mobile operators. Including a timeline of all the latest major mobile content developments.
  • Company Database - A comprehensive breakdown of KPIs of the leading mobile operators, including subscriber figures by type (pre-paid and post-paid); 3G subscriber figures; net additions; market share; ARPU; churn rates; minutes of use; voice and non-voice revenue; financial figures (including operating revenues, net profits and EBITDA).

Regulatory Environment

Details of the regulatory bodies and their responsibilities, as well as a special focus on the rules surrounding competition and interconnection. The latest updates in the market's development and regulatory rulings.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.

The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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