Business Monitor International


Canada Infrastructure Report

Published 25 March 2014

  • 112 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Canada Infrastructure Report

BMI View: We have marginally downgraded our forecast for 2014 construction industry growth to 2.0%, based on continued weakness expected in residential and non-residential building, as well as the potential for a relative slowdown in infrastructure activity as projects progress through the construction phase. Over the medium term however, we see considerable upside to our construction forecast based on the CAD53bn New Building Canada Plan.

With 2013 construction industry value growth coming in largely in line with expectations (1.4% versus BMI estimate of 1.6%), we have only marginally downgraded our 2014 forecast, to 2.0% from 2.2% previously. We do not see any reversal in the weakness reported in the residential and non-residential building segment, although we do see scope for a temporary pick-up in housing at the start of 2014, based on a pick-up in residential building permits in Q413. However, we believe the increased cost of capital and the continued deceleration in growth in the industry overall, will mean a revival in growth rates to previous highs are not likely for the segment.

Infrastructure is expected to remain the strongest force behind growth, with a large number of projects under construction. However, a number of these are in the final stages, raising some concerns over the sustainability of the project backlog. The New Building Canada Plan does present substantial upside to this slowing growth trend over the medium term for the sub-sector, as well as continued demand for new infrastructure from the natural resource segment. Unlocking this potential through improved regulations, timely distribution of funding and well-planned projects will be key to factoring growth potential into our ten-year forecast to 2023.

Infrastructure Foundation For Growth

Infrastructure remains a fundamental element of Canada's construction industry growth, with a project pipeline in excess of US$160bn. Infrastructure growth should remain stable and solid, at...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
9
Infrastructure SWOT
9
Industry Forecast
11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
11
Table: Canada Construction And Infrastructure Data, 2012-2017
11
Table: Canada Construction And Infrastructure Data, 2018-2023
12
Table: New Building Canada Plan
16
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
20
Table: Canada Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2012-2017
20
Table: Canada Transport Infrastructure Long-Term Forecast, 2018-2023
22
Major Projects Table - Transport
27
Table: Major Projects - Transport
27
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
33
Table: Canada Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2012-2017
33
Table: Canada Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2018-2023
34
Major Projects Table - Energy & Utilities
40
Table: Major Projects - Energy & Utilities
40
Residential & Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
49
Table: Canada Residential/Non-Residential Building Industry Data, 2012-2017
49
Table: Canada Residential/Non-Residential Building Industry Data, 2018-2023
50
Table: Major Projects - Social Infrastructure & Construction
56
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
59
Canada - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
59
Rewards
59
Risks
59
Western Europe And North America - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
60
Table: Developed States Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
67
Market Overview
68
Competitive Landscape
68
Table: Key Company Data
68
Table: Notable Sector Players - Canadian Pension Funds Infrastructure Portfolio, CADmn
70
Company Profile
72
SNC-Lavalin
72
Table: SNC-Lavalin Financial Data
76
Global Infrastructure Overview
77
Africa In 2014: PPPs Cement Global Appeal
77
Asia-Pacific In 2014: Shaping Up To Be A Benign Year
82
Latin America In 2014: A Prosperous Year For Infrastructure Development
89
MENA In 2014: Reaping Rewards Despite Risks
93
North America And Europe In 2014: Turning A Corner
98
Methodology
105
Industry Forecast Methodology
105
Sector-Specific Methodology
106
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
110
Sector-Specific Methodology
111
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
111
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
112

The Canada Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Canada Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Canadian infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Canada to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Canadian infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Canadian infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Canada.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

These are broken down into Construction (social, commercial and residential), Transport (roads, railways, ports, airports etc), and Energy & Utilities (powerplants, renewable projects, pipelines and so on).

Industry Trends

Analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sector (covering the transport, utilities and commercial construction sub-sectors) - including:

Market Overview:Analysis of the key elements driving developments, including evaluations of current capacity and future requirements.

Building Materials Overview

The building materials overview provides industry trend analysis on the global and regional demands for building materials and the impact of this on the emerging and developed markets.

Business Environment Ratings

BMI's Infrastructure Business Environment Ratings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Ratings index aimed at investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) in the regional infrastructure market.

The ratings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data point.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry & Economic Forecasts

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%).

Infrastructure: Value (US$bn); contribution to construction industry (%); real growth (%) of transport infrastructure (broken down by railways, airports, roads and bridges, ports and harbours) and energy and utilities (broken down by power plants and transmission grids, oil and gas pipelines, and water infrastructure).

Economy: Economic growth (%); nominal GDP (US$bn); unemployment (%); interest rates (%); exchange rate (against US$).

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc