BMI maintains its positive outlook for Canada's freight transport sector for 2015. The country benefits from a strong commodities mix, as well as growing private consumption levels. In recent months, the country has benefitted from freight volumes being diverted away from US ports as shippers try to avoid both the US harbour tax and the chaos and delays caused by labour disputes at US ports.
Canada's economy will be driven by relatively strong household spending and higher fixed investment growth over the coming years. Slower fixed investment growth has previously placed most of the emphasis for economic expansion on private consumption and net exports of goods and services, providing a boost for freight volumes. Canada's diversified mineral base and its status as a top destination for mining firms seeking to raise funds on capital markets will enable it to remain a major player in the global mining industry. Indeed, the country will remain a top-ten global producer of zinc, lead, iron ore, nickel, copper, gold, silver, uranium and potash throughout our forecast period. Canada's strengths as a mining destination will persist in the coming years, enabling solid industry growth in freight transport to 2019.
Headline Industry Data
Port of Vancouver tonnage throughput is forecast to contract 2.4% in 2015. Over the medium term, to 2019, we project a 2.9% average annual increase in tonnage volumes.
Air freight tonnage throughput to grow 1.1% in 2015, with average growth of 1.2% during our medium-term forecast period to 2019.
Rail freight tonnage to grow 2.4% in 2015, with average growth of 2.6% during our medium-term forecast period.
Road freight tonnage to rise 4.8% in 2015, with average growth of 4.9% through to 2019.
Key Industry Trends
CN Faces Fine Due To Lack Of Grain Shipments
Canadian National Railway (CN) may face a fine from the Canadian government after failing to obey Ottawa's order to move a minimum amount of grain. CN says the...
The Canada Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.
Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Canada Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Canadian freight transport and logistics industry.
- Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Canada to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Canadian freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Canada.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.
Industry SWOT analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the freight transport sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2019 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast including:
- Transport Sector: Total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes).
- Trade: Exports and imports (USDmn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top 5 import and export trade partners (USDmn); imports/exports to each global region (USDmn).
- Port Data: Throughput (‘000 tonnes) for all major ports in the state.
- Oil Products Prices: Price forecasts for gasoline and aviation fuel (USD/bbl) at all major global energy trading hubs.
- Economic Indicators: Nominal GDP (USDbn); real GDP growth (%); GDP per capita (USD); industrial production (%); unemployment (%).
Details of the freight infrastructure in each state by segment (road, rail, air, water and pipelines). Full analysis of the competitive landscape within each segment.
Industry Trends and Developments
Analysis of the latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including a market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.
The Freight Transport market reports contain a chapter detailing the political outlook of a given region, examining the domestic politics, long-term outlook and foreign policy, and assessing the impact this could have on freight and transport businesses.
Examines the short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses.
The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.
The Freight Transport Reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports
*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.