Business Monitor International


Cameroon Oil & Gas Report

Published 03 October 2014

  • 86 pages
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$1,295.00
Cameroon Oil & Gas Report

BMI View : Cameroon is a small producer of oil and a nascent gas producer. Oil production should slightly increase, after years of decline, with several small projects coming online. However, new exploration and discoveries will be necessary if Cameroon is to stabilise or grow output and conserve its net export potential in the longer term. While Cameroon's gas production will remain modest, the size of GDF Suez' proposed LNG terminal highlights production potential of over 5bcm by the end of our forecast period.

Headline Forecasts (Cameroon 2012-2018)
  2012e 2013e 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f
Crude, NGPL & other liquids prod, 000b/d 63.0 61.7 79.8 80.9 78.7 79.7 82.8
Refined products production & ethanol, 000b/d 42.6 41.8 43.0 43.0 58.1 59.3 60.4
Refined products consumption & ethanol, 000b/d 29.5 32.4 34.4 36.8 39.4 42.1 45.1
Dry natural gas production, bcm 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.4 1.7
Dry natural gas consumption, bcm 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.4 1.7
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: EIA, BMI

Click here to explore data

  • Ongoing exploration provides much-needed upside risk to Cameroon's oil reserves. The country's offshore basins are the most prospective, with the Rio del Rey Basin to attract the most interest. However, Cameroon lacks access to the deepwater acreage where sub-salt prospects running from Sierra Leone to Angola have attracted interest from international oil companies (IOCs) and several smaller players.

  • Oil production will rise to 80,000b/d in 2014 and remain close to that level in the coming years with several small field developments offsetting the decline at maturing fields. New exploration and discoveries will be necessary if Cameroon is to stabilise or grow output and conserve its net export potential in the longer term.

  • We have only included limited production from the Logbada field and...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
9
Oil And Gas Reserves
9
Table: Cameroon Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2012-2017
9
Table: Cameroon Proven Oil & Gas Reserves And Total Petroleum Data, 2018-2023
10
Table: Cameroon Licensing Round
13
Oil Supply And Demand
13
Table: Cameroon Oil Production And Net Exports, 2012-2017
13
Table: Cameroon Oil Production And Net Exports, 2018-2023
14
Gas Supply And Demand
16
Table: Cameroon Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2012-2017
16
Table: Cameroon Gas Production, Consumption And Net Exports, 2018-2023
17
Refining And Oil Products Trade
20
Table: Cameroon Refining - Production And Consumption, 2012-2017
20
Table: Cameroon Refining - Production And Consumption, 2018-2023
21
Revenues/Import Costs
21
Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
21
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
23
Africa - Risk/Reward Ratings
23
Table: BMI's Africa Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Ratings
24
Riches Lie Underground, While Above-Ground Risks Continue To Loom
24
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings
26
An Underwhelming Downstream
31
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Ratings
31
Cameroon - Risk/Reward Ratings
35
Market Overview
37
Cameroon Energy Market Overview
37
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
42
Oil Refineries
42
Table: Refineries In Cameroon
42
Service Stations
43
Oil Storage Facilities
43
Oil Terminals/Ports
43
Oil Pipelines
43
LNG Terminal
44
Competitive Landscape
45
Competitive Landscape Summary
45
Table: Key Players - Cameroon Energy Sector
46
Table: Key Upstream Players
46
Table: Key Downstream Players
46
Company Profile
47
Perenco
47
Other Summaries
50
Regional Overview
56
Africa Overview
56
Rising Offshore Interest
56
Unconventionals : New Frontier
58
East Africa: Offshore Gas, Onshore Oil
59
Downstream Blues
62
High-Risk Continent
64
Global Market Views
68
Global Energy Market Overview
68
OPEC Reconsiders Modus Operandi
70
Production Outages Look Likely To Persist
71
Global Oil Demand Picks Up
72
Capex Growth Cycle Shifting Gears
74
Table: BMI Oil Price Forecasts, Annual Average, USD/bbl
74
Appendix
77
Africa - Regional Appendix
77
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
77
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
78
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
78
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
79
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
80
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
80
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
81
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
82
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
82
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
83
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
84
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
84
Cameroon - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-year Forecasts
85
Table: Cameroon Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown, 2012-2017
85
Table: Cameroon Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown, 2018-2023
86
Table: Cameroon Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown, 2012-2017
87
Table: Cameroon Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown, 2018-2023
88
Table: Cameroon Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown, 2012-2017
89
Table: Cameroon Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown, 2018-2023
90
Glossary
92
Table: Glossary Of Terms
92
Methodology
94
Industry Forecast Methodology
94
Source
96
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
96
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Ratings
98
Table: Weighting
99

The Cameroon Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for Cameroon including major indicators for oil, gas and LNG, covering all major indicators including reserves, production, consumption, refining capacity, prices, export volumes and values. The report includes full analysis of industry trends and prospects, national and multinational companies and changes in the regulatory environment.

BMI's Cameroon Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Cameroonian oil and gas industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent oil and gas industry forecasts for Cameroon to test consensus views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Cameroonian oil and gas market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Cameroonian oil and gas sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Cameroon.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and Competitive Landscape Tables.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key forecasts and industry analysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand and refining, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.

Regional Overview

Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports of oil, gas and LNG.

Business Environment Rankings

BMI's Oil and Gas Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (independents, NOCs, IOCs and oil services companies) in the upstream and downstream markets.

The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.

Oil Market Outlook and Oil Products Outlook

Based on our country coverage of over 99% of global oil and gas production and consumption, BMI provides demand, supply and price forecasts to end-2018 for oil, gas and oil products

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Pricing: Oil price (US$/bbl, WTI, Brent, OPEC basket, Urals); Oil products prices (unleaded gasoline, gasoil/diesel, jet/kerosene - US$/bbl) at global hubs

Production, Consumption, Capacity and Reserves: Proven oil reserves (bn barrels), production, consumption, refinery capacity and throughputs (`000b/d); Proven gas reserves (tcm), production and consumption (bcm)

Imports and Exports: Oil exports/imports (`000b/d), value of oil exports/imports (US$mn - BMI base case); Value of oil exports at constant US$50/bbl and constant US$100/bbl (US$mn); Gas exports/imports (bcm), Value of gas exports/imports (US$mn); Value of gas exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports (US$mn); Value of petroleum exports/imports at constant US$50/bbl and US$100/bbl (US$mn)

BMI Macroeconomic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2018 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Competitive Landscape

Comparative company analyses by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, ownership structure, oil production ('000b/d), gas production (bcm), downstream capacity ('000b/d) and % market share.

Company Profiles

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate Company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc