Botswana hosts one of the best regulated and strongest performing mining sectors in Africa, with diamonds the main commodity. Botswana's mining industry also deals in oth er metals and minerals including copper, nickel and coal. Additionally, uranium mining is likely to take off over the next decade.
We maintain a positive outlook for Botswana's mining sector over our forecast period to 2018. Diamonds will remain the mainstay of Botswana's mining production. We forecast modest growth for the diamond sector, boosted by new projects planned by Debswana, Gem Diamonds and Lucara Diamond Corp. Nevertheless, the major driver of growth will be acceleration in the country's coal production.
Botswana's mining sector is on course for steady growth over the next few years as we forecast the sector to average 5.2% growth from 2014 to 2018, reaching a value of USD6.8bn by 2018.
Strong Coal Growth Potential
Botswana's mining potential is enormous, with large diamond, copper and coal deposits and numerous successful exploration projects. Over the next few years we highlight particularly strong potential for growth in coal production. Fast growth from a low base will be driven by companies including Anglo American, Exxaro, African Energy & CIC Energy, bringing substantial investment into Botswana's nascent coal sector.
Botswana - Major New Mining Projects
| Company || Mine || Production/ Reserves || Year |
| CIC Energy || Mmamabula || Coal: 4.5mntpa || 2016 |
| African Energy || Sese || Coal: 1mntpa || 2016 |
| Minergy || Mmamabula || Coal: Inferred Resources: 2.8bnt || na |
| Debswana || Jwaneng (extension) || Diamonds: Deposit of 100mnct || na |
| Sentula Mining || Asenjo || Coal: Exploration & Feasibility Stage || na |
| Source: BMI, Company Announcements |
Diversification To Prove Difficult
Slow economic recovery in the US and Europe, two of the main export markets for Botswana's diamond production, has hindered growth in the country. As such the...
The Botswana Mining Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s mining and commodity forecasts for metals, minerals and gems, covering all major indicators including reserves, production, exports and values. The report also analyses trends and prospects, national and multinational companies and changes in the regulatory environment.
BMI's Botswana Mining Report provides industry strategists, service companies, company analysts and consultants, government departments, trade associations and regulatory bodies with BMI's independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the mining industry in Botswana.
- Use BMI's independent industry forecasts on Botswana to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and planning in this mining market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Botswana's mining sector through our reviews of latest mining industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Botswana.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. KPIs and latest activity), Key Projects Tables and Competitive Landscape Tables.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key forecasts and industry analysis, covering mining reserves, supply, demand and prices, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI's Mining Business Environment Rankings provide a country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index aimed at investors (mining companies and support service providers) in the regional mining market. The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industry, economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry rankings products.
Details and analysis of all current and planned developments (new ventures, capacity expansion and other investments) across the sector broken down by metal/ore.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series (2009-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and economic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Indicators include:
- Mining Industry: Industry size (US$mn), real growth (%), % of GDP, employment ('000), workforce as % of total workforce, average wage (US$).
- Output:Production volumes ('000 tonnes, carats etc.) for all major metals, minerals, ores and gems mined in each state, including bauxite, copper, gold, coal, lead, silver, tin, titanium, uranium, zinc etc.
- Exports: Value of exports (US$mn) for all major metals, minerals, ores and gems mined in each state .
- Commodity Markets: Global demand, supply, stocks and benchmark prices (US$) for aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, tin, zinc, gold and steel.
BMI Macroeconomic Forecasts
BMI forecasts to end-2018 for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth (%), inflation (%), fiscal balance (% of GDP), trade balance (US$bn), current account (US$bn) and external debt (US$bn).
Competitive Landscape Tables & Analysis
Comparative company analyses and tables detailing by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, market cap/NAV, ownership structure, production and % market share.
Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI's industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.