Business Monitor International


Botswana Infrastructure Report

Published 02 December 2014

  • 94 pages
  • Instant access to your report online and PDF format through your account library
  • Includes 3 free updated quarterly reports
 
$1,295.00
Botswana Infrastructure Report

BMI View:   Botswana's construction sector has a positive growth forecast thanks to sustained interest in its mining sector , however , forecasts are downgraded, based on 3.1% average real growth for H1 2014 resulting in estimates of 4.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) for 2014 as a whole. Foreign investment continues to flow into the country driven by a stable business environment and strong project pipeline in power, water and mining-related projects.

The sector is set to strengthen in 2015 with BMI forecasting year-on-year (y-o-y) growth of 5.8%.We believe growth will remain robust over our 10-year forecast period (2014-2023), averaging about 8.9% per year between 2014 and 2023, based on a substantial pipeline of projects.

The biggest source of value creation is likely to remain electricity and water investments. The country is working hard to reduce its reliance on South Africa for electricity supply and cater to growing domestic demand from its mining sector. There are a number of projects being developed and due to come online over the medium term. These include the long-delayed Morupule B coal-fired plant, which has had its implementation date pushed back several times. 

In the water sector, severe droughts have left water levels in existing dams low, while ageing pipelines are preventing significant movement of water from areas with more supply. Consequently, water rationing occurs frequently. Investment in dams and pipelines, such as the construction of a 360km plant automation system at a water pipeline and pump station by ABB, are planned.

Key Trends And D evelopments

  • South Korea-based Daewoo Engineering & Construction secured a USD161mn contract to build a bridge over the Zambezi River between Zambia and Botswana. Previously Japan's China Major Bridge Engineering Company, Daewoo and a joint venture comprising Shimizu Corporation and South Africa-based Stefanutti, had been in the running. The project's work is expected to start in September and...

Table of Contents

BMI Industry View
7
SWOT
8
Infrastructure SWOT
8
Industry Forecast
10
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Botswana 2012-2017)
10
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Botswana 2018-2023)
10
Table: Botswana 2013 Development Budget, Selected Ministries & Projects, BWPmn
13
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
18
Table: Mozambique Transport Corridors
20
Major Projects Table - Transport
24
Table: Planned And Ongoing Transport Projects, Southern Africa
24
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
29
Table: SAPP Members
36
Major Projects - Energy & Utilities
38
Table: Planned And Ongoing Energy & Utilities Projects, Southern Africa
38
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
45
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
52
Table: Major Projects - Social Infrastructure & Construction
52
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
55
Botswana - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
55
Rewards
55
Sub-Saharan Africa - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
56
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
65
Market Overview
66
Competitive Landscape
66
Table: Number Of Contractors In Southern Africa (excluding South Africa)
67
Table: Number Of Contractors In Southern Africa (by region & including South Africa)
67
Pulling On Historic Ties
68
China Trade Off, Other Asian Countries Follow Suit
69
South Africans Expanding Into Their Backyard
72
Global Infrastructure Overview
73
Middle East/North Africa Presents Strongest Investment Profile
73
Methodology
79
Industry Forecast Methodology
79
Sector-Specific Methodology
80
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
84
Sector-Specific Methodology
85
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
85
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
86

The Botswana Infrastructure Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Botswana Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Botswanan infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits

  • Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Botswana to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Botswanan infrastructure market.
  • Target business opportunities and risks in the Botswanan infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Botswana.
  • Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering infrastructure and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments. These are broken down into construction (social, commercial and residential), transport (roads, railways, ports, airports, etc), and energy & utilities (powerplants, pipelines and so on).

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the infrastructure and construction sectors and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series (up to 2012) and forecasts to end-2024 for all key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key developments in the market and risks to the main forecasts. Indicators include:

Construction: Industry value (USDbn); contribution to GDP (%); total capital investment (USDbn); real growth (%).

Construction industry real growth forecasts (%) and industry value (USDbn) forecasts for industry sectors are split into Residential and Non-residential and Infrastructure sectors. Where the data is available for particular countries the infrastructure is further broken down into indicators for the transport subsectors of roads, railways, airports and ports and the energy and utilities sub-sectors of power plants and transmission grids, oil & gas pipelines and water infrastructure. This dataset is unique to the market.

The reports also include analysis of latest projects across the infrastructure sectors (transport, utilities, commercial construction).

BMI’s Infrastructure Risk Reward Index

BMI’s Risk Reward Index provides investors (construction companies, suppliers and partners) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market’s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and  demographic data points. These provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors, with each position explained.

Market Overview

An assessment of the competitive landscape and key challenges to entering the market. Details of the largest companies active in the sector across the sub-segments of the industry, including the key financial figures from some of the largest players in the sector.

Company Profiles*

Examines the competitive positioning and short- to medium-term business strategies of key industry players. Strategy is examined within the context of BMI’s industry forecasts, our macroeconomic views and our understanding of the wider competitive landscape to generate company SWOT analyses. The latest financial and operating statistics and key company developments are also incorporated within the company profiles, enabling a full evaluation of recent company performance and future growth prospects.

Sources

The Infrastructure reports draw on an extensive network of primary sources, such as multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.

*Company profiles are not available for every country. Those reports instead contain information on the current activities of prominent companies operating in the market.

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Testimonials

'An essential, multi-faceted research tool. BMI’s thorough understanding of the major market players enables an informed – and informative – review of the sector’s actual performance, together with useful insights into current industry issues, which are topped-off with detailed and invaluable forecasts of industry and macroeconomic trends.’

Senior Research Analyst, ABC International Bank plc